Ketlen Vieira vs Macy Chiasson Pick, 05/31/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 107 Odds

Ketlen Vieira vs Macy Chiasson

UFC Vegas 107

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, May 31, 2025

Ketlen Vieira will face off with Macy Chiasson at UFC Vegas 107 on Saturday, May 31, 2025. The opening odds have Vieira at -105 while Chiasson is priced at -115.

Ketlen "Fenomeno" Vieira holds a mark of 14-4-0. The 33-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter stretches 68". Macy Chiasson measures 5'11" and weighs 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a record of 11-3-0. The 33-year-old stretches 72". Concerning significant strikes, Ketlen Vieira lands 2.92 per min while Macy Chiasson is connecting on 3.77 significant strikes per min. Vieira lands 41% of the significant strikes she attempts and Chiasson is landing 46%. In terms of defending themselves, "Fenomeno" allows 3.90 significant strikes per minute and Chiasson absorbs 2.79. Vieira also stops 51% of the significant strikes her opponents throw her way and Chiasson stops 44% of the shots thrown.

Concerning grappling, Ketlen Vieira is the lesser skilled grappler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 1.39 times per 3 rds. Vieira is getting her opponent to the mat on 44% of her tries and is stuffing 88% of all takedowns attempted by her opposition. Chiasson is taking her opponents to the canvas on 38% of her takedown tries and defending 70% of all takedowns attempted by her opposition. When it comes to subbing the opposition, Vieira is the more experienced of the two fighters by going for 0.6 submissions per 15 minutes while Chiasson tries 0.4 submissions per 15 minutes.

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The last time she fought, Ketlen Vieira fought Kayla Harrison and ended up taking the loss by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Harrison ended up landing 98 of 149 total strikes that she let go in that fight. Vieira ended the night having landed 67 of 108 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Harrison ended up landing 55 of 94, which gave her a percentage of 58%. She finished the fight landing 34 of 69 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Vieira landed 39% of her significant strikes by landing 24 of 61. Of all the significant strikes, she connected on 12 of 38 to the head. 34% of the significant strikes landed by Harrison and 87% of them connected on by Vieira were thrown at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Macy Chiasson, she fought Mayra Bueno Silva and ended up winning this fight via a doctor's stoppage due to cuts in round 2. Silva landed 45% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance while Chiasson ended up landing 44% of the significant strikes she took from distance. Chiasson ended up landing 58% of the significant strikes she attempted by connecting on 50 of 85. She connected on 27 of 59 significant strikes to the head. Silva ended up landing 46 of 59 significant strikes in that contest. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, she ended up landing 24 of 34 aimed at the head. Regarding total strikes that she let go in that fight, Silva landed 53 of 66 while Chiasson was 64 of 99 of all the strikes she threw.

Other bouts to watch out for

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Rayanne dos Santos encounters Alice Ardelean. dos Santos holds a career record of 14-8-0. The 29-year-old weighs 115 lbs and stands in at 5'2". The orthodox fighter stretches 62". Ardelean stands in at 5'3" and will fight at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 9-7-0. The 33-year-old extends her reach 62". When it comes to grappling, Rayanne dos Santos takes her opponents to the mat 0.33 times per 3 rds and Alice Ardelean is able to score a takedown 1.00 times per 15 minutes. In the striking category, dos Santos connects for an average of 4.36 strikes per minute and connects on 43% of her attempted strikes. On the other side we have Alice Ardelean, who is landing 45% of the strikes she attempts and lands 4.97 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Ludovit Klein is set to fight Mateusz Gamrot. Gamrot has a mark of 24-3-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old is weighing in at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 70". Klein stands 5'7" and will fight at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 23-4-1. The 30-year-old stretches 72". In terms of grappling, Mateusz Gamrot curbs 90% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is finishing his takedowns on 35% of his attempts. Klein is finishing his takedown tries on 51% of his attempts and is able to stop 91% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With reference to striking, Gamrot is absorbing 3.22 strikes per min while he is landing 3.23 strikes/min. Klein, on the contrary, is absorbing 3.22 strikes per min and is connecting on 3.81 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Macy Chiasson (-115)

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