Cody Gibson vs Aori Qileng Pick, 10/18/2025 Predictions UFC Vancouver Odds
Cody Gibson vs Aori Qileng
UFC Vancouver
Rogers Arena in Vancouver, BC
Saturday, October 18, 2025
Cody Gibson will enter the Octagon against Aori Qileng at UFC Vancouver on Saturday, October 18, 2025. The opener has Gibson at -160 while Qileng is coming in at +140.
Cody "The Renegade" Gibson walks into the cage with a mark of 22-11-0. The 38-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and stands 5'10". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 71". Aori "The Mongolian Murderer" Qileng stands in at 5'7" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 25-12-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old reaches 69". Regarding significant strikes, Cody Gibson is landing 3.61 per minute while Aori Qileng connects on 4.65 significant strikes per min. Gibson is landing 45% of the significant strikes he attempts while Qileng is landing 49%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, "The Renegade" absorbs 3.18 significant strikes per minute and "The Mongolian Murderer" absorbs 5.46. Gibson also stops 57% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Qileng is able to defend against 48% of the shots thrown in his direction.
| UFC Vancouver | Cody Gibson | Aori Qileng |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -160 | +140 |
| Record | 22-11-0 | 25-12-0 (1 NC) |
| Average Fight Time | 10:58 | 10:55 |
| Height | 5'10" | 5'7" |
| Weight | 135 lbs | 135 lbs |
| Reach | 71" | 69" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.61 | 4.65 |
| Striking Accuracy | 45% | 49% |
Concerning wrestling, Cody Gibson is the better wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 2.13 times per 3 rds. Gibson is finishing his takedown attempts on 37% of his attempts and is stuffing 69% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Qileng is taking his opponents to the canvas on 46% of the takedowns he attempts and stopping 58% of the tries against him. When it comes to subbing opponents, Gibson is the more able fighter by going for 0.6 submissions per 3 rds while Qileng attempts 0.4 submissions per 15 minutes.
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The last time he fought, Cody Gibson fought Da'Mon Blackshear and walked away in defeat by a kimura from side control in round 2. Blackshear landed 46 of 74 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Gibson walked away from this fight having landed 53 of 82 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Blackshear ended up landing 13 of 39, which means his percentage was 33%. He finished the fight landing 11 of 35 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Gibson landed 63% of his significant strikes by connecting on 45 of 71. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 23 of 47 aimed at the head. 84% of the significant strikes connected on by Blackshear and 68% of them connected on by Gibson were thrown at distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Aori Qileng, he fought Raul Rosas Jr. and walked away with a loss by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Jr. ended up landing 65% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Qileng connected on 100% of his significant strikes at distance. Qileng ended up connecting on 40% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 22 of 54. He connected on 12 of 43 significant strikes directed at the head. Jr. landed 41 of 94 significant strikes in that fight. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up landing 21 of 59 directed at the head. Regarding total strikes that he let go, Jr. ended up landing 98 of 158 while Qileng was 80 of 118 of all the strikes he threw.
Other bouts on the card to watch
Another fight to keep an eye on is when Kyle Nelson battles Matt Frevola. Nelson comes into this bout with a mark of 16-6-1. The 34-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'11". The switch fighter has an arm span of 71". Frevola stands in at 5'9" and is fighting at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 11-5-1. The 35-year-old reaches 71". In the grappling category, Kyle Nelson takes his opponents down 1.06 times per 3 rounds and Matt Frevola scores a takedown 2.39 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Nelson tags his opponents 3.51 strikes per minute and landing 45% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Matt Frevola, who lands 40% of the strikes he has thrown and lands an average of 3.37 per min.
Another bout to watch is when Davey Grant is set to take on Charles Jourdain. Jourdain walks into the cage with a record of 16-8-1. The 29-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'9". The switch fighter extends his reach 69". Grant stands 5'8" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 17-7-0. The 39-year-old extends his reach 69". Regarding wrestling, Charles Jourdain defends against 47% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is taking his opponents down on 21% of his tries. Grant is taking his opponents down on 40% of his tries and is able to stop 63% of all takedown tries against him. In the matter of striking, Jourdain absorbs 4.27 strikes/min while he deals 5.43 strikes per min. Grant, in contrast, absorbs 3.74 strikes per minute and is dishing out 5.18 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Aori Qileng (+140)
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