Mateusz Rebecki vs Chris Duncan Pick, 08/02/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 108 Odds
Mateusz Rebecki vs Chris Duncan
UFC Vegas 108
UFC Apex in Las Vegas
Saturday, August 2, 2025
Mateusz Rebecki will battle Chris Duncan at UFC Vegas 108 on Saturday, August 2, 2025. The opening odds have Rebecki at -205 while Duncan is coming in at +175.
Mateusz Rebecki comes into this fight with a record of 20-2-0. The 32-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 66". Chris "The Problem" Duncan stands in at 5'10" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 13-2-0. The 32-year-old has a wingspan of 71". When talking about significant strikes, Mateusz Rebecki is landing 4.70 per min while Chris Duncan is landing 4.20 significant strikes per minute. Rebecki connects on 48% of the significant strikes he throws and Duncan is landing 45%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, Rebecki absorbs 4.13 significant strikes per minute while "The Problem" absorbs 3.63. Rebecki also prevents 54% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Duncan is able to thwart 47% of the shots thrown his way.
| UFC Vegas 108 | Mateusz Rebecki | Chris Duncan |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -205 | +175 |
| Record | 20-2-0 | 13-2-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 9:47 | 7:19 |
| Height | 5'7" | 5'10" |
| Weight | 155 lbs | 155 lbs |
| Reach | 66" | 71" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.70 | 4.20 |
| Striking Accuracy | 48% | 45% |
In the wrestling category, Mateusz Rebecki is the lesser skilled grappler as he gets a takedown 3.84 times per 3 rds. Rebecki is finishing his takedown attempts on 75% of the times he tries and stuffing 45% of all takedown attempts. Duncan is scoring a takedown on 43% of the takedowns he tries and stuffing 37% of the tries against him. When it comes to going for the submission, Rebecki is the more capable fighter by trying 0.8 finishes per 15 minutes while Duncan goes for 0.6 finishes per 15 minutes.
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In his last fight, Mateusz Rebecki faced Myktybek Orolbai and ended up getting the victory in the fight via split decision in round 3. Orolbai landed 85 of 162 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Rebecki finished this fight landing 93 of 174 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Orolbai landed 61 of 135, giving him a percentage of 45%. He landed 46 of 114 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Rebecki landed 48% of his significant strikes by sticking 71 of 146. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 52 of 123 aimed at the head. 98% of the significant strikes landed by Orolbai and 76% of them landed by Rebecki were tallied at distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Chris Duncan, he squared up with Jordan Vucenic and ended up getting the win via a guillotine choke in round 2. Vucenic ended up connecting on 75% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Duncan ended up landing 53% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Duncan ended up connecting on 37% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 15 of 40. He landed 9 of 31 significant strikes directed at the head. Vucenic ended up connecting on 16 of 26 significant strikes in that fight. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 13 of 21 to the head. Relating to total strikes that he threw in that fight, Vucenic was 22 of 32 while Duncan ended up connecting on 24 of 50 of the strikes he threw in total.
Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on
Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Elves Brener enters the Octagon with Esteban Ribovics. Brener looks to add a win to his career total of 16-5-0. The 27-year-old tips the scales at 155 lbs and comes in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 72". Ribovics measures in at 5'10" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 14-2-0. The 29-year-old has a reach of 69". When it comes to grappling, Elves Brener takes his opponents to the mat 1.23 times per 3 rounds while Esteban Ribovics takes his opponents down 0.48 times per 15 minutes. In the striking category, Brener lands 3.99 strikes/min and is landing 47% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side we have Esteban Ribovics, who tags his opponent on 43% of the strikes he has tried and connects for an average of 8.08 per min.
If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos is set to fight Neil Magny. Magny looks to add a victory to his record of 29-14-0. The 37-year-old will fight at 170 lbs and measures in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter stretches 80". Zaleski dos Santos measures in at 5'11" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 25-9-1. The 38-year-old reaches 73". In terms of grappling, Neil Magny is able to stop 53% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is finishing his takedown attempts on 38% of his attempts. Zaleski dos Santos is finishing his takedowns on 20% of the attempts he tries and deflects 68% of the takedowns his opponents try. With regard to striking, Magny absorbs 2.48 strikes per min while he lands 3.43 per minute. Zaleski dos Santos, on the other side, takes 3.52 strikes/minute and dishes out 4.26 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Chris Duncan (+175)
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