Dominick Reyes vs Johnny Walker Pick, 04/11/2026 Predictions UFC 327 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 4/10/2026

Dominick Reyes vs Johnny Walker

UFC 327

Kaseya Center in Miami

Saturday, April 11, 2026

Dominick Reyes will enter the Octagon against Johnny Walker at UFC 327 on Saturday, April 11, 2026. The opening line has Reyes at -141 while Walker is priced at +121.

Dominick "The Devastator" Reyes looks to add a win to his record of 15-5-0. The 36-year-old records a weight of 205 lbs and measures in at 6'4". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 77". Johnny Walker measures in at 6'6" and will fight at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 22-9-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old extends his reach 82". Regarding significant strikes, Dominick Reyes lands 5.39 per min and Johnny Walker connects on 4.06 significant strikes per minute. Reyes is connecting on 54% of the significant strikes he attempts and Walker lands 55%. In terms of defending in the cage, "The Devastator" allows 3.49 significant strikes per minute and Walker allows 3.09. Reyes also defends against 49% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Walker is able to deflect 45% of them.

ufc picks Johnny Walker predictions best bet odds

UFC 327	Dominick Reyes	Johnny Walker
Opening Odds	-141	+121
Record	15-5-0	22-9-0 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time	7:21	6:47
Height	6'4"	6'6"
Weight	205 lbs	205 lbs
Reach	77"	82"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	5.39	4.06
Striking Accuracy	54%	55%

When it comes to grappling, Dominick Reyes is not as efficient of a wrestler as he takes his opponents down 0.29 times per 15 min. Reyes is getting his opponent to the mat on 28% of his tries and defending 82% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Walker is getting his opponent to the mat on 60% of the takedowns he tries and is stuffing 57% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Reyes is less apt at going for the finish by trying 0.3 submissions per 15 min while Walker attempts 0.8 submissions per 15 min.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Dominick Reyes went up against Carlos Ulberg and ended up taking the loss by a punch to the head in round 1. Ulberg landed 11 of 17 total strikes attempted in that contest. Reyes walked away from this fight having landed 5 of 11 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Ulberg landed 11 of 17, which means his percentage was 64%. He landed 6 of 9 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Reyes landed 45% of his significant strikes by sticking 5 of 11. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 0 of 5 pointed at the head. 81% of the significant strikes connected on by Ulberg and 100% of them connected on by Reyes were tallied at distance.

In the last bout for Johnny Walker, he squared up with Zhang Mingyang and took home the victory by way of a punch to the head while on the ground in round 2. Mingyang ended up connecting on 75% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Walker ended up landing 30% of his significant strikes at distance. Walker connected on 74% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 50 of 67. He ended up landing 36 of 49 significant strikes aimed at the head. Mingyang landed 20 of 47 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, he landed 8 of 35 directed at the head. In terms of total strikes attempted in that fight, Mingyang ended up landing 28 of 59 while Walker landed 51 of 70 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Cub Swanson enters the Octagon against Nate Landwehr. Swanson will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 30-14-0. The 42-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and stands 5'8". The orthodox fighter stretches 70". Landwehr stands 5'9" and is weighing in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his total of 18-7-0. The 37-year-old stretches 72". In the grappling category, Cub Swanson is averaging a takedown 1.01 times per 15 minutes while Nate Landwehr takes his opponents to the mat 0.76 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Swanson lands an average of 4.79 strikes per minute and is connecting on 51% out of all the strikes he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Nate Landwehr, who tags the opposition on 45% of the strikes he has thrown and lands 5.63 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Aaron Pico is set to square up against Patricio Freire. Freire steps into the Octagon holding a record of 37-8-0. The 38-year-old is weighing in at 145 lbs and stands 5'6". The orthodox fighter stretches 67". Pico comes in at 5'8" and will fight at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career total of 13-5-0. The 29-year-old reaches 70". In terms of grappling, Patricio Freire is able to thwart 88% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is finishing his takedowns on 33% of his attempts. Pico is finishing his takedowns on 66% of the attempts he tries and is able to deflect 15% of all takedown attempts. In the category of striking, Freire absorbs 4.23 strikes/min while he deals 2.68 strikes per minute. Pico, on the other hand, absorbs 2.39 strikes/minute and deals 3.88 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Johnny Walker (+121)

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Dominick Reyes vs Johnny Walker Pick, 04/11/2026 Predictions UFC 327 Odds

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