Virna Jandiroba vs Mackenzie Dern Pick, 10/25/2025 Predictions UFC 321 Odds
Virna Jandiroba vs Mackenzie Dern
UFC 321
Eithad Arena in Abu Dhabi
Saturday, October 25, 2025
Virna Jandiroba will take on Mackenzie Dern at UFC 321 on Saturday, October 25, 2025. The line has Jandiroba priced at +123 while Dern is at -143.
Virna "Carcara" Jandiroba comes into this fight with a record of 22-3-0. The 37-year-old steps on the scale at 115 lbs and measures 5'3". The orthodox fighter stretches 64". Mackenzie Dern stands 5'4" and weighs 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a record of 15-5-0. The 32-year-old extends her reach 63". In terms of significant strikes, Virna Jandiroba connects on 1.97 per minute and Mackenzie Dern is connecting on 3.31 significant strikes per minute. Jandiroba is connecting on 38% of the significant strikes she tries while Dern is landing 40%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, "Carcara" allows 2.55 significant strikes per minute while Dern takes 3.90. Jandiroba also stops 57% of the significant strikes her opponents attempt and Dern is able to thwart 52% of the shots thrown in her direction.
| UFC 321 | Virna Jandiroba | Mackenzie Dern |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +123 | -143 |
| Record | 22-3-0 | 15-5-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 12:04 | 13:27 |
| Height | 5'3" | 5'4" |
| Weight | 115 lbs | 115 lbs |
| Reach | 64" | 63" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 1.97 | 3.31 |
| Striking Accuracy | 38% | 40% |
In terms of takedowns, Virna Jandiroba is the more effective grappler as she is able to score a takedown 2.37 times per 15 minutes. Jandiroba is scoring a takedown on 33% of her tries and defending 73% of the takedowns her opponents try. Dern is getting her opponent to the mat on 17% of the takedowns she attempts and stuffing 25% of all takedowns attempted by her opposition. Regarding subbing opponents, Jandiroba is the more capable fighter by attempting 1.8 finishes per 3 rds while Dern tries 1.2 finishes per 15 min.
Today’s Featured MMA Best Bet!
DOC’S SPORTS UFC is coming off a no doubt 8-unit winner last time out (play cashed in the first round). Saturday will feature a 6-unit underdog totals play you do not want to miss (10 p.m.). It comes from UFC Fight Night 260 and you can watch it live on ESPN+. Sign-up now with a daily picks package from UFC/MMA/Boxing. You can get this top rated play complimentary when you set up a free $60 account here at Doc’s Sports and use part of it towards his a one day MMA package. Join Now!
|
Get all of our Free UFC Picks
The last time she fought, Virna Jandiroba faced Yan Xiaonan and took home the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Xiaonan ended up landing 64 of 103 total strikes attempted in that contest. Jandiroba walked away from this fight having landed 96 of 131 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Xiaonan landed 17 of 44, giving her a percentage of 38%. She ended up landing 13 of 34 significant strikes directed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Jandiroba ended up landing 55% of her significant strikes by landing 11 of 20. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, she landed 11 of 20 aimed at the head. 70% of the significant strikes landed by Xiaonan and 72% of them connected on by Jandiroba were thrown at a distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Mackenzie Dern, she fought Amanda Ribas and took home the win by an armbar from the mount position in round 3. Ribas ended up connecting on 82% of her significant strikes at distance and Dern connected on 66% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance. Dern landed 58% of her significant strikes attempted by connecting on 27 of 46. She connected on 13 of 27 significant strikes directed at the head. Ribas ended up landing 17 of 56 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, she landed 10 of 44 aimed at the head. In regard to the total strikes thrown in this fight, Ribas landed 99 of 151 and Dern was 82 of 107 total strikes.
Other bouts on the card to watch out for
Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Jaqueline Amorim goes up against Mizuki Inoue. Amorim steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 10-1-0. The 30-year-old steps on the scale at 115 lbs and comes in at 5'3". The orthodox fighter reaches 68". Inoue measures in at 5'3" and weighs in at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 15-6-0. The 31-year-old extends her reach 65". In terms of takedowns, Jaqueline Amorim gets a takedown 2.22 times per 3 rounds while Mizuki Inoue takes her opponents to the canvas 0.33 times per 15 min. When talking about striking, Amorim lands 2.68 strikes per min and is connecting on 53% of the strikes that she throws. On the other side we have Mizuki Inoue, who is landing 50% of the strikes she has thrown and is connecting on 4.56 per min.
If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Ciryl Gane is set to square up in the Octagon against Tom Aspinall. Aspinall walks into the Octagon holding a record of 15-3-0. The 32-year-old records a weight of 253 lbs and measures in at 6'5". The orthodox fighter stretches 78". Gane measures 6'4" and tips the scales at 245 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career record of 13-2-0. The 35-year-old has an arm span of 81". Regarding wrestling, Tom Aspinall is stopping 85% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is taking his opponents down on 85% of the times he tries. Gane is finishing his takedowns on 25% of the attempts he tries and thwarts 43% of all takedown attempts. With reference to striking, Aspinall takes 2.89 strikes per minute while he is dishing out 8.07 strikes per min. Gane, on the other side, is taking 2.23 strikes/minute and is dealing 5.26 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Virna Jandiroba (+123)
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Get all of Today's Free UFC Picks
Get all of Today's Expert UFC Picks
Most Recent UFC Picks
- Umar Nurmagomedov vs Mario Bautista Pick, 10/25/2025 Predictions UFC 321 Odds
- Nathaniel Wood vs Jose Delgado Pick, 10/25/2025 Predictions UFC 321 Odds
- Ikram Aliskerov vs JunYong Park Pick, 10/25/2025 Predictions UFC 321 Odds
- Nasrat Haqparast vs Quillan Salkilld Pick, 10/25/2025 Predictions UFC 321 Odds
- Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady vs Matheus Camilo Pick, 10/25/2025 Predictions UFC 321 Odds
- Alexander Volkov vs Jailton Almeida Pick, 10/25/2025 Predictions UFC 321 Odds
- Ludovit Klein vs Mateusz Rebecki Pick, 10/25/2025 Predictions UFC 321 Odds
- Aleksandar Rakic vs Azamat Murzakanov Pick, 10/25/2025 Predictions UFC 321 Odds
- Hamdy Abdelwahab vs Chris Barnett Pick, 10/25/2025 Predictions UFC 321 Odds
- Jaqueline Amorim vs Mizuki Inoue Pick, 10/25/2025 Predictions UFC 321 Odds