Jackson McVey vs Robert Valentin Pick, 11/08/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 111 Odds
Jackson McVey vs Robert Valentin
UFC Vegas 111
UFC Apex in Las Vegas
Saturday, November 8, 2025
Jackson McVey will take on Robert Valentin at UFC Vegas 111 on Saturday, November 8, 2025. The opening moneyline has McVey at +155 while Valentin is priced at -180.
Jackson "The Moose" McVey has a career mark of 6-1-0. The 26-year-old is fighting at 185 lbs and stands 6'4". The southpaw fighter stretches 77". Robert "Robzilla" Valentin stands 6'2" and will fight at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a record of 11-6-0 (1 NC). The 30-year-old reaches 77". With respect to significant strikes, Jackson McVey is landing 1.12 per minute and Robert Valentin lands 1.13 significant strikes per min. McVey is connecting on 26% of the significant strikes he throws and Valentin is connecting on 56%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "The Moose" absorbs 1.95 significant strikes per minute while "Robzilla" allows 2.83. McVey also deflects 22% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Valentin defends against 32% of the shots thrown his way.
| UFC Vegas 111 | Jackson McVey | Robert Valentin |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +155 | -180 |
| Record | 6-1-0 | 11-6-0 (1 NC) |
| Average Fight Time | 3:35 | 7:40 |
| Height | 6'4" | 6'2" |
| Weight | 185 lbs | 185 lbs |
| Reach | 77" | 77" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 1.12 | 1.13 |
| Striking Accuracy | 26% | 56% |
Regarding grappling, Jackson McVey FALSE as he gets a takedown 0.00 times per 15 min. McVey is finishing his takedown attempts on 15% of his tries and is defending 15% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Valentin is finishing his takedowns on 15% of his takedown tries and is defending 55% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. When it comes to sub attempts, McVey is less likely to go for the finish by going for 0.7 finishes per 3 rounds while Valentin tries 1.3 finishes per 3 rds.
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In his last fight, Jackson McVey went up against Brunno Ferreira and wound up walking away in defeat by way of an armbar from the mount position in round 1. Ferreira ended up landing 9 of 11 total strikes that he let go. McVey ended the night having landed 4 of 15 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Ferreira ended up landing 7 of 9 , giving him a percentage of 77%. He finished the fight landing 4 of 5 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, McVey ended up landing 26% of his significant strikes by connecting on 4 of 15 . Of all the significant strikes, he was 3 of 13 aimed at the head. 85% of the significant strikes landed by Ferreira and 100% of them connected on by McVey were thrown at distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Robert Valentin, he fought Ateba Gautier and was on the losing end of this fight via a punch to the head in round 1. Gautier ended up landing 84% of his significant strikes at distance and Valentin connected on 100% of his significant strikes at distance. Valentin connected on 40% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 2 of 5 . He landed 1 of 3 significant strikes aimed at the head. Gautier ended up connecting on 19 of 37 significant strikes in that battle. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 16 of 34 aimed at the head. In regard to the total strikes thrown in this fight, Gautier was 19 of 37 while Valentin ended up connecting on 2 of 5 of the strikes he threw in total.
Other fights on the card to watch out for
One more match to look forward to is when Mayra Bueno Silva takes on Jacqueline Cavalcanti. Bueno Silva has a record of 10-5-1 (1 NC). The 34-year-old tips the scales at 135 lbs and comes in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 66". Cavalcanti comes in at 5'8" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to her career record of 9-1-0. The 28-year-old reaches 70". In terms of takedowns, Mayra Bueno Silva gets a takedown 0.57 times per 15 min while Jacqueline Cavalcanti takes her opponents to the mat 0.00 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Bueno Silva connects for an average of 3.83 strikes/min and lands 58% of her attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage we have Jacqueline Cavalcanti, who is landing 46% of the strikes she attempts and lands an average of 5.73 per minute.
If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Denise Gomes is set to clash with Tecia Pennington. Pennington comes into this fight holding a mark of 15-7-0. The 36-year-old steps on the scale at 115 lbs and stands 5'1". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 60". Gomes measures 5'2" and records a weight of 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to her career total of 11-3-0. The 25-year-old reaches 63". When it comes to takedowns, Tecia Pennington is preventing 62% of the takedowns her opponents try and is taking her opponents to the canvas on 13% of her tries. Gomes is taking her opponents to the mat on 36% of the tries she takes and curbs 67% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Pennington takes 3.48 strikes per min and she is dealing 4.78 strikes/min. Gomes, at the same time, takes 3.04 strikes per min and connects on 4.59 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Robert Valentin (-180)
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