Vicente Luque vs Kevin Holland Pick, 06/07/2025 Predictions UFC 316 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 6/4/2025

Vicente Luque vs Kevin Holland

UFC 316

Prudential Center in Newark, NJ

Saturday, June 7, 2025

Vicente Luque will take on Kevin Holland at UFC 316 on Saturday, June 7, 2025. The odds have Luque coming in at +215 while Holland is priced at -265.

Vicente "The Silent Assassin" Luque will be looking to add a win to his career record of 23-10-1. The 33-year-old will fight at 170 lbs and stands in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 75". Kevin "Trailblazer" Holland stands in at 6'3" and will fight at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 27-13-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old stretches 81". With respect to significant strikes, Vicente Luque is connecting on 5.05 per min and Kevin Holland lands 4.19 significant strikes per min. Luque is connecting on 51% of the significant strikes he throws and Holland connects on 50%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, "The Silent Assassin" allows 5.22 significant strikes per min while "Trailblazer" takes 3.10. Luque also stops 52% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Holland defends against 50% of them.

ufc picks Vicente Luque ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC 316	Vicente Luque	Kevin Holland
Opening Odds	+215	-265
Record	23-10-1	27-13-0 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time	9:37	10:28
Height	5'11"	6'3"
Weight	170 lbs	170 lbs
Reach	75"	81"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	5.05	4.19
Striking Accuracy	51%	50%

Regarding takedowns, Vicente Luque is the more apt wrestler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 0.99 times per 15 min. Luque is scoring a takedown on 53% of his tries and is stopping 62% of all takedowns attempted on him. Holland is taking his opponents to the mat on 37% of the takedowns he tries and is defending 54% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding sub attempts, Luque is the more capable fighter by trying 0.7 subs per 3 rds while Holland looks to get 0.6 subs per 15 min.

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In his last bout, Vicente Luque fought Themba Gorimbo and took home the victory by way of an anaconda choke in round 1. Gorimbo ended up landing 5 of 9 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Luque walked away from this fight having landed 2 of 6 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Gorimbo landed 5 of 9 , which gave him a percentage of 55%. He ended up landing 1 of 5 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Luque ended up landing 33% of his significant strikes by landing 2 of 6 . Of all the significant strikes, he landed 1 of 4 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Gorimbo and 100% of them landed by Luque were tallied at a distance.

In the last fight for Kevin Holland, he faced off with Gunnar Nelson and wound up getting the victory by unanimous decision in round 3. Nelson landed 13% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Holland ended up landing 27% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Holland ended up landing 61% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 55 of 89 . He ended up landing 30 of 57 significant strikes directed at the head. Nelson ended up landing 15 of 24 significant strikes in that battle. Of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 10 of 19 to the head. Regarding total strikes that he threw in that fight, Nelson landed 30 of 44 while Holland was 138 of 178 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts on the card to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Bruno Silva fights Joshua Van. Silva comes into this bout with a mark of 14-6-2 (1 NC). The 35-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and stands 5'4". The orthodox fighter stretches 65". Van stands 5'5" and records a weight of 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his total of 13-2-0. The 23-year-old has an arm span of 65". In terms of takedowns, Bruno Silva gets his opposition to the mat 1.92 times per 15 minutes while Joshua Van takes his opponents to the canvas 1.11 times per 15 min. When talking about striking, Silva tags his opponents 3.54 strikes/minute and landing 49% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage we have Joshua Van, who tags his opponent on 54% of the strikes he attempts and is connecting on 8.10 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Brendson Ribeiro is set to take on Azamat Murzakanov. Murzakanov will be looking to add a win to his career record of 14-0-0. The 36-year-old tips the scales at 205 lbs and comes in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 71". Ribeiro measures 6'3" and will fight at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 17-7-0 (1 NC). The 28-year-old reaches 81". In terms of grappling, Azamat Murzakanov is able to defend against 83% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is finishing his takedowns on 15% of the times he tries. Ribeiro is taking his opponents to the mat on 42% of the tries he takes and is able to thwart 5% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the matter of striking, Murzakanov is absorbing 2.90 strikes/minute and he is connecting on 4.72 per min. Ribeiro, at the same time, absorbs 3.72 strikes per minute and is dealing 3.34 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Vicente Luque (+215)

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Vicente Luque vs Kevin Holland Pick, 06/07/2025 Predictions UFC 316 Odds

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