Douglas Silva de Andrade vs Javier Reyes Pick, 02/28/2026 Predictions UFC Mexico Odds
Douglas Silva de Andrade vs Javier Reyes
UFC Mexico
Arena CDMX in Mexico City
Saturday, February 28, 2026
Douglas Silva de Andrade will enter the Octagon against Javier Reyes at UFC Mexico on Saturday, February 28, 2026. The odds have Andrade priced at +185 while Reyes is at -220.
Douglas "D Silva" Silva de Andrade comes into this fight with a record of 29-6-0 (1 NC). The 40-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and measures in at 5' 7". The orthodox fighter stretches 68". Javier "Blair" Reyes measures 5' 7" and is fighting at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career total of 22-5-0. The 32-year-old has a reach of 73". Regarding significant strikes, Douglas Silva de Andrade is landing 3.54 per minute and Javier Reyes connects on 8.29 significant strikes per minute. Silva de Andrade is connecting on 38% of the significant strikes he throws and Reyes lands 46%. Regarding defense, "D Silva" takes 3.93 significant strikes per minute while "Blair" takes 0.79. Silva de Andrade also stops 57% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Reyes prevents 77% of the shots thrown.
| UFC Mexico | Douglas Silva de Andrade | Javier Reyes |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +185 | -220 |
| Record | 29-6-0 (1 NC) | 22-5-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 12:31 | 2:32 |
| Height | 5' 7" | 5' 7" |
| Weight | 145 lbs | 145 lbs |
| Reach | 68" | 73" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.54 | 8.29 |
| Striking Accuracy | 38% | 46% |
In the wrestling category, Douglas Silva de Andrade is the more skilled grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 0.55 times per 15 minutes. Silva de Andrade is getting his opponent to the mat on 42% of his attempts and stopping 72% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Reyes is getting his opponent to the mat on 15% of his takedown tries and defending 50% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Silva de Andrade is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by going for 0.2 finishes per 15 min while Reyes tries 0.4 finishes per 3 rounds.
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In his last bout, Douglas Silva de Andrade faced Miles Johns and wound up walking away in defeat by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Johns ended up landing 52 of 98 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Andrade walked away from this fight having landed 36 of 119 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Johns ended up landing 50 of 96, which gave him a rate of 52%. He finished the fight landing 37 of 82 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Andrade landed 30% of his significant strikes by landing 36 of 119. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 21 of 80 pointed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Johns and 100% of them landed by Andrade were tallied at a distance.
In the last bout for Javier Reyes, he squared up with Justice Torres and took home the victory by way of a knee to the head in round 1. Torres connected on 0% of his significant strikes at distance and Reyes ended up connecting on 71% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Reyes connected on 46% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 21 of 45. He connected on 16 of 36 significant strikes directed at the head. Torres landed 2 of 9 significant strikes in that battle. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up landing 2 of 7 directed at the head. In regard to total strikes that he let go in that contest, Torres landed 3 of 10 and Reyes connected on 26 of 50 of all the strikes he attempted.
Other bouts to keep an eye on
Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Erik Silva opposes Francis Marshall. Silva steps into the cage holding a record of 9-3-0. The 38-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and measures in at 5' 9". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 71". Marshall comes in at 5' 9" and is fighting at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career mark of 8-3-0. The 26-year-old reaches 72". Regarding grappling, Erik Silva takes his opponents to the canvas 3.76 times per 3 rounds while Francis Marshall takes his opponents down 2.75 times per 15 minutes. In the striking category, Silva tags his opponents 2.07 strikes per minute and connecting on 70% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage you've got Francis Marshall, who is landing 33% of the strikes he has attempted and connects on 3.46 per min.
Another bout to watch is when Wes Schultz is set to enter the Octagon against Damian Pinas. Pinas steps into the Octagon holding a record of 8-1-0. The 23-year-old weighs in at 185 lbs and stands in at 6' 1". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 79". Schultz stands 6' 2" and records a weight of 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 8-2-0. The 29-year-old has a reach of 77". When it comes to takedowns, Damian Pinas is able to deflect 15% of the takedowns his opponents try and is taking his opponents to the mat on 15% of his tries. Schultz is finishing his takedowns on 40% of the tries he takes and is able to curb 15% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the category of striking, Pinas takes 7.36 strikes per min while he connects on 9.62 per min. Schultz, on the other side, is taking 4.74 strikes/minute and is dishing out 5.39 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Douglas Silva de Andrade (+185)
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