Dan Ige vs Melquizael Costa Pick, 02/21/2026 Predictions UFC Houston Odds

Dan Ige vs Melquizael Costa

UFC Houston

Toyota Center in Houston, TX

Saturday, February 21, 2026

Dan Ige will take on Melquizael Costa at UFC Houston on Saturday, February 21, 2026. The moneyline has Ige priced at +182 while Costa is coming in at -212.

Dan "100K" Ige holds a mark of 19-10-0. The 34-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 71". Melquizael "The Dalmatian" Costa stands 5'10" and records a weight of 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter holds a career record of 25-7-0. The 29-year-old has a reach of 71". In terms of significant strikes, Dan Ige is landing 3.64 per min and Melquizael Costa is landing 4.42 significant strikes per minute. Ige lands 45% of the significant strikes he tries and Costa connects on 49%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "100K" allows 3.56 significant strikes per min and "The Dalmatian" absorbs 3.06. Ige also thwarts 56% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Costa thwarts 54% of the shots thrown in his direction.

Concerning wrestling, Dan Ige is not as efficient of a grappler as he gets a takedown 0.89 times per 3 rds. Ige is finishing his takedown attempts on 25% of the times he tries and is stuffing 56% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Costa is finishing his takedown tries on 38% of his takedown attempts and is defending 58% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Ige is the lesser skilled fighter by attempting 0.2 subs per 3 rounds while Costa looks to get 1.2 subs per 3 rounds.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Dan Ige faced Patricio Freire and took a loss on the night via unanimous decision in round 3. Freire landed 71 of 114 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Ige walked away from this fight having landed 59 of 145 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Freire landed 55 of 97, which means his percentage was 56%. He ended up landing 42 of 82 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Ige landed 37% of his significant strikes by connecting on 47 of 124. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he landed 24 of 93 to the head. 76% of the significant strikes landed by Freire and 80% of them landed by Ige were done at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Melquizael Costa, he faced off with Morgan Charriere and ended up getting the victory in the fight by way of a kick to the head in round 1. Charriere connected on 100% of his significant strikes at distance while Costa connected on 100% of his significant strikes at distance. Costa landed 44% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 4 of 9. He connected on 1 of 3 significant strikes to the head. Charriere ended up landing 2 of 4 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 0 of 2 to the head. Regarding total strikes thrown in that contest, Charriere landed 2 of 4 and Costa was 4 of 9 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights on the card to keep an eye on

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Serghei Spivac takes on Ante Delija. Spivac walks into the cage holding a mark of 17-6-0. The 31-year-old weighs in at 260 lbs and stands in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter stretches 78". Delija measures in at 6'3" and is fighting at 239 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 26-7-0. The 35-year-old has a wingspan of 78". Regarding grappling, Serghei Spivac takes his opponents to the mat 4.21 times per 3 rds and Ante Delija is averaging a takedown 0.80 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Spivac is connecting on 3.45 strikes/minute and landing 48% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Ante Delija, who lands 45% of the strikes he attempts and is landing 4.81 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Michel Pereira is set to enter the Octagon with Zach Reese. Reese comes into this bout with a mark of 10-2-0 (1 NC). The 31-year-old is fighting at 185 lbs and stands in at 6'4". The switch fighter stretches 77". Pereira comes in at 6'1" and will fight at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 31-14-0 (2 NC). The 32-year-old reaches 73". Regarding wrestling, Zach Reese stops 57% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is getting his opponent to the mat on 66% of his tries. Pereira is taking his opponents to the mat on 52% of his attempts and deflects 76% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the category of striking, Reese absorbs 3.82 strikes per minute and he is dishing out 4.32 strikes/min. Pereira, on the other hand, is taking 4.35 strikes/min and lands 4.49 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Dan Ige (+182)

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