Junior Tafa vs Kevin Christian Pick, 05/02/2026 Predictions UFC Perth Odds
Junior Tafa vs Kevin Christian
UFC Perth
RAC Arena in Perth, Western Australia
Saturday, May 2, 2026
Junior Tafa will face off against Kevin Christian at UFC Perth on Saturday, May 2, 2026. The line has Tafa priced at -210 while Christian is at +180.
Junior "The Juggernaut" Tafa looks to add a victory to his career total of 6-5-0. The 29-year-old is weighing in at 205 lbs and stands in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 75". Kevin Christian comes in at 6'7" and is weighing in at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 9-3-0. The 31-year-old has a reach of 80". Regarding significant strikes, Junior Tafa is landing 3.41 per minute and Kevin Christian connects on 1.64 significant strikes per minute. Tafa is connecting on 51% of the significant strikes he throws and Christian is landing 56%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, "The Juggernaut" allows 2.55 significant strikes per minute and Christian absorbs 2.65. Tafa also thwarts 51% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Christian is able to deflect 44% of them.
| UFC Perth | Junior Tafa | Kevin Christian |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -210 | +180 |
| Record | 6-5-0 | 9-3-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 7:30 | 6:25 |
| Height | 6'3" | 6'7" |
| Weight | 205 lbs | 205 lbs |
| Reach | 75" | 80" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.41 | 1.64 |
| Striking Accuracy | 51% | 56% |
Regarding grappling, Junior Tafa is the lesser skilled grappler as he is averaging a takedown 0.30 times per 15 minutes. Tafa is taking his opponents to the canvas on 15% of the times he tries and is stopping 70% of all takedown tries against him. Christian is finishing his takedown attempts on 15% of the takedowns he attempts and is defending 50% of the attempts against him. Regarding subbing opponents, Tafa is the lesser skilled fighter by attempting 0.7 subs per 15 minutes while Christian looks to get 2.3 subs per 3 rds.
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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Junior Tafa squared up with Billy Elekana and was on the losing end of this fight by rear naked choke in round 2. Elekana landed 27 of 54 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Tafa finished this fight landing 38 of 70 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Elekana ended up landing 24 of 51, which means his percentage was 47%. He finished the fight landing 20 of 45 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Tafa landed 54% of his significant strikes by landing 38 of 70. Of those significant strikes, he was 21 of 49 pointed at the head. 91% of the significant strikes landed by Elekana and 97% of them connected on by Tafa were thrown at a distance.
In the last bout for Kevin Christian, he squared up with Billy Elekana and wound up walking away in defeat by rear naked choke in round 1. Elekana ended up landing 47% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Christian connected on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Christian connected on 82% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 14 of 17. He ended up connecting on 0 of 3 significant strikes aimed at the head. Elekana ended up connecting on 17 of 23 significant strikes in that contest. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up landing 11 of 15 directed at the head. In relation to total strikes thrown, Elekana was 19 of 25 while Christian landed 14 of 17 total strikes.
Other fights to watch out for
One more match to look forward to is when Jacob Malkoun opposes Gerald Meerschaert. Malkoun holds a career record of 9-3-0. The 30-year-old weighs in at 185 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 73". Meerschaert comes in at 6'1" and weighs in at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 37-21-0. The 38-year-old reaches 77". When it comes to grappling, Jacob Malkoun takes his opponents to the canvas 5.81 times per 15 minutes and Gerald Meerschaert takes his opponents down 1.82 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Malkoun is connecting on 4.55 strikes per minute and lands 58% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other fighter in this bout is Gerald Meerschaert, who lands 45% of the strikes he has attempted and connects on 3.01 per min.
If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Vince Morales is set to enter the Octagon with Colby Thicknesse. Thicknesse comes into this bout with a record of 8-1-0. The 26-year-old is weighing in at 135 lbs and measures 5'7". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 69". Morales stands 5'7" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a record of 16-10-0. The 35-year-old extends his reach 70". In the category of takedowns, Colby Thicknesse is stopping 50% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is finishing his takedown attempts on 9% of his attempts. Morales is finishing his takedown tries on 40% of his attempts and stops 58% of all takedown attempts. Concerning striking, Thicknesse is absorbing 2.80 strikes/min and he is dishing out 3.33 strikes per min. Morales, on the other side, is absorbing 4.00 strikes/min and lands 3.57 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Junior Tafa (-210)
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