Joaquin Buckley vs Mike Malott Pick, 10/17/2026 Predictions UFC Edmonton Odds
Joaquin Buckley vs Mike Malott
UFC Edmonton
Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta
Saturday, October 17, 2026
Joaquin Buckley will face off with Mike Malott at UFC Edmonton on Saturday, October 17, 2026. The moneyline has Buckley at +110 while Malott is coming in at -130.
Joaquin "New Mansa" Buckley holds a career record of 21-8-0. The 32-year-old weighs in at 170 lbs and measures 5'10". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 76". Mike "Proper" Malott stands 6'1" and will fight at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a record of 14-2-1. The 34-year-old stretches 73". Regarding significant strikes, Joaquin Buckley is connecting on 3.62 per min while Mike Malott connects on 4.02 significant strikes per minute. Buckley lands 36% of the significant strikes he throws and Malott connects on 48%. Concerning the fighter's defense, "New Mansa" absorbs 3.10 significant strikes per minute while "Proper" allows 3.09. Buckley also stops 58% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Malott deflects 56% of the shots thrown his way.
| UFC Edmonton | Joaquin Buckley | Mike Malott |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +110 | -130 |
| Record | 21-8-0 | 14-2-1 |
| Average Fight Time | 11:45 | 9:12 |
| Height | 5'10" | 6'1" |
| Weight | 170 lbs | 170 lbs |
| Reach | 76" | 73" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.62 | 4.02 |
| Striking Accuracy | 36% | 48% |
Concerning grappling, Joaquin Buckley is not as effective of a grappler as he is able to score a takedown 1.43 times per 15 minutes. Buckley is finishing his takedown attempts on 45% of the times he tries and thwarting 70% of all takedowns attempted on him. Malott is finishing his takedown attempts on 50% of his takedown tries and is stopping 57% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Buckley is not as skilled of a technician by trying 0.1 submissions per 3 rounds while Malott goes for 0.7 submissions per 15 min.
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The last time he fought, Joaquin Buckley faced Sean Brady and ended up taking the loss by unanimous decision in round 3. Brady ended up landing 245 of 416 total strikes attempted in that fight. Buckley finished this fight landing 21 of 53 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Brady ended up landing 77 of 180, which means his percentage was 42%. He finished the fight landing 76 of 179 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Buckley ended up landing 16% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 5 of 31. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 2 of 27 pointed at the head. 7% of the significant strikes connected on by Brady and 100% of them connected on by Buckley were done at a distance.
In the last fight for Mike Malott, he went up against Gilbert Burns and took home the victory by way of a punch to the head while on the ground in round 3. Burns ended up connecting on 97% of his significant strikes at distance and Malott ended up landing 78% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Malott ended up connecting on 46% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 56 of 121. He ended up connecting on 51 of 112 significant strikes directed at the head. Burns ended up landing 40 of 92 significant strikes in that fight. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 16 of 60 to the head. Discussing total strikes that he let go, Burns landed 42 of 94 while Malott was 56 of 121 of all the strikes he threw.
Other fights on the card to watch
One more match to look forward to is when Cody Chovancek battles SuYoung You. Chovancek holds a career mark of 9-0-0. The 28-year-old is weighing in at 135 lbs and measures 5'8". The switch fighter has an arm span of 67". You comes in at 5'6" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 16-4-0 (2 NC). The 30-year-old has an arm span of 65". When it comes to grappling, Cody Chovancek gets his opposition to the mat 0.70 times per 15 min while SuYoung You scores a takedown 4.26 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Chovancek lands 2.85 strikes per minute and connecting on 50% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage you've got SuYoung You, who connects on 47% of the strikes he has thrown and connects for an average of 2.15 per minute.
If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Cristian Perez is set to square up with Kyle Nelson. Nelson will be looking to add a victory to his record of 17-7-1. The 35-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'11". The switch fighter stretches 71". Perez stands 5'9" and is weighing in at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a record of 15-2-0. The 27-year-old stretches 72". Concerning grappling, Kyle Nelson is able to stop 66% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is taking his opponents to the mat on 23% of his attempts. Perez is finishing his takedown tries on 30% of his tries and stops 87% of all takedown tries against him. In the matter of striking, Nelson takes 4.58 strikes per min and he is landing 3.60 strikes/min. Perez, on the other side, takes 4.56 strikes per min and deals 3.30 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Joaquin Buckley (+110)
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