Billy Elekana vs Lucas Fernando Pick, 11/07/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 124 Odds
Billy Elekana vs Lucas Fernando
UFC Vegas 124
Meta Apex in Las Vegas
Saturday, November 7, 2026
Billy Elekana will enter the Octagon with Lucas Fernando at UFC Vegas 124 on Saturday, November 7, 2026. The opener has Elekana coming in at +258 while Fernando is priced at -315.
Billy "Son of Susie" Elekana has a career record of 10-2-0. The 31-year-old tips the scales at 205 lbs and measures 6'3". The southpaw fighter stretches 77". Lucas Fernando stands 6'3" and steps on the scale at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 14-3-0. The 29-year-old has an arm span of 80". Concerning significant strikes, Billy Elekana lands 2.71 per minute while Lucas Fernando is connecting on 3.71 significant strikes per min. Elekana is connecting on 56% of the significant strikes he throws while Fernando lands 57%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, "Son of Susie" absorbs 3.59 significant strikes per minute and Fernando takes 3.21. Elekana also thwarts 46% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Fernando is able to stop 51% of the shots thrown his way.
| UFC Vegas 124 | Billy Elekana | Lucas Fernando |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +258 | -315 |
| Record | 10-2-0 | 14-3-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 8:51 | 13:05 |
| Height | 6'3" | 6'3" |
| Weight | 205 lbs | 205 lbs |
| Reach | 77" | 80" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 2.71 | 3.71 |
| Striking Accuracy | 56% | 57% |
In terms of wrestling, Billy Elekana is the lesser skilled grappler as he takes his opponents to the mat 0.85 times per 15 minutes. Elekana is taking his opponents to the canvas on 22% of his tries and thwarting 15% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Fernando is taking his opponents down on 30% of his takedown attempts and stopping 15% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. When it comes to going for the sub, Elekana is the more capable fighter by attempting 0.8 finishes per 3 rds while Fernando tries 0.6 finishes per 15 min.
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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Billy Elekana went up against Junior Tafa and got a win for the night by rear naked choke in round 2. Tafa landed 38 of 70 total strikes attempted in that fight. Elekana finished this fight landing 27 of 54 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Tafa landed 38 of 70, which gave him a rate of 54%. He ended up landing 21 of 49 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Elekana landed 47% of his significant strikes by connecting on 24 of 51. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 20 of 45 to the head. 97% of the significant strikes landed by Tafa and 91% of them connected on by Elekana were tallied at a distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Lucas Fernando, he fought Rafael Tobias and took home the victory by way of a knee to the body in round 3. Tobias ended up connecting on 84% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Fernando ended up connecting on 95% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Fernando landed 60% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 69 of 115. He connected on 37 of 80 significant strikes directed at the head. Tobias ended up landing 13 of 56 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 5 of 47 directed at the head. Regarding total strikes that he let go in that fight, Tobias ended up connecting on 14 of 58 and Fernando landed 69 of 115 of the strikes he threw in total.
Other fights to watch
Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Mantas Kondratavicius faces off with Andre Petroski. Kondratavicius looks to add a win to his total of 9-1-0. The 27-year-old is fighting at 185 lbs and measures 6'2". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 75". Petroski stands in at 6'0" and is fighting at 185 lbs. The switch fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 13-6-0. The 35-year-old reaches 73". Regarding grappling, Mantas Kondratavicius gets a takedown 2.80 times per 3 rds while Andre Petroski takes his opponents down 3.13 times per 3 rounds. In the striking category, Kondratavicius tags his opponents 4.97 strikes per min and connecting on 65% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side we have Andre Petroski, who lands 49% of the strikes he has attempted and lands an average of 2.75 per min.
One more can't miss bout is when Marcos Degli is set to battle Mitch Raposo. Raposo looks to add a win to his record of 11-3-0. The 28-year-old will fight at 125 lbs and measures 5'5". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 64". Degli stands 5'6" and records a weight of 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 15-3-0. The 26-year-old has a wingspan of 67". Concerning grappling, Mitch Raposo is able to deflect 68% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is scoring a takedown on 36% of his attempts. Degli is finishing his takedowns on 50% of the tries he takes and stops 15% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Raposo is taking 2.92 strikes per minute while he is landing 1.91 strikes/min. Degli, on the other side, takes 0.51 strikes/min and connects on 1.95 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Lucas Fernando (-315)
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