Tecia Pennington vs Denise Gomes Pick, 11/08/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 111 Odds
Tecia Pennington vs Denise Gomes
UFC Vegas 111
UFC Apex in Las Vegas
Saturday, November 8, 2025
Tecia Pennington will face off against Denise Gomes at UFC Vegas 111 on Saturday, November 8, 2025. The opening line has Pennington coming in at +150 while Gomes is coming in at -175.
Tecia "Tiny Tornado" Pennington comes into this fight holding a mark of 15-7-0. The 36-year-old steps on the scale at 115 lbs and stands 5'1". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 60". Denise "Dee" Gomes measures 5'2" and records a weight of 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to her career total of 11-3-0. The 25-year-old reaches 63". Regarding significant strikes, Tecia Pennington connects on 4.78 per min while Denise Gomes connects on 4.59 significant strikes per min. Pennington connects on 48% of the significant strikes she tries while Gomes lands 50%. When it comes to defending themselves, "Tiny Tornado" absorbs 3.48 significant strikes per minute and "Dee" allows 3.04. Pennington also stops 61% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her while Gomes is able to deflect 51% of the strikes thrown her way.
| UFC Vegas 111 | Tecia Pennington | Denise Gomes |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +150 | -175 |
| Record | 15-7-0 | 11-3-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 13:56 | 11:04 |
| Height | 5'1" | 5'2" |
| Weight | 115 lbs | 115 lbs |
| Reach | 60" | 63" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.78 | 4.59 |
| Striking Accuracy | 48% | 50% |
In the grappling category, Tecia Pennington is not as efficient of a wrestler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 0.54 times per 15 min. Pennington is scoring a takedown on 13% of her tries and stopping 62% of the takedowns her opponents try. Gomes is getting her opponent to the mat on 36% of her takedown tries and stopping 67% of the attempts against her. Regarding submissions, Pennington is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by trying 0.1 subs per 15 minutes while Gomes attempts 0.8 subs per 15 minutes.
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In her last fight, Tecia Pennington fought Luana Pinheiro and ended up getting the victory in the fight by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Pinheiro ended up landing 46 of 118 total strikes that she let go in that contest. Pennington walked away from this fight having landed 78 of 149 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Pinheiro landed 40 of 110 , which gave her a percentage of 36%. She finished the fight landing 23 of 85 significant strikes directed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Pennington ended up landing 49% of her significant strikes by sticking 63 of 127 . In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, she landed 34 of 82 aimed at the head. 82% of the significant strikes connected on by Pinheiro and 88% of them landed by Pennington were tallied at distance.
In the last fight for Denise Gomes, she battled Elise Reed and wound up taking home the win by punches to the head in round 2. Reed ended up landing 90% of the significant strikes she took from distance while Gomes ended up landing 39% of the significant strikes she took from distance. Gomes connected on 66% of her significant strikes attempted by connecting on 28 of 42 . She ended up landing 18 of 29 significant strikes aimed at the head. Reed landed 11 of 21 significant strikes in that fight. Out of those significant strikes, she landed 5 of 15 directed at the head. In relation to total strikes that she let go in that contest, Reed connected on 35 of 47 and Gomes was 69 of 86 total strikes.
Other bouts on the card to watch
An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Gabriel Bonfim faces off against Randy Brown. Bonfim will be looking to add a win to his career record of 18-1-0. The 28-year-old is weighing in at 170 lbs and stands 6'1". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 72". Brown comes in at 6'3" and is fighting at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 20-6-0. The 35-year-old has an arm span of 78". When it comes to grappling, Gabriel Bonfim takes his opponents to the mat 4.03 times per 3 rounds while Randy Brown scores a takedown 0.79 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Bonfim connects for an average of 4.54 strikes/minute and lands 45% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage you've got Randy Brown, who connects on 47% of his attempted strikes and connects on 4.47 per min.
Another must see fight on the night is when Joseph Morales is set to enter the Octagon against Matt Schnell. Schnell will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 17-9-0 (1 NC). The 35-year-old weighs 125 lbs and stands in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 70". Morales stands 5'6" and is weighing in at 125 lbs. The switch fighter comes into this fight with a record of 14-2-0. The 31-year-old reaches 69". In terms of grappling, Matt Schnell is able to defend against 43% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is finishing his takedowns on 40% of his attempts. Morales is taking his opponents down on 42% of his tries and stops 28% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the category of striking, Schnell is taking 4.17 strikes/minute while he dishes out 4.13 strikes/min. Morales, notwithstanding, absorbs 2.11 strikes per min and is landing 2.02 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Denise Gomes (-175)
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