Cody Garbrandt vs Xiao Long Pick, 03/07/2026 Predictions UFC 326 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 3/6/2026

Cody Garbrandt vs Xiao Long

UFC 326

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas

Saturday, March 7, 2026

Cody Garbrandt will enter the Octagon with Xiao Long at UFC 326 on Saturday, March 7, 2026. The opening line has Garbrandt priced at +145 while Long is coming in at -165.

Cody "No Love" Garbrandt will be looking to add a victory to his total of 14-7-0. The 34-year-old is weighing in at 135 lbs and stands 5'8". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 65". Xiao Long stands in at 5'8" and will fight at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 27-10-0. The 27-year-old reaches 70". In the category of significant strikes, Cody Garbrandt lands 2.88 per minute and Xiao Long is landing 5.25 significant strikes per minute. Garbrandt is connecting on 39% of the significant strikes he tries and Long is connecting on 46%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "No Love" allows 3.64 significant strikes per min and Long takes 4.20. Garbrandt also defends 59% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Long stops 50% of the shots thrown in his direction.

UFC 326	Cody Garbrandt	Xiao Long
Opening Odds	+145	-165
Record	14-7-0	27-10-0
Average Fight Time	10:02	14:25
Height	5'8"	5'8"
Weight	135 lbs	135 lbs
Reach	65"	70"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	2.88	5.25
Striking Accuracy	39%	46%

When it comes to grappling, Cody Garbrandt is the more competent wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 0.93 times per 15 minutes. Garbrandt is getting his opponent to the mat on 27% of his tries and defending 83% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Long is taking his opponents to the canvas on 25% of the takedowns he tries and stuffing 79% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. When it comes to subbing the opposition, Garbrandt is less likely to go for the finish by trying 0.3 finishes per 15 min while Long tries 0.8 finishes per 3 rounds.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Cody Garbrandt squared up with Raoni Barcelos and wound up taking the loss via unanimous decision in round 3. Barcelos ended up landing 43 of 93 total strikes attempted in that fight. Garbrandt ended the night having landed 45 of 111 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Barcelos ended up landing 37 of 85, giving him a percentage of 43%. He ended up landing 31 of 75 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Garbrandt ended up landing 29% of his significant strikes by sticking 28 of 94. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 23 of 85 pointed at the head. 89% of the significant strikes landed by Barcelos and 78% of them landed by Garbrandt were tallied at a distance.

In the last fight for Xiao Long, he battled SuYoung You and ended up walking away in defeat by unanimous decision in round 3. You landed 81% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Long landed 55% of his significant strikes at distance. Long ended up landing 31% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 68 of 214. He landed 53 of 169 significant strikes to the head. You connected on 58 of 110 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 44 of 94 aimed at the head. In relation to total strikes that he let go in that contest, You ended up landing 66 of 120 while Long ended up landing 81 of 229 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Donte Johnson enters the Octagon with Cody Brundage. Johnson steps into the cage with a record of 7-0-0. The 27-year-old is fighting at 185 lbs and stands 5'8". The southpaw fighter reaches 74". Brundage measures 6'0" and weighs 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 11-8-1 (1 NC). The 31-year-old stretches 72". When it comes to grappling, Donte Johnson scores a takedown 6.01 times per 15 min and Cody Brundage takes his opponents down 1.87 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Johnson connects for an average of 3.34 strikes per min and is landing 64% of his attempted strikes. The other guy in this fight is Cody Brundage, who tags his opponent on 50% of the strikes he has thrown and is connecting on 2.29 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Alberto Montes is set to encounter Ricky Turcios. Turcios comes into this bout holding a record of 13-5-0. The 32-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and stands 5'9". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 71". Montes measures in at 5'7" and steps on the scale at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his total of 11-1-0. The 31-year-old reaches 69". Regarding wrestling, Ricky Turcios thwarts 44% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is scoring a takedown on 20% of his attempts. Montes is taking his opponents down on 10% of the attempts he tries and is able to deflect 66% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the matter of striking, Turcios absorbs 3.72 strikes per min and he connects on 4.73 per min. Montes, at the same time, takes 4.85 strikes per minute and is landing 4.98 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Xiao Long (-165)

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Cody Garbrandt vs Xiao Long Pick, 03/07/2026 Predictions UFC 326 Odds

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