Marlon Vera vs Aiemann Zahabi Pick, 10/18/2025 Predictions UFC Vancouver Odds

Marlon Vera vs Aiemann Zahabi

UFC Vancouver

Rogers Arena in Vancouver, BC

Saturday, October 18, 2025

Marlon Vera will face off with Aiemann Zahabi at UFC Vancouver on Saturday, October 18, 2025. The odds have Vera coming in at +111 while Zahabi is at -131.

Marlon "Chito" Vera walks into the cage holding a mark of 23-10-1. The 32-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The switch fighter stretches 70". Aiemann Zahabi measures in at 5'8" and will fight at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 13-2-0. The 37-year-old stretches 68". Concerning significant strikes, Marlon Vera is connecting on 4.27 per min and Aiemann Zahabi is connecting on 4.42 significant strikes per min. Vera is landing 49% of the significant strikes he tries while Zahabi is landing 46%. Regarding defending in the cage, "Chito" allows 5.37 significant strikes per minute while Zahabi absorbs 4.13. Vera also thwarts 50% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Zahabi is able to deflect 69% of the strikes thrown his way.

Concerning grappling, Marlon Vera is the more effective wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 0.51 times per 15 min. Vera is taking his opponents to the canvas on 39% of his tries and defending 72% of all takedown tries against him. Zahabi is taking his opponents to the mat on 14% of his takedown tries and is stopping 83% of the attempts against him. In terms of subbing opponents, Vera is the more skilled of the two fighters by attempting 0.8 submissions per 15 min while Zahabi goes for 0.4 submissions per 15 minutes.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Marlon Vera faced Deiveson Figueiredo and ended up walking away in defeat by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Figueiredo ended up landing 59 of 104 total strikes attempted in that contest. Vera finished this fight landing 67 of 136 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Figueiredo ended up landing 45 of 90, which means his percentage was 50%. He finished the fight landing 18 of 57 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Vera landed 44% of his significant strikes by connecting on 52 of 117. Of those significant strikes, he landed 15 of 67 to the head. 93% of the significant strikes connected on by Figueiredo and 88% of them connected on by Vera were thrown at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Aiemann Zahabi, he squared up with Jose Aldo and got a win for the night via unanimous decision in round 3. Aldo ended up connecting on 98% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Zahabi connected on 66% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Zahabi connected on 49% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 99 of 199. He ended up landing 79 of 167 significant strikes to the head. Aldo ended up connecting on 68 of 167 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up landing 48 of 135 directed at the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go in that fight, Aldo was 71 of 170 and Zahabi connected on 109 of 209 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Cody Gibson meets Aori Qileng. Gibson walks into the cage with a mark of 22-11-0. The 38-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and stands 5'10". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 71". Qileng stands in at 5'7" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 25-12-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old reaches 69". In the grappling category, Cody Gibson takes his opponents to the mat 2.13 times per 3 rounds and Aori Qileng takes his opponents to the mat 1.20 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Gibson connects for an average of 3.61 strikes/minute and connects on 45% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Aori Qileng, who tags the opposition on 49% of the strikes he has tried and connects on 4.65 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Matt Frevola is set to face off with Kyle Nelson. Nelson comes into this bout with a mark of 16-6-1. The 34-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'11". The switch fighter has an arm span of 71". Frevola stands in at 5'9" and is fighting at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 11-5-1. The 35-year-old reaches 71". Concerning grappling, Kyle Nelson defends against 73% of his opponents' takedown tries and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 20% of his tries. Frevola is taking his opponents down on 39% of the tries he takes and is able to deflect 36% of all takedown tries against him. Concerning striking, Nelson takes 4.72 strikes per min while he is landing 3.51 strikes per minute. Frevola, in contrast, absorbs 3.69 strikes/min and dishes out 3.37 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Marlon Vera (+111)

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