Tom Nolan vs Charlie Campbell Pick, 09/27/2025 Predictions UFC Perth Odds
Tom Nolan vs Charlie Campbell
UFC Perth
RAC Arena in Perth, Western Australia
Saturday, September 27, 2025
Tom Nolan will battle Charlie Campbell at UFC Perth on Saturday, September 27, 2025. The opening line has Nolan coming in at -150 while Campbell is coming in at +130.
Tom "Big Train" Nolan will be looking to add a win to his career total of 9-1-0. The 25-year-old weighs 155 lbs and comes in at 6'3". The southpaw fighter stretches 73". Charlie "The Cannibal" Campbell measures 6'0" and is weighing in at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 9-2-0. The 30-year-old stretches 72". With respect to significant strikes, Tom Nolan is landing 5.82 per min while Charlie Campbell lands 5.55 significant strikes per minute. Nolan lands 45% of the significant strikes he attempts and Campbell lands 54%. Regarding defense, "Big Train" takes 4.85 significant strikes per min and "The Cannibal" absorbs 3.73. Nolan also defends against 46% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Campbell is able to deflect 55% of them.
| UFC Perth | Tom Nolan | Charlie Campbell |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -150 | +130 |
| Record | 9-1-0 | 9-2-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 7:15 | 6:47 |
| Height | 6'3" | 6'0" |
| Weight | 155 lbs | 155 lbs |
| Reach | 73" | 72" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.82 | 5.55 |
| Striking Accuracy | 45% | 54% |
In the category of takedowns, Tom Nolan is the not as competent as a wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 0.41 times per 3 rounds. Nolan is scoring a takedown on 12% of his attempts and defending 66% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Campbell is finishing his takedown attempts on 40% of his takedown attempts and stopping 71% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding subbing the opposition, Nolan is the more experienced of the two fighters by trying 1.6 subs per 15 min while Campbell tries 0.6 subs per 15 minutes.
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The last time he fought, Tom Nolan fought Viacheslav Borshchev and wound up getting the victory by unanimous decision in round 3. Borshchev landed 92 of 163 total strikes attempted in that contest. Nolan finished this fight landing 111 of 236 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Borshchev ended up landing 66 of 118, which gave him a rate of 55%. He finished the fight landing 20 of 67 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Nolan landed 39% of his significant strikes by connecting on 69 of 175. Of those significant strikes, he was 43 of 130 to the head. 92% of the significant strikes landed by Borshchev and 91% of them connected on by Nolan were thrown at a distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Charlie Campbell, he went up against Trevor Peek and got a win for the night by unanimous decision in round 3. Peek ended up landing 72% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Campbell ended up landing 74% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Campbell ended up landing 54% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 54 of 100. He ended up landing 20 of 50 significant strikes aimed at the head. Peek ended up landing 47 of 97 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up landing 32 of 77 directed at the head. Regarding total strikes that he let go, Peek landed 62 of 118 while Campbell landed 100 of 153 total strikes.
Other fights to watch
Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Navajo Stirling battles Rodolfo Bellato. Stirling steps into the Octagon with a mark of 7-0-0. The 27-year-old tips the scales at 205 lbs and comes in at 6'4". The orthodox fighter stretches 79". Bellato stands in at 6'3" and steps on the scale at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a record of 12-2-1 (1 NC). The 29-year-old stretches 75". In the grappling category, Navajo Stirling is averaging a takedown 1.20 times per 3 rounds while Rodolfo Bellato takes his opponents to the canvas 1.40 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Stirling lands an average of 6.43 strikes/minute and is landing 52% of his attempted strikes. Joining him in the Octagon is Rodolfo Bellato, who tags his opponent on 61% of the strikes he has tried and connects on 5.84 per min.
If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Andre Petroski is set to square up with Cameron Rowston. Rowston holds a record of 12-3-0. The 30-year-old weighs in at 185 lbs and comes in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 78". Petroski stands in at 6'0" and is weighing in at 185 lbs. The switch fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 13-4-0. The 34-year-old stretches 73". When it comes to takedowns, Cameron Rowston prevents 28% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is getting his opponent to the mat on 50% of his tries. Petroski is finishing his takedown tries on 51% of his attempts and is able to defend against 86% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the matter of striking, Rowston is taking 2.34 strikes/minute and he lands 3.23 per minute. Petroski, on the contrary, is taking 2.75 strikes/min and deals 2.82 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Tom Nolan (-150)
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