Tim Elliott vs Kai Asakura Pick, 08/16/2025 Predictions UFC 319 Odds

Tim Elliott vs Kai Asakura

UFC 319

United Center in Chicago

Saturday, August 16, 2025

Tim Elliott will enter the Octagon against Kai Asakura at UFC 319 on Saturday, August 16, 2025. The opening line has Elliott priced at +240 while Asakura is at -300.

Tim Elliott steps into the cage holding a record of 21-13-1. The 38-year-old steps on the scale at 125 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The southpaw fighter stretches 66". Kai Asakura measures 5'8" and weighs in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 21-5-0. The 31-year-old stretches 69". Regarding significant strikes, Tim Elliott connects on 3.39 per min and Kai Asakura lands 2.40 significant strikes per min. Elliott lands 44% of the significant strikes he throws while Asakura is landing 58%. When it comes to defending themselves, Elliott takes 2.66 significant strikes per min and Asakura takes 4.52. Elliott also stops 56% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Asakura is able to deflect 38% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

In the wrestling category, Tim Elliott is the more effective grappler as he scores a takedown 3.73 times per 3 rds. Elliott is taking his opponents to the canvas on 47% of his tries and stopping 59% of all takedowns attempted on him. Asakura is taking his opponents down on 10% of the takedowns he tries and stuffing 57% of the attempts against him. When it comes to going for the submission, Elliott is the more skilled technician by trying 1.0 submission per 15 minutes while Asakura goes for 0.5 submissions per 15 minutes.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Tim Elliott fought Sumudaerji and wound up taking home the victory by an arm triangle in round 1. Sumudaerji ended up landing 10 of 25 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Elliott ended the night having landed 26 of 37 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Sumudaerji ended up landing 10 of 25, giving him a percentage of 40%. He ended up landing 6 of 19 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Elliott ended up landing 47% of his significant strikes by connecting on 10 of 21. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 6 of 13 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Sumudaerji and 80% of them connected on by Elliott were tallied at a distance.

In the last bout for Kai Asakura, he squared up with Alexandre Pantoja and ended up losing the fight by rear naked choke in round 2. Pantoja landed 93% of his significant strikes at distance while Asakura ended up landing 100% of his significant strikes at distance. Asakura ended up landing 58% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 17 of 29. He ended up connecting on 10 of 20 significant strikes aimed at the head. Pantoja ended up landing 32 of 52 significant strikes in that battle. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 15 of 33 to the head. Relating to total strikes attempted in that fight, Pantoja ended up connecting on 33 of 53 while Asakura ended up landing 30 of 44 total strikes.

Other bouts on the card to watch

One more match to look forward to is when King Green squares up against Diego Ferreira. Green will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 32-17-1 (1 NC). The 38-year-old will fight at 155 lbs and stands 5'10". The orthodox fighter reaches 71". Ferreira measures in at 5'9" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 19-6-0. The 40-year-old has a wingspan of 74". Regarding grappling, King Green takes his opponents to the mat 1.22 times per 15 min and Diego Ferreira is able to score a takedown 0.86 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Green connects for an average of 6.40 strikes per minute and connecting on 52% of his attempted strikes. Joining him in the Octagon is Diego Ferreira, who tags the opposition on 40% of the strikes he has attempted and connects on 4.82 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Michal Oleksiejczuk is set to clash with Gerald Meerschaert. Meerschaert will be looking to add a win to his career record of 37-19-0. The 37-year-old weighs in at 185 lbs and stands 6'1". The southpaw fighter reaches 77". Oleksiejczuk comes in at 6'0" and is fighting at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter holds a record of 20-9-0 (1 NC). The 30-year-old extends his reach 74". In terms of wrestling, Gerald Meerschaert is preventing 42% of the takedowns his opponents try and is taking his opponents to the mat on 31% of the times he tries. Oleksiejczuk is finishing his takedowns on 43% of his tries and is able to curb 48% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Meerschaert is absorbing 3.43 strikes per minute while he is dishing out 3.05 strikes/minute. Oleksiejczuk, at the same time, is taking 4.51 strikes per min and is dishing out 5.27 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Kai Asakura (-300)

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