Ryan Gandra vs Jose Daniel Medina Pick, 02/28/2026 Predictions UFC Mexico Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 2/27/2026

Ryan Gandra vs Jose Daniel Medina

UFC Mexico

Arena CDMX in Mexico City

Saturday, February 28, 2026

Ryan Gandra will battle Jose Daniel Medina at UFC Mexico on Saturday, February 28, 2026. The opening moneyline has Gandra coming in at -550 while Medina is at +400.

Ryan "Problema" Gandra steps into the cage holding a mark of 8-1-0. The 30-year-old tips the scales at 185 lbs and stands 6' 1". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 74". Jose "Chicho" Daniel Medina stands 6' 0" and weighs 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a record of 11-6-0. The 34-year-old has a reach of 74". In the category of significant strikes, Ryan Gandra connects on 11.23 per min while Jose Daniel Medina is landing 2.16 significant strikes per minute. Gandra lands 51% of the significant strikes he throws while Daniel Medina is connecting on 36%. In terms of defending themselves, "Problema" takes 2.11 significant strikes per minute while "Chicho" absorbs 5.07. Gandra also defends 79% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Daniel Medina stops 46% of the strikes thrown his way.

ufc picks Jose Daniel Medina predictions best bet odds

UFC Mexico	Ryan Gandra	Jose Daniel Medina
Opening Odds	-550	+400
Record	8-1-0	11-6-0
Average Fight Time	2:51	9:28
Height	6' 1"	6' 0"
Weight	185 lbs	185 lbs
Reach	74"	74"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	11.23	2.16
Striking Accuracy	51%	36%

In the wrestling category, Ryan Gandra is the more productive grappler as he scores a takedown 0.70 times per 3 rounds. Gandra is getting his opponent to the mat on 15% of his attempts and is stopping 85% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Daniel Medina is getting his opponent to the mat on 33% of his takedown tries and stuffing 27% of the attempts against him. In terms of submission attempts, Gandra is less apt at going for the finish by going for 0.5 submissions per 15 minutes while Daniel Medina tries 0.9 submissions per 15 min.

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The last time he fought, Ryan Gandra faced Trent Miller and ended up getting the win via a punch to the head in round 1. Miller landed 6 of 30 total strikes attempted in that fight. Gandra ended the night having landed 34 of 65 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Miller landed 6 of 29, which gave him a rate of 20%. He landed 3 of 23 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Gandra ended up landing 51% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 32 of 62. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 26 of 55 pointed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Miller and 78% of them connected on by Gandra were done at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Jose Daniel Medina, he faced off with Dusko Todorovic and wound up walking away in defeat by way of rear naked choke in round 1. Todorovic ended up landing 62% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Medina ended up landing 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Medina connected on 36% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 9 of 25. He ended up connecting on 5 of 17 significant strikes directed at the head. Todorovic landed 16 of 24 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 10 of 18 directed at the head. In regard to the total strikes thrown in this fight, Todorovic connected on 27 of 36 while Medina connected on 13 of 29 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Cristian Quinonez faces off against Kris Moutinho. Quinonez holds a career mark of 18-5-0. The 29-year-old tips the scales at 135 lbs and comes in at 5' 8". The orthodox fighter stretches 70". Moutinho stands in at 5' 7" and will fight at 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 14-7-0. The 33-year-old extends his reach 68". In the grappling category, Cristian Quinonez takes his opponents to the mat 1.37 times per 3 rounds while Kris Moutinho takes his opponents to the mat 0.40 times per 3 rounds. In terms of striking, Quinonez connects on 4.19 strikes per min and is landing 40% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side we have Kris Moutinho, who is landing 31% of the strikes he has tried and connects for an average of 4.51 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Javier Reyes is set to square up against Douglas Silva de Andrade. Silva de Andrade comes into this fight with a record of 29-6-0 (1 NC). The 40-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and measures in at 5' 7". The orthodox fighter stretches 68". Reyes measures 5' 7" and is fighting at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career total of 22-5-0. The 32-year-old has a reach of 73". Regarding wrestling, Douglas Silva de Andrade thwarts 72% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 42% of the times he tries. Reyes is taking his opponents to the mat on 15% of his tries and is able to thwart 50% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the matter of striking, Silva de Andrade is absorbing 3.93 strikes per min while he is dishing out 3.54 per minute. Reyes, notwithstanding, takes 0.79 strikes per min and is dishing out 8.29 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Ryan Gandra (-550)

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Ryan Gandra vs Jose Daniel Medina Pick, 02/28/2026 Predictions UFC Mexico Odds

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