Ailin Perez vs Macy Chiasson Pick, 02/28/2026 Predictions UFC Mexico Odds
Ailin Perez vs Macy Chiasson
UFC Mexico
Arena CDMX in Mexico City
Saturday, February 28, 2026
Ailin Perez will take on Macy Chiasson at UFC Mexico on Saturday, February 28, 2026. The opening odds have Perez at -185 while Chiasson is coming in at +160.
Ailin "Fiona" Perez will be looking to add a win to her record of 12-2-0. The 31-year-old tips the scales at 135 lbs and comes in at 5' 5". The switch fighter extends her reach 66". Macy Chiasson stands in at 5' 11" and steps on the scale at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 11-5-0. The 34-year-old stretches 72". When talking about significant strikes, Ailin Perez is connecting on 3.10 per min and Macy Chiasson connects on 3.50 significant strikes per min. Perez is connecting on 54% of the significant strikes she attempts while Chiasson is landing 46%. Concerning their defense in the cage, "Fiona" takes 1.79 significant strikes per min while Chiasson absorbs 2.86. Perez also prevents 55% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her and Chiasson stops 45% of the strikes thrown her way.
| UFC Mexico | Ailin Perez | Macy Chiasson |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -185 | +160 |
| Record | 12-2-0 | 11-5-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 12:18 | 10:36 |
| Height | 5' 5" | 5' 11" |
| Weight | 135 lbs | 135 lbs |
| Reach | 66" | 72" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.10 | 3.50 |
| Striking Accuracy | 54% | 46% |
Regarding takedowns, Ailin Perez is the more productive wrestler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 4.68 times per 15 min. Perez is scoring a takedown on 46% of her tries and is stuffing 66% of all takedown attempts. Chiasson is getting her opponent to the mat on 37% of the takedowns she tries and is stopping 72% of all takedowns attempted by her opposition. When it comes to subbing the opposition, Perez is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by attempting 0.2 subs per 3 rounds while Chiasson attempts 0.4 subs per 3 rounds.
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In her last bout, Ailin Perez fought Karol Rosa and wound up taking home the victory via unanimous decision in round 3. Rosa landed 120 of 182 of the strikes she let go in total for this contest. Perez walked away from this fight having landed 81 of 155 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Rosa landed 53 of 112, giving her a percentage of 47%. She finished the fight landing 20 of 67 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Perez ended up landing 47% of her significant strikes by sticking 62 of 131. Of those significant strikes, she connected on 28 of 87 aimed at the head. 92% of the significant strikes connected on by Rosa and 90% of them landed by Perez were done at distance.
In the last fight for Macy Chiasson, she fought Yana Santos and took a loss on the night by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Santos ended up landing 44% of the significant strikes she took from distance while Chiasson ended up landing 44% of the significant strikes she took from distance. Chiasson connected on 45% of the significant strikes she attempted by connecting on 54 of 118. She ended up connecting on 25 of 76 significant strikes directed at the head. Santos landed 65 of 124 significant strikes in that battle. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, she connected on 29 of 74 to the head. In relation to total strikes that she let go in that fight, Santos was 115 of 176 and Chiasson ended up landing 91 of 158 of all the strikes she attempted.
Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on
One more match to look forward to is when Sofia Montenegro squares up against Ernesta Kareckaite. Montenegro will be looking to add a win to her career total of 6-2-0. The 26-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and stands in at 5' 6". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 67". Kareckaite stands 5' 9" and steps on the scale at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to her total of 6-1-1. The 27-year-old stretches 71". When it comes to grappling, Sofia Montenegro is able to score a takedown 1.00 times per 15 min while Ernesta Kareckaite takes her opponents to the canvas 0.67 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Montenegro is connecting on 4.27 strikes per min and is landing 40% of the strikes that she throws. On the other side we have Ernesta Kareckaite, who connects on 42% of the strikes she has attempted and lands an average of 7.38 per minute.
An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Lone'er Kavanagh is set to face off against Brandon Moreno. Moreno has a career mark of 23-9-2. The 32-year-old steps on the scale at 125 lbs and measures in at 5' 7". The orthodox fighter stretches 70". Kavanagh stands in at 5' 6" and will fight at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career total of 9-1-0. The 26-year-old has a wingspan of 67". In terms of grappling, Brandon Moreno is able to defend against 64% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is taking his opponents to the mat on 44% of the times he tries. Kavanagh is taking his opponents to the mat on 50% of the tries he takes and is able to deflect 88% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Moreno absorbs 3.62 strikes/min while he is dishing out 3.89 per minute. Kavanagh, on the other side, is absorbing 3.69 strikes per min and connects on 4.29 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Ailin Perez (-185)
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