Miles Johns vs Daniel Marcos Pick, 11/08/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 111 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 11/4/2025

Miles Johns vs Daniel Marcos

UFC Vegas 111

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, November 8, 2025

Miles Johns will battle Daniel Marcos at UFC Vegas 111 on Saturday, November 8, 2025. The moneyline has Johns at +145 while Marcos is coming in at -170.

Miles "Chapo" Johns walks into the Octagon with a record of 15-4-0 (1 NC). The 31-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and measures 5'7". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 68". Daniel "Soncora" Marcos stands 5'7" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 17-1-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old has a wingspan of 69". Regarding significant strikes, Miles Johns lands 3.38 per min while Daniel Marcos lands 5.11 significant strikes per minute. Johns is connecting on 44% of the significant strikes he throws while Marcos connects on 53%. Concerning the fighter's defense, "Chapo" absorbs 2.99 significant strikes per minute and "Soncora" absorbs 3.88. Johns also defends against 66% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Marcos is able to thwart 61% of the shots thrown his way.

ufc picks Miles Johns ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC Vegas 111	Miles Johns	Daniel Marcos
Opening Odds	+145	-170
Record	15-4-0 (1 NC)	17-1-0 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time	13:32	12:58
Height	5'7"	5'7"
Weight	135 lbs	135 lbs
Reach	68"	69"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	3.38	5.11
Striking Accuracy	44%	53%

Regarding takedowns, Miles Johns is the more productive wrestler as he gets a takedown 1.29 times per 3 rounds. Johns is scoring a takedown on 26% of his tries and stopping 83% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Marcos is taking his opponents to the mat on 46% of his takedown attempts and is stuffing 84% of the tries against him. In terms of subbing opponents, Johns is less apt at going for the finish by trying 0.2 submissions per 15 min while Marcos looks to get 0.6 submissions per 15 min.

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DOC’S SPORTS UFC is coming off a no doubt 8-unit winner last time out (play cashed in the first round). Saturday will feature a 6-unit underdog totals play you do not want to miss (10 p.m.). It comes from UFC Fight Night 260 and you can watch it live on ESPN+. Sign-up now with a daily picks package from UFC/MMA/Boxing.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Miles Johns faced Jean Matsumoto and wound up walking away in defeat by way of split decision in round 3. Matsumoto landed 109 of 249 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Johns finished this fight landing 89 of 191 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Matsumoto landed 95 of 233 , which gave him a rate of 40%. He landed 49 of 160 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Johns landed 45% of his significant strikes by landing 83 of 184 . In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 70 of 170 pointed at the head. 91% of the significant strikes connected on by Matsumoto and 93% of them connected on by Johns were thrown at distance.

In the last fight for Daniel Marcos, he faced off with Adrian Yanez and ended up getting the win via split decision in round 3. Yanez ended up landing 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Marcos ended up connecting on 94% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Marcos landed 58% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 86 of 147 . He ended up landing 60 of 111 significant strikes aimed at the head. Yanez ended up connecting on 79 of 183 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he landed 57 of 156 aimed at the head. Regarding total strikes attempted in that contest, Yanez ended up landing 85 of 189 while Marcos was 95 of 156 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights on the card to keep an eye on

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Jackson McVey opposes Robert Valentin. McVey has a career mark of 6-1-0. The 26-year-old is fighting at 185 lbs and stands 6'4". The southpaw fighter stretches 77". Valentin stands 6'2" and will fight at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a record of 11-6-0 (1 NC). The 30-year-old reaches 77". When it comes to grappling, Jackson McVey takes his opponents to the canvas 0.00 times per 15 minutes and Robert Valentin gets a takedown 0.00 times per 15 min. In the striking category, McVey is connecting on 1.12 strikes per minute and is landing 26% of the strikes that he attempts. The other fighter in this bout is Robert Valentin, who tags the opposition on 56% of the strikes he attempts and connects on 1.13 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Jacqueline Cavalcanti is set to fight Mayra Bueno Silva. Bueno Silva has a record of 10-5-1 (1 NC). The 34-year-old tips the scales at 135 lbs and comes in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 66". Cavalcanti comes in at 5'8" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to her career record of 9-1-0. The 28-year-old reaches 70". In terms of grappling, Mayra Bueno Silva is stopping 63% of the takedowns her opponents try and is taking her opponents to the canvas on 29% of the times she tries. Cavalcanti is taking her opponents to the mat on 15% of the attempts she tries and is able to thwart 84% of all takedown attempts. In the category of striking, Bueno Silva is taking 4.85 strikes/min while she lands 3.83 strikes per minute. Cavalcanti, on the other side, absorbs 3.32 strikes per minute and deals 5.73 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miles Johns (+145)

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Pick:	Tijuana -165
Start:	November 7, 2025 @ 10:00 PM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Liga MX Take Tijuana -165 over Atlas (10 p.m. EST, Friday November 7) (Graded after regulation time - 90min - plus injury time – a DRAW is a loser here) Tijuana have qualified for the postseason and will compete in at least a play-in match but they have a chance to move up with three clubs within three points above them on the table. Atlas was eliminated over the weekend so they don’t have any motivation here. They are probably already making offseason plans. Atlas has the second worst defense in Liga MX heading into matchday 17, the final matchday of the season. They have lost four of their last five on the road, with only a draw against lowly Mazatlan to show for their recent road efforts. Tijuana haven’t exactly been racking up the points themselves, but they have had a difficult schedule. Make no mistake, this team has stunk on the road, a completely different club than what they have looked like at home. At home, here in Tijuana, they have been very impressive and have taken points in every matchup this season. In their last two, they took draws against Toluca (defending champs) and championship contender Monterrey. They beat championship contender Cruz Azul here earlier in the season. We expected this line to be heavy for Tijuana, possibly over -200, so we think there is great value here. Read More Read Less

Miles Johns vs Daniel Marcos Pick, 11/08/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 111 Odds

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