Merab Dvalishvili vs Cory Sandhagen Pick, 10/04/2025 Predictions UFC 320 Odds
Merab Dvalishvili vs Cory Sandhagen
UFC 320
T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas
Saturday, October 4, 2025
Merab Dvalishvili will face off with Cory Sandhagen at UFC 320 on Saturday, October 4, 2025. The line has Dvalishvili coming in at -355 while Sandhagen is priced at +290.
Merab "The Machine" Dvalishvili steps into the Octagon holding a record of 20-4-0. The 34-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and stands 5'6". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 68". Cory Sandhagen comes in at 5'11" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The switch fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 18-5-0. The 33-year-old reaches 70". With respect to significant strikes, Merab Dvalishvili is connecting on 4.31 per min and Cory Sandhagen lands 5.06 significant strikes per minute. Dvalishvili connects on 42% of the significant strikes he tries and Sandhagen is connecting on 45%. When it comes to defending themselves, "The Machine" takes 2.48 significant strikes per minute and Sandhagen absorbs 3.34. Dvalishvili also curbs 56% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Sandhagen is able to thwart 56% of the shots thrown his way.
| UFC 320 | Merab Dvalishvili | Cory Sandhagen |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -355 | +290 |
| Record | 20-4-0 | 18-5-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 16:36 | 14:02 |
| Height | 5'6" | 5'11" |
| Weight | 135 lbs | 135 lbs |
| Reach | 68" | 70" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.31 | 5.06 |
| Striking Accuracy | 42% | 45% |
In terms of grappling, Merab Dvalishvili is the more skilled wrestler as he takes his opponents down 5.84 times per 15 min. Dvalishvili is finishing his takedown attempts on 35% of his attempts and defending 82% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Sandhagen is getting his opponent to the mat on 34% of his takedown tries and is stopping 63% of all takedowns attempted on him. When it comes to submissions, Dvalishvili is the more experienced of the two fighters by trying 0.5 finishes per 3 rounds while Sandhagen goes for 0.3 finishes per 15 minutes.
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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Merab Dvalishvili faced Sean O'Malley and wound up taking home the victory via guillotine choke in round 3. O'Malley landed 38 of 65 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Dvalishvili walked away from this fight having landed 141 of 215 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, O'Malley ended up landing 31 of 57, which gave him a rate of 54%. He landed 14 of 35 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Dvalishvili ended up landing 45% of his significant strikes by connecting on 52 of 115. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 33 of 92 to the head. 96% of the significant strikes landed by O'Malley and 55% of them landed by Dvalishvili were thrown at distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Cory Sandhagen, he squared up with Deiveson Figueiredo and took home the win via to a knee injury in round 2. Figueiredo connected on 66% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Sandhagen ended up landing 44% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Sandhagen ended up connecting on 62% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 54 of 87. He ended up landing 33 of 65 significant strikes to the head. Figueiredo ended up connecting on 6 of 9 significant strikes in that contest. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up connecting on 4 of 6 aimed at the head. Relating to total strikes thrown in that contest, Figueiredo connected on 8 of 11 and Sandhagen ended up landing 92 of 149 of all the strikes he threw.
Other bouts to watch
One more match to look forward to is when Jiri Prochazka encounters Khalil Rountree Jr.. Prochazka walks into the Octagon with a record of 31-5-1. The 32-year-old is weighing in at 205 lbs and comes in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 80". Rountree Jr. measures in at 6'1" and weighs 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter holds a mark of 14-6-0 (1 NC). The 35-year-old has a reach of 76". In the grappling category, Jiri Prochazka takes his opponents down 0.60 times per 3 rds while Khalil Rountree Jr. is able to score a takedown 0.30 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Prochazka tags his opponents 5.74 strikes per min and landing 55% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage you've got Khalil Rountree Jr., who lands 40% of the strikes he has thrown and is landing 3.79 per minute.
One more can't miss bout is when Youssef Zalal is set to fight Josh Emmett. Emmett has a career mark of 19-5-0. The 40-year-old will fight at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter stretches 70". Zalal measures in at 5'10" and steps on the scale at 145 lbs. The switch fighter steps into the cage with a record of 17-5-1. The 29-year-old has an arm span of 72". In the category of takedowns, Josh Emmett prevents 46% of the takedowns his opponents try and is taking his opponents to the mat on 37% of his attempts. Zalal is finishing his takedowns on 30% of the attempts he tries and is able to stop 59% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the category of striking, Emmett absorbs 4.46 strikes per minute while he is landing 3.75 strikes per minute. Zalal, notwithstanding, takes 1.80 strikes/minute and is landing 3.07 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Cory Sandhagen (+290)
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