Bekzat Almakhan vs Jean Matsumoto Pick, 06/27/2026 Predictions UFC Baku Odds
Bekzat Almakhan vs Jean Matsumoto
UFC Baku
Baku Crystal Hall in Baku, Azerbaijan
Saturday, June 27, 2026
Bekzat Almakhan will face off against Jean Matsumoto at UFC Baku on Saturday, June 27, 2026. The opening moneyline has Almakhan at +132 while Matsumoto is priced at -152.
Bekzat "The Turan Warrior" Almakhan walks into the Octagon with a record of 12-3-0. The 28-year-old weighs 135 lbs and stands 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 68". Jean Matsumoto measures 5'6" and steps on the scale at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 17-2-0. The 26-year-old has a reach of 68". Concerning significant strikes, Bekzat Almakhan lands 1.61 per minute while Jean Matsumoto is landing 5.37 significant strikes per min. Almakhan connects on 34% of the significant strikes he throws while Matsumoto is landing 39%. In terms of defending in the cage, "The Turan Warrior" absorbs 3.73 significant strikes per minute and Matsumoto takes 5.41. Almakhan also prevents 36% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Matsumoto thwarts 47% of them.
| UFC Baku | Bekzat Almakhan | Jean Matsumoto |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +132 | -152 |
| Record | 12-3-0 | 17-2-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 10:21 | 14:10 |
| Height | 5'7" | 5'6" |
| Weight | 135 lbs | 135 lbs |
| Reach | 68" | 68" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 1.61 | 5.37 |
| Striking Accuracy | 34% | 39% |
In terms of takedowns, Bekzat Almakhan is the not as competent as a grappler as he takes his opponents to the mat 0.60 times per 3 rds. Almakhan is getting his opponent to the mat on 15% of his tries and stuffing 41% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Matsumoto is taking his opponents to the canvas on 48% of the takedowns he attempts and defending 56% of the attempts against him. When it comes to submissions, Almakhan is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by trying 0.3 finishes per 15 minutes while Matsumoto tries 0.5 finishes per 3 rds.
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The last time he fought, Bekzat Almakhan went up against Aleksandre Topuria and ended up losing the fight by unanimous decision in round 3. Topuria ended up landing 55 of 89 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Almakhan walked away from this fight having landed 42 of 122 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Topuria landed 47 of 81, which gave him a rate of 58%. He landed 45 of 75 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Almakhan landed 32% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 39 of 119. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 26 of 102 to the head. 93% of the significant strikes landed by Topuria and 97% of them landed by Almakhan were thrown at a distance.
In the last bout for Jean Matsumoto, he fought Farid Basharat and ended up taking the loss by split decision in round 3. Basharat ended up landing 82% of his significant strikes at distance while Matsumoto landed 81% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Matsumoto landed 34% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 76 of 220. He ended up landing 40 of 162 significant strikes aimed at the head. Basharat connected on 80 of 152 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, he landed 63 of 132 directed at the head. Regarding total strikes thrown, Basharat landed 95 of 172 and Matsumoto ended up connecting on 111 of 263 of all the strikes he attempted.
Other fights to watch
Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Rafael Fiziev battles Manuel Torres. Fiziev steps into the cage with a record of 13-5-0. The 33-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and stands 5'8". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 71". Torres measures in at 5'10" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The switch fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 17-3-0. The 31-year-old has an arm span of 73". In the wrestling category, Rafael Fiziev is averaging a takedown 0.83 times per 15 min and Manuel Torres is able to score a takedown 1.72 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Fiziev lands 4.71 strikes/min and connecting on 52% of his attempted strikes. Joining him in the Octagon is Manuel Torres, who is connecting on 59% of the strikes that he throws and connects for an average of 7.29 per min.
Another bout to watch is when Michel Pereira is set to encounter Shara Magomedov. Magomedov comes into this fight with a mark of 16-1-0. The 32-year-old weighs 185 lbs and stands 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 73". Pereira stands in at 6'1" and will fight at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 32-14-0 (2 NC). The 32-year-old has a wingspan of 73". In terms of grappling, Shara Magomedov is able to curb 71% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is finishing his takedown tries on 15% of his attempts. Pereira is finishing his takedown tries on 56% of his tries and deflects 75% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Magomedov is absorbing 3.85 strikes/min while he lands 5.93 strikes per min. Pereira, on the other hand, is absorbing 4.40 strikes/minute and is dealing 4.46 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Jean Matsumoto (-152)
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