Gabriel Bonfim vs Randy Brown Pick, 11/08/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 111 Odds
Gabriel Bonfim vs Randy Brown
UFC Vegas 111
UFC Apex in Las Vegas
Saturday, November 8, 2025
Gabriel Bonfim will face off with Randy Brown at UFC Vegas 111 on Saturday, November 8, 2025. The opening moneyline has Bonfim priced at -185 while Brown is coming in at +160.
Gabriel "Marretinha" Bonfim will be looking to add a win to his career record of 18-1-0. The 28-year-old is weighing in at 170 lbs and stands 6'1". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 72". Randy "Rudeboy" Brown comes in at 6'3" and is fighting at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 20-6-0. The 35-year-old has an arm span of 78". Regarding significant strikes, Gabriel Bonfim lands 4.54 per minute and Randy Brown lands 4.47 significant strikes per min. Bonfim is landing 45% of the significant strikes he tries while Brown is connecting on 47%. Concerning their defense in the cage, "Marretinha" allows 3.53 significant strikes per minute while "Rudeboy" absorbs 3.26. Bonfim also defends against 63% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Brown prevents 54% of the strikes thrown in his direction.
| UFC Vegas 111 | Gabriel Bonfim | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -185 | +160 |
| Record | 18-1-0 | 20-6-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 7:58 | 10:29 |
| Height | 6'1" | 6'3" |
| Weight | 170 lbs | 170 lbs |
| Reach | 72" | 78" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.54 | 4.47 |
| Striking Accuracy | 45% | 47% |
In the wrestling category, Gabriel Bonfim is the more skilled grappler as he is averaging a takedown 4.03 times per 15 minutes. Bonfim is scoring a takedown on 55% of his tries and stopping 76% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Brown is finishing his takedown attempts on 39% of the takedowns he attempts and stuffing 73% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Bonfim is the more skilled technician by attempting 1.6 finishes per 15 minutes while Brown tries 0.6 finishes per 15 minutes.
Today’s Featured MMA Best Bet!
DOC’S SPORTS UFC is coming off a no doubt 8-unit winner last time out (play cashed in the first round). Saturday will feature a 6-unit underdog totals play you do not want to miss (10 p.m.). It comes from UFC Fight Night 260 and you can watch it live on ESPN+. Sign-up now with a daily picks package from UFC/MMA/Boxing. You can get this top rated play complimentary when you set up a free $60 account here at Doc’s Sports and use part of it towards his a one day MMA package. Join Now!
|
Get all of our Free UFC Picks
In his previous bout, Gabriel Bonfim faced Stephen Thompson and wound up getting the victory by way of split decision in round 3. Thompson landed 78 of 135 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Bonfim ended the night having landed 55 of 93 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Thompson ended up landing 42 of 92 , giving him a percentage of 45%. He landed 21 of 61 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Bonfim ended up landing 55% of his significant strikes by landing 40 of 72 . Of all the significant strikes, he landed 12 of 36 pointed at the head. 88% of the significant strikes landed by Thompson and 85% of them landed by Bonfim were tallied at a distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Randy Brown, he fought Nicolas Dalby and took home the victory by a punch to the head in round 2. Dalby ended up connecting on 96% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Brown connected on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Brown ended up connecting on 47% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 54 of 114 . He ended up connecting on 45 of 103 significant strikes to the head. Dalby ended up landing 26 of 74 significant strikes in that contest. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 12 of 52 aimed at the head. Regarding the total strikes thrown in this fight, Dalby ended up landing 40 of 90 while Brown connected on 58 of 118 total strikes.
Other fights to watch
Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Matt Schnell encounters Joseph Morales. Schnell will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 17-9-0 (1 NC). The 35-year-old weighs 125 lbs and stands in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 70". Morales stands 5'6" and is weighing in at 125 lbs. The switch fighter comes into this fight with a record of 14-2-0. The 31-year-old reaches 69". Regarding grappling, Matt Schnell is averaging a takedown 0.49 times per 3 rounds while Joseph Morales takes his opponents to the mat 1.23 times per 15 minutes. When talking about striking, Schnell lands 4.13 strikes/minute and connecting on 40% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage we have Joseph Morales, who lands 40% of the strikes he attempts and is connecting on 2.02 per minute.
If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Uros Medic is set to square up in the Octagon against Muslim Salikhov. Salikhov steps into the Octagon with a record of 22-5-0. The 41-year-old steps on the scale at 170 lbs and measures 5'11". The orthodox fighter stretches 70". Medic comes in at 6'1" and records a weight of 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 11-3-0. The 32-year-old has a reach of 71". Regarding takedowns, Muslim Salikhov is able to stop 72% of the takedowns his opponents try and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 32% of his attempts. Medic is finishing his takedowns on 50% of the attempts he tries and is able to deflect 55% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Salikhov takes 2.92 strikes per minute while he connects on 3.39 strikes/min. Medic, on the other side, is taking 3.50 strikes per minute and is dealing 5.47 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Gabriel Bonfim (-185)
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Get all of Today's Free UFC Picks
Get all of Today's Expert UFC Picks
Most Recent UFC Picks
- Matt Schnell vs Joseph Morales Pick, 11/08/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 111 Odds
- Chris Padilla vs Ismael Bonfim Pick, 11/08/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 111 Odds
- Gabriel Bonfim vs Randy Brown Pick, 11/08/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 111 Odds
- Muslim Salikhov vs Uros Medic Pick, 11/08/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 111 Odds
- Billy Elekana vs Kevin Christian Pick, 11/01/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 110 Odds
- Ketlen Vieira vs Norma Dumont Pick, 11/01/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 110 Odds
- Jeremiah Wells vs Themba Gorimbo Pick, 11/01/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 110 Odds
- Talita Alencar vs Ariane Carnelossi Pick, 11/01/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 110 Odds
- Alice Ardelean vs Montserrat Conejo Ruiz Pick, 11/01/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 110 Odds
- Phil Rowe vs Seokhyeon Ko Pick, 11/01/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 110 Odds