Petr Yan vs Marcus McGhee Pick, 07/26/2025 Predictions UFC Abu Dhabi Odds

Petr Yan vs Marcus McGhee

UFC Abu Dhabi

Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi

Saturday, July 26, 2025

Petr Yan will battle Marcus McGhee at UFC Abu Dhabi on Saturday, July 26, 2025. The opening moneyline has Yan priced at -350 while McGhee is coming in at +285.

Petr "No Mercy" Yan steps into the Octagon holding a record of 18-5-0. The 32-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The switch fighter extends his reach 67". Marcus "The Maniac" McGhee measures in at 5'8" and steps on the scale at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 10-1-0. The 35-year-old reaches 69". When talking about significant strikes, Petr Yan lands 5.11 per min and Marcus McGhee is connecting on 6.06 significant strikes per minute. Yan is landing 54% of the significant strikes he throws and McGhee connects on 48%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, "No Mercy" allows 4.13 significant strikes per minute and "The Maniac" takes 2.83. Yan also stops 58% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while McGhee deflects 64% of the shots thrown.

Regarding takedowns, Petr Yan is averaging more takedowns in the cage as he is able to score a takedown 1.61 times per 3 rds. Yan is taking his opponents to the canvas on 49% of his attempts and thwarting 84% of all takedown tries against him. McGhee is finishing his takedowns on 33% of the takedowns he tries and is stopping 85% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding submissions, Yan is less apt at going for the finish by going for 0.1 submissions per 15 minutes while McGhee goes for 0.5 submissions per 3 rds.

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In his last bout, Petr Yan went up against Deiveson Figueiredo and wound up getting the victory by way of unanimous decision in round 5. Figueiredo landed 53 of 119 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Yan finished this fight landing 190 of 263 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Figueiredo landed 53 of 119, which means his percentage was 44%. He finished the fight landing 23 of 75 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Yan landed 62% of his significant strikes by sticking 121 of 193. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 78 of 142 pointed at the head. 92% of the significant strikes landed by Figueiredo and 85% of them connected on by Yan were thrown at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Marcus McGhee, he fought Jonathan Martinez and took home the victory via unanimous decision in round 3. Martinez ended up landing 95% of his significant strikes at distance and McGhee ended up connecting on 98% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. McGhee landed 45% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 102 of 223. He connected on 60 of 167 significant strikes directed at the head. Martinez ended up landing 48 of 108 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 24 of 76 to the head. Relating to the total strikes thrown in this fight, Martinez was 49 of 109 and McGhee was 105 of 226 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Shara Magomedov encounters Marc-Andre Barriault. Magomedov walks into the Octagon holding a record of 15-1-0. The 31-year-old records a weight of 185 lbs and stands 6'2". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 73". Barriault stands 6'1" and weighs in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career total of 17-9-0 (1 NC). The 35-year-old stretches 74". Regarding grappling, Shara Magomedov gets his opposition to the mat 0.70 times per 3 rounds while Marc-Andre Barriault gets a takedown 0.21 times per 15 min. When talking about striking, Magomedov is landing 5.87 strikes/minute and lands 62% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage we have Marc-Andre Barriault, who tags his opponent on 47% of the strikes he has tried and is connecting on 6.02 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Bogdan Guskov is set to square up against Nikita Krylov. Krylov steps into the cage holding a mark of 30-10-0. The 33-year-old is fighting at 205 lbs and stands in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter stretches 77". Guskov stands in at 6'3" and is fighting at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 17-3-0. The 32-year-old has a wingspan of 76". In terms of grappling, Nikita Krylov is preventing 53% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 38% of his tries. Guskov is finishing his takedowns on 15% of the tries he takes and is able to curb 57% of the takedowns his opponents try. With reference to striking, Krylov is taking 2.49 strikes per minute and he lands 4.33 strikes per min. Guskov, on the other hand, takes 3.22 strikes/minute and connects on 3.96 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Marcus McGhee (+285)

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