Ignacio Bahamondes vs Tofiq Musayev Pick, 03/28/2026 Predictions UFC Seattle Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 3/27/2026

Ignacio Bahamondes vs Tofiq Musayev

UFC Seattle

Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle

Saturday, March 28, 2026

Ignacio Bahamondes will face off against Tofiq Musayev at UFC Seattle on Saturday, March 28, 2026. The odds have Bahamondes at -310 while Musayev is at +260.

Ignacio "La Jaula" Bahamondes will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 17-6-0. The 28-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and measures in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter stretches 75". Tofiq Musayev comes in at 5'9" and will fight at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 22-6-0. The 36-year-old has a wingspan of 69". When talking about significant strikes, Ignacio Bahamondes connects on 6.55 per minute and Tofiq Musayev is connecting on 0.44 significant strikes per minute. Bahamondes is landing 45% of the significant strikes he throws while Musayev is connecting on 33%. Concerning the fighter's defense, "La Jaula" allows 4.33 significant strikes per min while Musayev allows 0.44. Bahamondes also stops 56% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Musayev is able to curb 71% of the strikes thrown his way.

ufc picks Ignacio Bahamondes predictions best bet odds

UFC Seattle	Ignacio Bahamondes	Tofiq Musayev
Opening Odds	-310	+260
Record	17-6-0	22-6-0
Average Fight Time	10:25	4:35
Height	6'3"	5'9"
Weight	155 lbs	155 lbs
Reach	75"	69"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	6.55	0.44
Striking Accuracy	45%	33%

Concerning grappling, Ignacio Bahamondes is the not as competent as a wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 0.50 times per 15 min. Bahamondes is getting his opponent to the mat on 15% of his attempts and is stopping 75% of all takedowns attempted on him. Musayev is finishing his takedown tries on 15% of the takedowns he tries and defending 40% of the attempts against him. In terms of submission attempts, Bahamondes is not as skilled of a technician by going for 0.4 finishes per 3 rounds while Musayev tries 0.8 finishes per 3 rounds.

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The last time he fought, Ignacio Bahamondes fought Rafael Fiziev and took a loss on the night by unanimous decision in round 3. Fiziev ended up landing 87 of 141 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Bahamondes finished this fight landing 62 of 165 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Fiziev ended up landing 62 of 113, which gave him a percentage of 54%. He landed 31 of 72 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Bahamondes ended up landing 34% of his significant strikes by landing 50 of 147. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 23 of 108 aimed at the head. 83% of the significant strikes connected on by Fiziev and 94% of them landed by Bahamondes were tallied at distance.

In the last fight for Tofiq Musayev, he fought Myktybek Orolbai and ended up walking away in defeat via a kimura from side control in round 1. Orolbai landed 50% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Musayev ended up landing 100% of his significant strikes at distance. Musayev ended up landing 33% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 2 of 6. He landed 0 of 4 significant strikes directed at the head. Orolbai connected on 2 of 7 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 2 of 7 aimed at the head. Relating to total strikes thrown, Orolbai connected on 15 of 25 while Musayev ended up connecting on 17 of 23 total strikes.

Other bouts on the card to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Chase Hooper faces off with Lance Gibson Jr.. Hooper steps into the cage with a record of 16-4-1. The 26-year-old weighs 155 lbs and stands 6'1". The southpaw fighter reaches 74". Gibson Jr. measures 5'9" and will fight at 155 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 9-2-0. The 31-year-old has an arm span of 72". Regarding grappling, Chase Hooper takes his opponents down 2.49 times per 3 rounds and Lance Gibson Jr. takes his opponents to the mat 2.00 times per 15 min. Regarding striking, Hooper lands 4.51 strikes per minute and connects on 49% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side we have Lance Gibson Jr., who is connecting on 41% of the strikes that he throws and is connecting on 2.00 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Bruno Lopes is set to encounter Navajo Stirling. Stirling holds a career record of 8-0-0. The 28-year-old weighs in at 205 lbs and stands 6'4". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 79". Lopes comes in at 6'2" and is weighing in at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 14-2-0. The 32-year-old reaches 74". Regarding takedowns, Navajo Stirling is able to stop 75% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is finishing his takedown attempts on 28% of his attempts. Lopes is finishing his takedown tries on 33% of the tries he takes and is able to deflect 85% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Concerning striking, Stirling takes 2.60 strikes/min while he deals 6.13 strikes/minute. Lopes, moreover, is absorbing 3.38 strikes/min and lands 2.81 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Tofiq Musayev (+260)

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Ignacio Bahamondes vs Tofiq Musayev Pick, 03/28/2026 Predictions UFC Seattle Odds

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