Mario Bautista vs Vinicius Oliveira Pick, 02/07/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 113 Odds
Mario Bautista vs Vinicius Oliveira
UFC Vegas 113
Meta APEX in Las Vegas
Saturday, February 7, 2026
Mario Bautista will face off against Vinicius Oliveira at UFC Vegas 113 on Saturday, February 7, 2026. The opening moneyline has Bautista at -159 while Oliveira is at +139.
Mario Bautista walks into the cage with a mark of 16-3-0. The 32-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and stands 5'9". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 69". Vinicius "LokDog" Oliveira measures in at 5'9" and steps on the scale at 135 lbs. The switch fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 23-3-0. The 30-year-old reaches 70". Regarding significant strikes, Mario Bautista lands 5.58 per minute and Vinicius Oliveira lands 5.28 significant strikes per minute. Bautista lands 48% of the significant strikes he tries while Oliveira connects on 43%. Regarding defense, takes 4.19 significant strikes per minute and "LokDog" allows 2.89. Bautista also defends 55% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Oliveira is able to thwart 57% of the strikes thrown in his direction.
| UFC Vegas 113 | Mario Bautista | Vinicius Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -159 | +139 |
| Record | 16-3-0 | 23-3-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 10:08 | 12:33 |
| Height | 5'9" | 5'9" |
| Weight | 135 lbs | 135 lbs |
| Reach | 69" | 70" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.58 | 5.28 |
| Striking Accuracy | 48% | 43% |
In terms of wrestling, Mario Bautista is the lesser skilled wrestler as he scores a takedown 1.48 times per 3 rounds. Bautista is finishing his takedown attempts on 32% of his tries and is stopping 54% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Oliveira is finishing his takedowns on 50% of the takedowns he attempts and defending 80% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Bautista is the more skilled fighter by going for 0.8 subs per 3 rounds while Oliveira tries 0.2 subs per 3 rds.
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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Mario Bautista faced Umar Nurmagomedov and walked away in defeat by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Nurmagomedov ended up landing 81 of 105 total strikes that he let go. Bautista finished this fight landing 33 of 67 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Nurmagomedov landed 32 of 54, which gave him a percentage of 59%. He ended up landing 24 of 44 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Bautista ended up landing 37% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 20 of 54. Out of those significant strikes, he was 6 of 37 aimed at the head. 71% of the significant strikes landed by Nurmagomedov and 85% of them landed by Bautista were thrown at distance.
In the last bout for Vinicius Oliveira, he battled Kyler Phillips and ended up getting the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Phillips ended up landing 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Oliveira ended up landing 82% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Oliveira connected on 41% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 96 of 232. He ended up landing 52 of 161 significant strikes directed at the head. Phillips connected on 49 of 151 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 33 of 126 aimed at the head. When discussing total strikes that he threw in that fight, Phillips ended up connecting on 54 of 156 and Oliveira connected on 102 of 238 total strikes.
Other bouts to watch out for
Another fight to keep an eye on is when Amir Albazi enters the Octagon against Kyoji Horiguchi. Albazi looks to add a victory to his career record of 17-2-0. The 32-year-old records a weight of 125 lbs and stands 5'5". The orthodox fighter stretches 68". Horiguchi stands 5'4" and is weighing in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 35-5-0 (1 NC). The 35-year-old has an arm span of 63". Regarding grappling, Amir Albazi takes his opponents to the mat 1.39 times per 3 rds and Kyoji Horiguchi takes his opponents to the canvas 1.80 times per 15 minutes. In terms of striking, Albazi lands an average of 2.72 strikes per min and is connecting on 34% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Kyoji Horiguchi, who connects on 46% of the strikes he has attempted and connects for an average of 3.64 per minute.
One more can't miss bout is when Rizvan Kuniev is set to face off with Jailton Almeida. Almeida looks to add a victory to his career total of 22-4-0. The 34-year-old weighs 225 lbs and measures in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 79". Kuniev measures in at 6'4" and weighs in at 240 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a record of 12-3-1 (1 NC). The 33-year-old has a reach of 76". Concerning wrestling, Jailton Almeida is able to thwart 60% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is finishing his takedowns on 62% of his attempts. Kuniev is finishing his takedown tries on 75% of his tries and stops 90% of all takedown attempts. With reference to striking, Almeida takes 1.02 strikes per min and he deals 2.25 strikes/min. Kuniev, on the other hand, is taking 2.45 strikes per min and lands 4.45 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Mario Bautista (-159)
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