Jan Blachowicz vs Bogdan Guskov Pick, 12/06/2025 Predictions UFC 323 Odds
Jan Blachowicz vs Bogdan Guskov
UFC 323
T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas
Saturday, December 6, 2025
Jan Blachowicz will face off against Bogdan Guskov at UFC 323 on Saturday, December 6, 2025. The opening line has Blachowicz priced at -145 while Guskov is at +125.
Jan Blachowicz walks into the Octagon holding a record of 29-11-1. The 42-year-old will fight at 205 lbs and comes in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter reaches 78". Bogdan "Czarevitch" Guskov stands in at 6'3" and records a weight of 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 18-3-0. The 33-year-old reaches 76". When talking about significant strikes, Jan Blachowicz lands 3.44 per min and Bogdan Guskov is connecting on 4.17 significant strikes per min. Blachowicz lands 49% of the significant strikes he attempts while Guskov is landing 55%. In terms of defending themselves, Blachowicz allows 3.03 significant strikes per minute and "Czarevitch" takes 3.30. Blachowicz also prevents 52% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Guskov is able to thwart 45% of the shots thrown his way.
| UFC 323 | Jan Blachowicz | Bogdan Guskov |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -145 | +125 |
| Record | 29-11-1 | 18-3-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 13:11 | 5:42 |
| Height | 6'2" | 6'3" |
| Weight | 205 lbs | 205 lbs |
| Reach | 78" | 76" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.44 | 4.17 |
| Striking Accuracy | 49% | 55% |
In the category of takedowns, Jan Blachowicz is the more efficient grappler as he takes his opponents to the mat 1.03 times per 15 min. Blachowicz is taking his opponents to the canvas on 48% of his tries and stopping 69% of all takedown attempts. Guskov is taking his opponents down on 15% of the takedowns he tries and thwarting 57% of the attempts against him. When it comes to subbing opponents, Blachowicz is not as skilled of a technician by going for 0.3 subs per 3 rds while Guskov goes for 1.1 subs per 3 rds.
Today’s Featured MMA Best Bet!
DOC’S SPORTS UFC is coming off a no doubt 8-unit winner last time out (play cashed in the first round). Saturday will feature a 6-unit underdog totals play you do not want to miss (10 p.m.). It comes from UFC Fight Night 260 and you can watch it live on ESPN+. Sign-up now with a daily picks package from UFC/MMA/Boxing. You can get this top rated play complimentary when you set up a free $60 account here at Doc’s Sports and use part of it towards his a one day MMA package. Join Now!
|
Get all of our UFC Picks
The last time he fought, Jan Blachowicz faced Carlos Ulberg and was defeated via unanimous decision in round 3. Ulberg ended up landing 75 of 157 total strikes attempted in that fight. Blachowicz ended the night having landed 59 of 131 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Ulberg ended up landing 75 of 157 , which gave him a rate of 47%. He landed 19 of 87 significant strikes directed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Blachowicz landed 45% of his significant strikes by connecting on 59 of 131 . Of those significant strikes, he was 17 of 67 aimed at the head. 98% of the significant strikes landed by Ulberg and 100% of them landed by Blachowicz were tallied at a distance.
In the last bout for Bogdan Guskov, he battled Nikita Krylov and ended up getting the victory in the fight by way of a punch to the head while on the ground in round 1. Krylov ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Guskov ended up landing 47% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Guskov connected on 53% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 23 of 43 . He landed 20 of 40 significant strikes to the head. Krylov connected on 16 of 34 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, he connected on 6 of 20 aimed at the head. Regarding the strikes he fired off in this contest, Krylov was 16 of 34 while Guskov was 28 of 48 of all the strikes he threw.
Other fights to watch out for
One more match to look forward to is when Grant Dawson battles Manuel Torres. Dawson walks into the cage with a mark of 23-2-1. The 31-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 72". Torres measures 5'10" and weighs in at 155 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 16-3-0. The 30-year-old reaches 73". Regarding grappling, Grant Dawson scores a takedown 3.87 times per 15 min while Manuel Torres is able to score a takedown 2.00 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Dawson connects on 3.20 strikes per minute and lands 52% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage you've got Manuel Torres, who connects on 60% of the strikes he has thrown and is connecting on 7.87 per min.
Another must see fight on the night is when Chris Duncan is set to square up in the Octagon against Terrance McKinney. McKinney walks into the cage holding a record of 17-7-0. The 31-year-old will fight at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The switch fighter reaches 73". Duncan measures 5'10" and records a weight of 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 14-2-0. The 32-year-old reaches 71". Regarding takedowns, Terrance McKinney prevents 77% of his opponents' takedown tries and is taking his opponents to the mat on 40% of his attempts. Duncan is taking his opponents to the mat on 42% of his attempts and is able to thwart 50% of the takedowns his opponents try. With regard to striking, McKinney absorbs 2.58 strikes per min while he lands 5.78 strikes/minute. Duncan, on the other hand, is taking 4.53 strikes per min and lands 4.64 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Jan Blachowicz (-145)
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Get all of Today's Free UFC Picks
Get all of Today's Expert UFC Picks
Most Recent UFC Picks
- Jan Blachowicz vs Bogdan Guskov Pick, 12/06/2025 Predictions UFC 323 Odds
- Iwo Baraniewski vs Ibo Aslan Pick, 12/06/2025 Predictions UFC 323 Odds
- Grant Dawson vs Manuel Torres Pick, 12/06/2025 Predictions UFC 323 Odds
- Edson Barboza vs Jalin Turner Pick, 12/06/2025 Predictions UFC 323 Odds
- Muhammad Naimov vs Mairon Santos Pick, 12/06/2025 Predictions UFC 323 Odds
- Terrance McKinney vs Chris Duncan Pick, 12/06/2025 Predictions UFC 323 Odds
- Henry Cejudo vs Payton Talbott Pick, 12/06/2025 Predictions UFC 323 Odds
- Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Antonio Trocoli Pick, 12/06/2025 Predictions UFC 323 Odds
- Maycee Barber vs Karine Silva Pick, 12/06/2025 Predictions UFC 323 Odds
- Alexandre Pantoja vs Joshua Van Pick, 12/06/2025 Predictions UFC 323 Odds