Ismail Naurdiev vs Ryan Loder Pick, 11/22/2025 Predictions UFC Qatar Odds
Ismail Naurdiev vs Ryan Loder
UFC Qatar
ABHA Arena in Doha, Qatar
Saturday, November 22, 2025
Ismail Naurdiev will enter the Octagon against Ryan Loder at UFC Qatar on Saturday, November 22, 2025. The moneyline has Naurdiev coming in at -180 while Loder is coming in at +155.
Ismail Naurdiev walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 24-8-0. The 29-year-old tips the scales at 185 lbs and measures 5'10". The orthodox fighter stretches 74". Ryan "Man of Steel" Loder stands 6'2" and weighs in at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this fight with a record of 8-2-0. The 34-year-old reaches 76". Regarding significant strikes, Ismail Naurdiev is landing 3.69 per min while Ryan Loder lands 5.76 significant strikes per min. Naurdiev is connecting on 52% of the significant strikes he throws and Loder is landing 71%. When it comes to defending themselves, Naurdiev allows 1.77 significant strikes per minute while "Man of Steel" absorbs 2.51. Naurdiev also deflects 64% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Loder is able to curb 50% of the shots thrown his way.
| UFC Qatar | Ismail Naurdiev | Ryan Loder |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -180 | +155 |
| Record | 24-8-0 | 8-2-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 15:00 | 4:47 |
| Height | 5'10" | 6'2" |
| Weight | 185 lbs | 185 lbs |
| Reach | 74" | 76" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.69 | 5.76 |
| Striking Accuracy | 52% | 71% |
Regarding grappling, Ismail Naurdiev is not as efficient of a wrestler as he scores a takedown 1.30 times per 3 rounds. Naurdiev is scoring a takedown on 40% of the times he tries and is stopping 73% of all takedown attempts. Loder is scoring a takedown on 14% of his takedown attempts and is stuffing 85% of all takedowns attempted on him. In terms of subbing the opposition, Naurdiev is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by going for 0.2 submissions per 3 rds while Loder tries 1.6 submissions per 3 rounds.
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In his last bout, Ismail Naurdiev went up against JunYong Park and ended up losing the fight by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Park landed 92 of 187 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Naurdiev finished this fight landing 84 of 164 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Park ended up landing 45 of 109, which means his percentage was 41%. He landed 41 of 102 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Naurdiev ended up landing 49% of his significant strikes by sticking 76 of 153. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 44 of 104 to the head. 84% of the significant strikes connected on by Park and 88% of them landed by Naurdiev were thrown at distance.
In the last fight for Ryan Loder, he fought Azamat Bekoev and wound up walking away in defeat via a punch to the head in round 1. Bekoev connected on 73% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Loder ended up landing 46% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Loder landed 52% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 13 of 25. He ended up landing 6 of 15 significant strikes aimed at the head. Bekoev connected on 23 of 46 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up connecting on 21 of 42 to the head. Discussing the total strikes thrown in this fight, Bekoev connected on 39 of 66 and Loder was 15 of 27 total strikes.
Other bouts to keep an eye on
Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Arman Tsarukyan enters the Octagon with Dan Hooker. Tsarukyan walks into the cage with a record of 22-3-0. The 29-year-old weighs 155 lbs and stands 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 72". Hooker measures in at 6'0" and weighs in at 155 lbs. The switch fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 24-12-0. The 35-year-old has an arm span of 75". In the wrestling category, Arman Tsarukyan scores a takedown 3.25 times per 3 rds and Dan Hooker takes his opponents to the canvas 0.73 times per 3 rds. Regarding striking, Tsarukyan connects for an average of 3.79 strikes per min and connects on 48% of the strikes that he throws. Joining him in the Octagon is Dan Hooker, who lands 48% of the strikes he attempts and lands 5.03 per min.
Another must see fight on the night is when Ian Machado Garry is set to take on Belal Muhammad. Muhammad looks to add a victory to his record of 24-4-0 (1 NC). The 37-year-old is fighting at 170 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter reaches 72". Machado Garry stands in at 6'3" and will fight at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 16-1-0. The 27-year-old stretches 74". When it comes to takedowns, Belal Muhammad is stopping 90% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is finishing his takedown tries on 38% of his tries. Machado Garry is taking his opponents to the mat on 33% of his attempts and is able to deflect 73% of all takedown tries against him. With reference to striking, Muhammad takes 3.78 strikes per minute while he lands 4.46 per min. Machado Garry, moreover, takes 2.77 strikes per min and deals 4.77 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Ryan Loder (+155)
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