Jonathan Micallef vs Oban Elliott Pick, 09/27/2025 Predictions UFC Perth Odds

Jonathan Micallef vs Oban Elliott

UFC Perth

RAC Arena in Perth, Western Australia

Saturday, September 27, 2025

Jonathan Micallef will face off against Oban Elliott at UFC Perth on Saturday, September 27, 2025. The line has Micallef at -102 while Elliott is at -118.

Jonathan "The Captain" Micallef walks into the Octagon holding a record of 8-1-0. The 26-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and comes in at 6'0". The southpaw fighter stretches 77". Oban "The Welsh Gangster" Elliott stands 6'0" and will fight at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 12-3-0. The 27-year-old has a reach of 72". In the category of significant strikes, Jonathan Micallef is landing 4.77 per min and Oban Elliott is landing 3.50 significant strikes per min. Micallef is landing 43% of the significant strikes he attempts while Elliott is connecting on 48%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "The Captain" absorbs 4.00 significant strikes per min and "The Welsh Gangster" takes 2.24. Micallef also thwarts 58% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Elliott prevents 60% of the shots thrown his way.

In the wrestling category, Jonathan Micallef is the lesser skilled grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 0.83 times per 15 min. Micallef is scoring a takedown on 50% of his tries and defending 50% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Elliott is taking his opponents to the canvas on 44% of his takedown attempts and is stuffing 55% of the tries against him. Regarding submissions, Micallef is the more skilled of the two fighters by trying 0.8 submissions per 3 rounds while Elliott attempts 0.3 submissions per 15 min.

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In his previous bout, Jonathan Micallef fought Kevin Jousset and took home the victory by unanimous decision in round 3. Jousset ended up landing 71 of 173 total strikes attempted in that fight. Micallef ended the night having landed 89 of 197 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Jousset ended up landing 67 of 168, which gave him a percentage of 39%. He ended up landing 32 of 112 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Micallef landed 44% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 85 of 192. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 52 of 151 aimed at the head. 98% of the significant strikes connected on by Jousset and 97% of them connected on by Micallef were done at distance.

In the last fight for Oban Elliott, he battled Seokhyeon Ko and was defeated by unanimous decision in round 3. Ko connected on 42% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Elliott ended up landing 90% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Elliott landed 32% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 10 of 31. He ended up landing 2 of 20 significant strikes directed at the head. Ko landed 33 of 61 significant strikes in that battle. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 25 of 51 directed at the head. Regarding total strikes attempted in that contest, Ko was 80 of 127 and Elliott was 19 of 40 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts on the card to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Jamie Mullarkey goes up against Rolando Bedoya. Mullarkey walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 17-8-0. The 31-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and stands 6'0". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 74". Bedoya comes in at 5'11" and weighs 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 14-4-0. The 28-year-old extends his reach 74". In the grappling category, Jamie Mullarkey gets a takedown 2.31 times per 3 rounds and Rolando Bedoya takes his opponents to the mat 0.60 times per 3 rds. In terms of striking, Mullarkey tags his opponents 4.39 strikes/minute and is landing 46% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Rolando Bedoya, who lands 49% of the strikes he has attempted and connects for an average of 7.29 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Josias Musasa is set to battle Colby Thicknesse. Thicknesse looks to add a win to his career total of 7-1-0. The 26-year-old weighs 135 lbs and comes in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 69". Musasa measures 5'8" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 8-1-0. The 26-year-old has a reach of 74". Concerning grappling, Colby Thicknesse is thwarting 50% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 85% of his attempts. Musasa is finishing his takedowns on 50% of the attempts he tries and defends against 77% of all takedown tries against him. With reference to striking, Thicknesse absorbs 2.73 strikes per minute while he is connecting on 2.53 strikes/minute. Musasa, on the other hand, is absorbing 4.60 strikes per min and is dishing out 3.45 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Oban Elliott (-118)

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