Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway Pick, 07/11/2026 Predictions UFC 329 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 7/6/2026

Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway

UFC 329

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas

Saturday, July 11, 2026

Conor McGregor will enter the Octagon with Max Holloway at UFC 329 on Saturday, July 11, 2026. The moneyline has McGregor priced at +195 while Holloway is priced at -230.

Conor "The Notorious" McGregor will be looking to add a victory to his total of 22-6-0. The 37-year-old weighs 155 lbs and stands in at 5'9". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 74". Max "Blessed" Holloway comes in at 5'11" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 27-9-0. The 34-year-old has an arm span of 69". In terms of significant strikes, Conor McGregor connects on 5.32 per min while Max Holloway connects on 6.91 significant strikes per min. McGregor is connecting on 49% of the significant strikes he throws while Holloway lands 48%. Regarding defending in the cage, "The Notorious" absorbs 4.66 significant strikes per min and "Blessed" absorbs 4.61. McGregor also stops 54% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Holloway is able to curb 58% of them.

ufc picks Conor McGregor predictions best bet odds

UFC 329	Conor McGregor	Max Holloway
Opening Odds	+195	-230
Record	22-6-0	27-9-0
Average Fight Time	8:02	16:39
Height	5'9"	5'11"
Weight	155 lbs	155 lbs
Reach	74"	69"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	5.32	6.91
Striking Accuracy	49%	48%

In the grappling category, Conor McGregor is the more competent wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 0.67 times per 3 rounds. McGregor is taking his opponents to the canvas on 55% of his tries and is stuffing 66% of all takedown attempts. Holloway is taking his opponents to the canvas on 53% of the takedowns he attempts and is stopping 81% of the attempts against him. When it comes to submission attempts, McGregor is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by trying 0.1 finishes per 15 minutes while Holloway goes for 0.3 finishes per 3 rds.

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The last time he fought, Conor McGregor faced Dustin Poirier and walked away in defeat via TKO via a doctor's stoppage in round 1. Poirier landed 36 of 66 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. McGregor ended the night having landed 43 of 54 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Poirier ended up landing 36 of 66, which gave him a rate of 54%. He finished the fight landing 35 of 62 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, McGregor landed 71% of his significant strikes by connecting on 27 of 38. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 13 of 21 aimed at the head. 22% of the significant strikes connected on by Poirier and 62% of them landed by McGregor were done at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Max Holloway, he squared up with Charles Oliveira and was defeated by way of unanimous decision in round 5. Oliveira connected on 48% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Holloway ended up landing 96% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Holloway ended up landing 57% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 26 of 45. He connected on 18 of 36 significant strikes directed at the head. Oliveira landed 50 of 66 significant strikes in that battle. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 37 of 51 to the head. In relation to total strikes thrown in that contest, Oliveira ended up landing 110 of 137 and Holloway connected on 73 of 92 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Benoit Saint Denis faces off against Paddy Pimblett. Saint Denis walks into the cage with a record of 17-3-0 (1 NC). The 30-year-old will fight at 155 lbs and stands 5'11". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 73". Pimblett stands in at 5'10" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 23-4-0. The 31-year-old has a wingspan of 73". Regarding grappling, Benoit Saint Denis gets a takedown 4.19 times per 15 min and Paddy Pimblett is averaging a takedown 0.69 times per 15 minutes. In the striking category, Saint Denis tags his opponents 5.62 strikes per min and is landing 58% of the strikes that he throws. Joining him in the Octagon is Paddy Pimblett, who is landing 52% of the strikes he has tried and lands an average of 5.49 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Mario Bautista is set to encounter Cory Sandhagen. Sandhagen walks into the Octagon holding a record of 18-6-0. The 34-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and measures 5'11". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 70". Bautista comes in at 5'9" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The switch fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 17-3-0. The 33-year-old has a wingspan of 69". Concerning wrestling, Cory Sandhagen is able to defend against 56% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is getting his opponent to the mat on 34% of the times he tries. Bautista is finishing his takedowns on 38% of his tries and thwarts 55% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With regard to striking, Sandhagen is taking 3.47 strikes/minute and he lands 4.86 strikes per minute. Bautista, on the other side, takes 3.98 strikes per min and is dishing out 5.30 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Conor McGregor (+195)

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Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway Pick, 07/11/2026 Predictions UFC 329 Odds

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