Bia Mesquita vs Montse Rendon Pick, 03/14/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 114 Odds
Bia Mesquita vs Montse Rendon
UFC Vegas 114
Meta APEX in Las Vegas
Saturday, March 14, 2026
Bia Mesquita will face off against Montse Rendon at UFC Vegas 114 on Saturday, March 14, 2026. The opening line has Mesquita priced at -700 while Rendon is at +500.
Bia "The Lady GOAT" Mesquita comes into this fight holding a mark of 6-0-0. The 34-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'4". The orthodox fighter reaches 67". Montse "Monster" Rendon stands in at 5'8" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 7-1-0. The 36-year-old stretches 68". In the category of significant strikes, Bia Mesquita lands 4.98 per min while Montse Rendon lands 3.09 significant strikes per min. Mesquita connects on 57% of the significant strikes she tries and Rendon connects on 28%. Regarding defending in the cage, "The Lady GOAT" takes 0.83 significant strikes per minute while "Monster" allows 3.42. Mesquita also stops 73% of the significant strikes her opponents attempt and Rendon is able to stop 59% of the shots thrown.
| UFC Vegas 114 | Bia Mesquita | Montse Rendon |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -700 | +500 |
| Record | 6-0-0 | 7-1-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 7:14 | 15:00 |
| Height | 5'4" | 5'8" |
| Weight | 135 lbs | 135 lbs |
| Reach | 67" | 68" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.98 | 3.09 |
| Striking Accuracy | 57% | 28% |
In terms of wrestling, Bia Mesquita is the more capable wrestler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 4.15 times per 15 minutes. Mesquita is scoring a takedown on 66% of the times she tries and is stopping 15% of the takedowns her opponents try. Rendon is getting her opponent to the mat on 37% of the takedowns she tries and defending 85% of the attempts against her. Regarding going for the sub, Mesquita is the more experienced of the two fighters by going for 2.1 subs per 15 minutes while Rendon attempts 0.3 subs per 15 minutes.
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The last time she fought, Bia Mesquita fought Irina Alekseeva and took home the win by rear naked choke in round 2. Alekseeva ended up landing 17 of 34 of the strikes she let go in total for this contest. Mesquita finished this fight landing 61 of 98 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Alekseeva ended up landing 6 of 23, which gave her a percentage of 26%. She finished the fight landing 3 of 12 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Mesquita ended up landing 57% of the significant strikes she threw by landing 36 of 63. Out of those significant strikes, she was 35 of 62 pointed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Alekseeva and 5% of them landed by Mesquita were tallied at a distance.
In the last fight for Montse Rendon, she battled Alice Pereira and wound up getting the win by split decision in round 3. Pereira ended up landing 94% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance while Rendon connected on 95% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance. Rendon ended up connecting on 27% of the significant strikes she attempted by landing 45 of 166. She ended up connecting on 31 of 136 significant strikes directed at the head. Pereira ended up landing 37 of 117 significant strikes in that battle. Of all the significant strikes, she connected on 29 of 103 aimed at the head. In regard to total strikes thrown in that contest, Pereira ended up connecting on 43 of 123 while Rendon was 60 of 185 of all the strikes she threw.
Other bouts to keep an eye on
An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Piera Rodriguez encounters Sam Hughes. Rodriguez will be looking to add a victory to her record of 11-2-0. The 33-year-old is weighing in at 115 lbs and measures in at 5'3". The orthodox fighter reaches 63". Hughes stands in at 5'5" and records a weight of 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to her total of 11-6-0. The 33-year-old extends her reach 64". In terms of takedowns, Piera Rodriguez is able to score a takedown 4.53 times per 15 minutes and Sam Hughes is able to score a takedown 1.23 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Rodriguez lands an average of 3.54 strikes per min and lands 47% of the strikes that she throws. On the other side we have Sam Hughes, who is landing 46% of the strikes she attempts and connects on 4.34 per min.
If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Kevin Vallejos is set to encounter Josh Emmett. Emmett looks to add a win to his record of 19-6-0. The 41-year-old is weighing in at 145 lbs and comes in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 70". Vallejos measures in at 5'7" and weighs in at 145 lbs. The switch fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 17-1-0. The 24-year-old extends his reach 68". Concerning wrestling, Josh Emmett thwarts 43% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is finishing his takedowns on 37% of the times he tries. Vallejos is finishing his takedowns on 28% of the tries he takes and prevents 83% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the matter of striking, Emmett takes 4.43 strikes/minute while he connects on 3.72 strikes/min. Vallejos, moreover, is absorbing 4.71 strikes per minute and connects on 5.78 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Montse Rendon (+500)
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