Phil Rowe vs Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani Pick, 02/21/2026 Predictions UFC Houston Odds

Phil Rowe vs Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani

UFC Houston

Toyota Center in Houston, TX

Saturday, February 21, 2026

Phil Rowe will battle Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani at UFC Houston on Saturday, February 21, 2026. The odds have Rowe coming in at +175 while Lebosnoyani is at -205.

Phil "The Fresh Prince" Rowe comes into this bout with a mark of 11-6-0. The 35-year-old is weighing in at 170 lbs and measures 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 80". Jean-Paul "Mufasa" Lebosnoyani measures in at 5'11" and weighs in at 170 lbs. The switch fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 9-2-0. The 27-year-old has a wingspan of 72". In terms of significant strikes, Phil Rowe is connecting on 3.50 per minute while Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani lands 9.71 significant strikes per min. Rowe is connecting on 50% of the significant strikes he tries while Lebosnoyani is landing 78%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, "The Fresh Prince" allows 4.12 significant strikes per min and "Mufasa" allows 5.29. Rowe also curbs 51% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Lebosnoyani prevents 64% of the shots thrown.

Concerning wrestling, Phil Rowe is the more effective wrestler as he takes his opponents down 0.52 times per 3 rounds. Rowe is getting his opponent to the mat on 36% of his tries and thwarting 50% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Lebosnoyani is finishing his takedown tries on 15% of his takedown attempts and stopping 15% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding submissions, Rowe is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by attempting 0.3 finishes per 3 rds while Lebosnoyani attempts 0.7 finishes per 15 min.

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In his previous fight, Phil Rowe faced Seokhyeon Ko and ended up losing the fight by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Ko ended up landing 124 of 157 total strikes attempted in that fight. Rowe ended the night having landed 11 of 15 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Ko landed 36 of 42, which means his percentage was 85%. He ended up landing 27 of 33 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Rowe ended up landing 57% of his significant strikes by landing 4 of 7. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he was 2 of 5 to the head. 33% of the significant strikes connected on by Ko and 100% of them connected on by Rowe were thrown at distance.

In the last fight for Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani, he went up against Jack Congdon and ended up getting the win by a punch to the head in round 1. Congdon connected on 100% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Lebosnoyani ended up connecting on 100% of his significant strikes at distance. Lebosnoyani ended up connecting on 78% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 11 of 14. He landed 4 of 7 significant strikes to the head. Congdon landed 6 of 17 significant strikes in that contest. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up landing 3 of 13 to the head. Discussing total strikes attempted in that fight, Congdon landed 6 of 17 while Lebosnoyani landed 11 of 14 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Jordan Leavitt opposes Yadier del Valle. Leavitt comes into this bout with a record of 12-3-0. The 30-year-old weighs in at 145 lbs and stands in at 5'9". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 71". del Valle stands 5'9" and is weighing in at 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 10-0-0. The 29-year-old has a wingspan of 69". Regarding grappling, Jordan Leavitt takes his opponents to the canvas 2.92 times per 3 rds while Yadier del Valle is able to score a takedown 2.08 times per 3 rds. In terms of striking, Leavitt tags his opponents 2.49 strikes/min and is connecting on 61% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage you've got Yadier del Valle, who connects on 67% of the strikes he attempts and connects on 6.25 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Joselyne Edwards is set to enter the Octagon against Nora Cornolle. Cornolle steps into the cage with a mark of 9-3-0. The 36-year-old tips the scales at 135 lbs and measures 5'7". The orthodox fighter reaches 67". Edwards stands 5'8" and weighs 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 16-6-0. The 30-year-old reaches 70". Concerning grappling, Nora Cornolle stops 47% of the takedowns her opponents try and is scoring a takedown on 11% of the times she tries. Edwards is taking her opponents to the mat on 38% of the attempts she tries and curbs 61% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Cornolle is absorbing 1.98 strikes/min while she is dealing 2.75 strikes/min. Edwards, on the contrary, takes 3.28 strikes/min and is dishing out 4.73 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani (-205)

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