Andre Lima vs Kevin Borjas Pick, 06/20/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 119 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 6/19/2026

Andre Lima vs Kevin Borjas

UFC Vegas 119

Meta Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, June 20, 2026

Andre Lima will take on Kevin Borjas at UFC Vegas 119 on Saturday, June 20, 2026. The opening line has Lima coming in at -650 while Borjas is coming in at +475.

Andre "Mascote" Lima will be looking to add a victory to his record of 11-0-0. The 27-year-old will fight at 125 lbs and stands 5'7". The orthodox fighter reaches 67". Kevin "El Gallo Negro" Borjas measures 5'5" and is fighting at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 10-5-0. The 28-year-old extends his reach 68". In the category of significant strikes, Andre Lima is connecting on 4.06 per min and Kevin Borjas lands 3.96 significant strikes per minute. Lima connects on 60% of the significant strikes he tries while Borjas is connecting on 44%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, "Mascote" absorbs 2.49 significant strikes per min while "El Gallo Negro" takes 5.64. Lima also deflects 57% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Borjas is able to deflect 49% of the shots thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Andre Lima ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC Vegas 119	Andre Lima	Kevin Borjas
Opening Odds	-650	+475
Record	11-0-0	10-5-0
Average Fight Time	13:11	12:39
Height	5'7"	5'5"
Weight	125 lbs	125 lbs
Reach	67"	68"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.06	3.96
Striking Accuracy	60%	44%

When it comes to wrestling, Andre Lima is the more efficient wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 1.36 times per 15 min. Lima is getting his opponent to the mat on 75% of his tries and thwarting 75% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Borjas is getting his opponent to the mat on 15% of the takedowns he attempts and stuffing 70% of the tries against him. When it comes to sub attempts, Lima is the more skilled technician by trying 1.1 finishes per 3 rds while Borjas attempts 0.5 finishes per 3 rounds.

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In his last bout, Andre Lima fought Daniel Barez and ended up getting the victory in the fight via rear naked choke in round 3. Barez ended up landing 34 of 80 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Lima walked away from this fight having landed 161 of 220 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Barez landed 33 of 79, which gave him a percentage of 41%. He landed 21 of 66 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Lima ended up landing 67% of his significant strikes by connecting on 108 of 159. Of those significant strikes, he landed 59 of 99 pointed at the head. 96% of the significant strikes landed by Barez and 83% of them connected on by Lima were tallied at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Kevin Borjas, he battled Imanol Rodriguez and ended up walking away in defeat by way of a punch to the head in round 2. Rodriguez ended up connecting on 65% of his significant strikes at distance and Borjas ended up landing 90% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Borjas landed 42% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 22 of 52. He landed 17 of 45 significant strikes directed at the head. Rodriguez ended up landing 46 of 84 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 35 of 67 aimed at the head. Discussing total strikes attempted in that contest, Rodriguez landed 55 of 93 and Borjas landed 24 of 54 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Allan Nascimento faces off with Mitch Raposo. Nascimento steps into the Octagon with a record of 22-6-0. The 34-year-old will fight at 125 lbs and measures 5'8". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 69". Raposo comes in at 5'5" and weighs 125 lbs. The switch fighter will be looking to add a victory to his record of 10-3-0. The 27-year-old has an arm span of 64". Regarding grappling, Allan Nascimento takes his opponents to the mat 1.26 times per 3 rds and Mitch Raposo takes his opponents down 2.54 times per 15 minutes. In the striking category, Nascimento lands 3.06 strikes/min and connecting on 55% of the strikes that he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Mitch Raposo, who lands 36% of the strikes he has thrown and is landing 1.73 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Michael Aswell Jr. is set to face off against Gaston Bolanos. Bolanos has a career record of 8-5-0. The 33-year-old is fighting at 145 lbs and comes in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter stretches 69". Aswell Jr. comes in at 5'8" and steps on the scale at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 11-4-0. The 25-year-old has an arm span of 69". Regarding takedowns, Gaston Bolanos is able to defend against 42% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is finishing his takedowns on 85% of his tries. Aswell Jr. is finishing his takedowns on 85% of his tries and deflects 57% of all takedown tries against him. With regard to striking, Bolanos absorbs 2.40 strikes/min and he is connecting on 3.28 strikes/min. Aswell Jr., in contrast, absorbs 7.43 strikes per minute and lands 7.79 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Kevin Borjas (+475)

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Andre Lima vs Kevin Borjas Pick, 06/20/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 119 Odds

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