Jimmy Crute vs Ivan Erslan Pick, 09/27/2025 Predictions UFC Perth Odds

Jimmy Crute vs Ivan Erslan

UFC Perth

RAC Arena in Perth, Western Australia

Saturday, September 27, 2025

Jimmy Crute will face off with Ivan Erslan at UFC Perth on Saturday, September 27, 2025. The moneyline has Crute coming in at -185 while Erslan is priced at +160.

Jimmy Crute holds a career mark of 13-4-2. The 29-year-old weighs in at 205 lbs and comes in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 74". Ivan Erslan comes in at 6'2" and tips the scales at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 14-5-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old stretches 72". Regarding significant strikes, Jimmy Crute lands 4.17 per minute and Ivan Erslan is landing 2.50 significant strikes per minute. Crute lands 52% of the significant strikes he throws and Erslan connects on 44%. Concerning the fighter's defense, Crute takes 3.68 significant strikes per minute while Erslan allows 5.17. Crute also deflects 42% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Erslan curbs 55% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

Regarding takedowns, Jimmy Crute is the more efficient wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 4.20 times per 3 rounds. Crute is getting his opponent to the mat on 52% of the times he tries and defending 58% of the takedowns his opponents try. Erslan is finishing his takedown attempts on 20% of the takedowns he tries and is defending 64% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Crute is the more capable of the two fighters by attempting 1.9 submissions per 15 min while Erslan tries 0.6 submissions per 3 rounds.

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In his previous fight, Jimmy Crute faced Marcin Prachnio and ended up getting the win by an armbar from side control in round 1. Prachnio ended up landing 37 of 54 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Crute walked away from this fight having landed 11 of 27 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Prachnio landed 21 of 36, which gave him a percentage of 58%. He ended up landing 7 of 21 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Crute ended up landing 27% of his significant strikes by connecting on 5 of 18. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 5 of 18 pointed at the head. 61% of the significant strikes landed by Prachnio and 80% of them landed by Crute were done at distance.

In the last bout for Ivan Erslan, he went up against Navajo Stirling and wound up walking away in defeat by unanimous decision in round 3. Stirling connected on 76% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Erslan ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Erslan ended up connecting on 36% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 36 of 100. He ended up connecting on 28 of 90 significant strikes to the head. Stirling ended up landing 110 of 225 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, he landed 54 of 147 directed at the head. When discussing total strikes that he let go in that fight, Stirling landed 124 of 243 and Erslan connected on 63 of 129 total strikes.

Other fights to watch out for

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Jack Jenkins fights Ramon Taveras. Jenkins comes into this bout with a record of 13-4-0. The 31-year-old steps on the scale at 145 lbs and comes in at 5'7". The switch fighter has a reach of 68". Taveras measures 5'8" and steps on the scale at 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a win to his record of 10-3-0. The 31-year-old extends his reach 70". Regarding grappling, Jack Jenkins takes his opponents to the canvas 1.78 times per 3 rds and Ramon Taveras takes his opponents down 0.50 times per 3 rounds. In the striking category, Jenkins connects for an average of 4.50 strikes/minute and lands 61% of the strikes that he throws. The other guy in this fight is Ramon Taveras, who tags his opponent on 44% of the strikes he has tried and connects on 4.62 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Neil Magny is set to square up with Jake Matthews. Matthews has a career record of 22-7-0. The 31-year-old tips the scales at 170 lbs and measures 5'11". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 73". Magny comes in at 6'3" and weighs 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 30-13-0. The 38-year-old has a wingspan of 80". Regarding wrestling, Jake Matthews is stopping 67% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is taking his opponents down on 42% of his attempts. Magny is finishing his takedown tries on 39% of his tries and prevents 55% of all takedown attempts. With reference to striking, Matthews takes 2.63 strikes/minute and he is landing 3.44 strikes/min. Magny, in contrast, absorbs 2.47 strikes/minute and deals 3.45 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Ivan Erslan (+160)

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