Merab Dvalishvili vs Petr Yan Pick, 12/06/2025 Predictions UFC 323 Odds
Merab Dvalishvili vs Petr Yan
UFC 323
T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas
Saturday, December 6, 2025
Merab Dvalishvili will face off with Petr Yan at UFC 323 on Saturday, December 6, 2025. The line has Dvalishvili priced at -400 while Yan is at +330.
Merab "The Machine" Dvalishvili will be looking to add a win to his career total of 21-4-0. The 34-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and measures 5'6". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 68". Petr "No Mercy" Yan measures in at 5'7" and steps on the scale at 135 lbs. The switch fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 19-5-0. The 32-year-old stretches 67". Concerning significant strikes, Merab Dvalishvili is landing 4.33 per minute while Petr Yan is connecting on 5.12 significant strikes per min. Dvalishvili is landing 42% of the significant strikes he attempts and Yan lands 54%. Regarding defending in the cage, "The Machine" takes 2.55 significant strikes per minute while "No Mercy" takes 4.14. Dvalishvili also thwarts 56% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Yan curbs 58% of the strikes thrown in his direction.
| UFC 323 | Merab Dvalishvili | Petr Yan |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -400 | +330 |
| Record | 21-4-0 | 19-5-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 17:08 | 17:08 |
| Height | 5'6" | 5'7" |
| Weight | 135 lbs | 135 lbs |
| Reach | 68" | 67" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.33 | 5.12 |
| Striking Accuracy | 42% | 54% |
When it comes to wrestling, Merab Dvalishvili is the more effective grappler as he scores a takedown 6.40 times per 3 rds. Dvalishvili is scoring a takedown on 37% of the times he tries and stopping 82% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Yan is getting his opponent to the mat on 48% of the takedowns he tries and defending 85% of the tries against him. In terms of submission attempts, Dvalishvili is the more skilled technician by attempting 0.3 finishes per 3 rds while Yan attempts 0.1 finishes per 15 min.
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The last time he fought, Merab Dvalishvili squared up with Cory Sandhagen and wound up getting the win via unanimous decision in round 5. Sandhagen ended up landing 149 of 257 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Dvalishvili finished this fight landing 243 of 399 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Sandhagen landed 80 of 184 , which gave him a rate of 43%. He finished the fight landing 46 of 143 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Dvalishvili landed 43% of his significant strikes by connecting on 114 of 265 . In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 86 of 231 pointed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Sandhagen and 69% of them landed by Dvalishvili were thrown at distance.
In the last fight for Petr Yan, he faced off with Marcus McGhee and ended up getting the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. McGhee connected on 96% of his significant strikes at distance while Yan ended up connecting on 71% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Yan ended up landing 55% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 81 of 146 . He ended up landing 63 of 122 significant strikes to the head. McGhee connected on 64 of 170 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 44 of 128 to the head. In terms of total strikes attempted in that contest, McGhee connected on 66 of 173 and Yan was 130 of 202 of the strikes he threw in total.
Other fights to keep an eye on
Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Alexandre Pantoja squares up in the Octagon against Joshua Van. Pantoja comes into this bout with a mark of 30-5-0. The 35-year-old records a weight of 125 lbs and measures 5'5". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 67". Van stands in at 5'5" and is fighting at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a record of 15-2-0. The 24-year-old has a wingspan of 65". Regarding grappling, Alexandre Pantoja is able to score a takedown 2.80 times per 15 min and Joshua Van scores a takedown 0.85 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Pantoja connects on 4.36 strikes per minute and connecting on 50% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Joshua Van, who is landing 56% of the strikes he has tried and lands an average of 8.86 per minute.
If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Tatsuro Taira is set to square up against Brandon Moreno. Moreno will be looking to add a victory to his record of 23-8-2. The 31-year-old weighs 125 lbs and comes in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 70". Taira stands 5'7" and weighs 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 17-1-0. The 25-year-old reaches 70". When it comes to takedowns, Brandon Moreno is able to curb 64% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is taking his opponents down on 44% of the times he tries. Taira is finishing his takedown tries on 48% of the tries he takes and thwarts 45% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the category of striking, Moreno absorbs 3.62 strikes per min while he is landing 3.96 strikes per minute. Taira, at the same time, absorbs 2.54 strikes per min and dishes out 2.87 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Merab Dvalishvili (-400)
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