Jack Hermansson vs Myktybek Orolbai Pick, 11/22/2025 Predictions UFC Qatar Odds
Jack Hermansson vs Myktybek Orolbai
UFC Qatar
ABHA Arena in Doha, Qatar
Saturday, November 22, 2025
Jack Hermansson will battle Myktybek Orolbai at UFC Qatar on Saturday, November 22, 2025. The opening moneyline has Hermansson priced at +205 while Orolbai is at -240.
Jack "The Joker" Hermansson comes into this fight holding a mark of 24-9-0. The 37-year-old will fight at 170 lbs and stands 6'1". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 77". Myktybek Orolbai stands 5'10" and tips the scales at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his total of 14-2-1. The 27-year-old has a reach of 74". In terms of significant strikes, Jack Hermansson connects on 5.13 per min while Myktybek Orolbai is landing 3.11 significant strikes per min. Hermansson connects on 45% of the significant strikes he throws while Orolbai is connecting on 48%. Regarding defense, "The Joker" absorbs 3.70 significant strikes per min while Orolbai takes 3.08. Hermansson also stops 57% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Orolbai deflects 50% of the shots thrown his way.
| UFC Qatar | Jack Hermansson | Myktybek Orolbai |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +205 | -240 |
| Record | 24-9-0 | 14-2-1 |
| Average Fight Time | 11:09 | 10:57 |
| Height | 6'1" | 5'10" |
| Weight | 170 lbs | 170 lbs |
| Reach | 77" | 74" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.13 | 3.11 |
| Striking Accuracy | 45% | 48% |
Regarding wrestling, Jack Hermansson is the lesser skilled grappler as he takes his opponents down 1.50 times per 15 minutes. Hermansson is finishing his takedown attempts on 29% of his attempts and is stopping 80% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Orolbai is getting his opponent to the mat on 45% of his takedown tries and is defending 40% of the attempts against him. Regarding submissions, Hermansson is the lesser skilled fighter by attempting 0.4 subs per 15 min while Orolbai looks to get 0.7 subs per 15 minutes.
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In his previous bout, Jack Hermansson faced Gregory Rodrigues and ended up taking the loss by a punch to the head in round 1. Rodrigues ended up landing 18 of 63 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Hermansson finished this fight landing 30 of 55 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Rodrigues ended up landing 18 of 63, which means his percentage was 28%. He landed 11 of 54 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Hermansson landed 54% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 30 of 55. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he was 24 of 49 aimed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Rodrigues and 100% of them connected on by Hermansson were tallied at a distance.
In the last bout for Myktybek Orolbai, he battled Tofiq Musayev and ended up winning this fight via a kimura from side control in round 1. Musayev ended up connecting on 100% of his significant strikes at distance and Orolbai ended up landing 50% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Orolbai ended up landing 28% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 2 of 7. He landed 2 of 7 significant strikes to the head. Musayev connected on 2 of 6 significant strikes in that battle. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 0 of 4 directed at the head. Relating to the strikes he fired off in this contest, Musayev was 17 of 23 while Orolbai was 15 of 25 total strikes.
Other fights to keep an eye on
Another fight to keep an eye on is when Serghei Spivac fights Shamil Gaziev. Spivac will be looking to add a win to his career record of 17-6-0. The 30-year-old is weighing in at 260 lbs and stands 6'3". The orthodox fighter reaches 78". Gaziev measures 6'4" and tips the scales at 265 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 14-1-0. The 35-year-old has a wingspan of 78". When it comes to grappling, Serghei Spivac gets his opposition to the mat 4.21 times per 15 min while Shamil Gaziev scores a takedown 0.96 times per 15 minutes. In terms of striking, Spivac lands an average of 3.45 strikes/min and landing 48% of the strikes that he throws. The other guy in this fight is Shamil Gaziev, who lands 48% of the strikes that he throws and is connecting on 2.57 per minute.
If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Asu Almabayev is set to square up in the Octagon with Alex Perez. Perez will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 25-9-0. The 33-year-old will fight at 125 lbs and stands 5'6". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 65". Almabayev stands in at 5'4" and will fight at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 22-3-0. The 31-year-old reaches 65". In terms of grappling, Alex Perez is able to defend against 77% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is finishing his takedown tries on 46% of the times he tries. Almabayev is taking his opponents down on 43% of his tries and stops 50% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With reference to striking, Perez is taking 3.20 strikes/minute while he deals 4.19 per minute. Almabayev, moreover, is taking 1.75 strikes per minute and connects on 2.16 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Myktybek Orolbai (-240)
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