Jake Matthews vs Neil Magny Pick, 09/27/2025 Predictions UFC Perth Odds
Jake Matthews vs Neil Magny
UFC Perth
RAC Arena in Perth, Western Australia
Saturday, September 27, 2025
Jake Matthews will take on Neil Magny at UFC Perth on Saturday, September 27, 2025. The opener has Matthews at -410 while Magny is priced at +310.
Jake "The Celtic Kid" Matthews has a career record of 22-7-0. The 31-year-old tips the scales at 170 lbs and measures 5'11". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 73". Neil "The Haitian Sensation" Magny comes in at 6'3" and weighs 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 30-13-0. The 38-year-old has a wingspan of 80". With respect to significant strikes, Jake Matthews is landing 3.44 per min and Neil Magny connects on 3.45 significant strikes per minute. Matthews connects on 43% of the significant strikes he tries while Magny is landing 46%. In terms of defending in the cage, "The Celtic Kid" allows 2.63 significant strikes per minute and "The Haitian Sensation" takes 2.47. Matthews also defends against 60% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Magny is able to stop 51% of the shots thrown.

UFC Perth | Jake Matthews | Neil Magny |
---|---|---|
Opening Odds | -410 | +310 |
Record | 22-7-0 | 30-13-0 |
Average Fight Time | 11:15 | 12:11 |
Height | 5'11" | 6'3" |
Weight | 170 lbs | 170 lbs |
Reach | 73" | 80" |
Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.44 | 3.45 |
Striking Accuracy | 43% | 46% |
In terms of takedowns, Jake Matthews is the not as competent as a wrestler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 1.51 times per 15 min. Matthews is scoring a takedown on 42% of his tries and is stuffing 67% of the takedowns his opponents try. Magny is taking his opponents to the canvas on 39% of the takedowns he attempts and stopping 55% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Matthews is the more experienced of the two fighters by trying 0.6 subs per 15 minutes while Magny tries 0.2 subs per 3 rounds.
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In his previous fight, Jake Matthews faced Chidi Njokuani and ended up getting the victory via rear naked choke in round 1. Njokuani ended up landing 5 of 10 total strikes attempted in that fight. Matthews walked away from this fight having landed 5 of 9 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Njokuani landed 5 of 10, which gave him a rate of 50%. He ended up landing 0 of 2 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Matthews landed 42% of his significant strikes by sticking 3 of 7. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 3 of 7 to the head. 80% of the significant strikes connected on by Njokuani and 66% of them landed by Matthews were tallied at a distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Neil Magny, he fought Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos and wound up taking home the victory by way of a punch to the head in round 2. Santos ended up landing 85% of his significant strikes at distance while Magny connected on 45% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Magny ended up connecting on 62% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 42 of 67. He landed 38 of 61 significant strikes aimed at the head. Santos ended up landing 20 of 42 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 5 of 24 aimed at the head. Regarding total strikes that he let go in that contest, Santos was 42 of 69 and Magny landed 80 of 113 of all the strikes he attempted.
Other fights on the card to watch out for
Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Tom Nolan squares up with Charlie Campbell. Nolan will be looking to add a win to his career total of 9-1-0. The 25-year-old weighs 155 lbs and comes in at 6'3". The southpaw fighter stretches 73". Campbell measures 6'0" and is weighing in at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 9-2-0. The 30-year-old stretches 72". In terms of takedowns, Tom Nolan gets a takedown 0.41 times per 15 minutes while Charlie Campbell scores a takedown 2.95 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Nolan connects for an average of 5.82 strikes/min and landing 45% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Charlie Campbell, who tags his opponent on 54% of the strikes he attempts and lands an average of 5.55 per minute.
Another bout to watch is when Rodolfo Bellato is set to square up in the Octagon with Navajo Stirling. Stirling steps into the Octagon with a mark of 7-0-0. The 27-year-old tips the scales at 205 lbs and comes in at 6'4". The orthodox fighter stretches 79". Bellato stands in at 6'3" and steps on the scale at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a record of 12-2-1 (1 NC). The 29-year-old stretches 75". Regarding wrestling, Navajo Stirling is able to defend against 78% of the takedowns his opponents try and is finishing his takedowns on 30% of his attempts. Bellato is finishing his takedowns on 36% of his tries and defends against 85% of all takedown attempts. With reference to striking, Stirling is absorbing 2.49 strikes per minute while he deals 6.43 strikes/min. Bellato, on the contrary, is absorbing 6.00 strikes/minute and deals 5.84 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Neil Magny (+310)
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