Tai Tuivasa vs Tallison Teixeira Pick, 01/31/2026 Predictions UFC 325 Odds
Tai Tuivasa vs Tallison Teixeira
UFC 325
Qudos Bank Arena in South Wales, Australia
Saturday, January 31, 2026
Tai Tuivasa will battle Tallison Teixeira at UFC 325 on Saturday, January 31, 2026. The odds have Tuivasa priced at +285 while Teixeira is coming in at -350.
Tai "Bam Bam" Tuivasa walks into the cage holding a record of 15-8-0. The 32-year-old will fight at 264 lbs and measures in at 6'2". The southpaw fighter stretches 75". Tallison "Xicao" Teixeira measures in at 6'7" and is fighting at 258 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career record of 8-1-0. The 26-year-old has an arm span of 83". With respect to significant strikes, Tai Tuivasa is connecting on 3.77 per min while Tallison Teixeira is connecting on 12.83 significant strikes per min. Tuivasa is connecting on 46% of the significant strikes he throws and Teixeira is landing 59%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "Bam Bam" absorbs 5.18 significant strikes per minute and "Xicao" allows 8.98. Tuivasa also defends against 44% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Teixeira is able to thwart 56% of the shots thrown in his direction.

| UFC 325 | Tai Tuivasa | Tallison Teixeira |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +285 | -350 |
| Record | 15-8-0 | 8-1-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 7:14 | 1:02 |
| Height | 6'2" | 6'7" |
| Weight | 264 lbs | 258 lbs |
| Reach | 75" | 83" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.77 | 12.83 |
| Striking Accuracy | 46% | 59% |
In terms of grappling, Tai Tuivasa is the more apt wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 0.70 times per 15 min. Tuivasa is scoring a takedown on 15% of his attempts and is defending 57% of all takedown attempts. Teixeira is getting his opponent to the mat on 15% of his takedown attempts and is stopping 15% of the attempts against him. Regarding submissions, Tuivasa is the lesser skilled fighter by attempting 0.6 submissions per 3 rounds while Teixeira goes for 0.9 submissions per 3 rds.
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In his previous bout, Tai Tuivasa squared up with Jairzinho Rozenstruik and walked away in defeat via split decision in round 3. Rozenstruik ended up landing 92 of 185 total strikes attempted in that contest. Tuivasa finished this fight landing 37 of 126 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Rozenstruik landed 91 of 184, which means his percentage was 49%. He landed 58 of 146 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Tuivasa landed 29% of his significant strikes by connecting on 37 of 126. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 19 of 92 pointed at the head. 94% of the significant strikes connected on by Rozenstruik and 100% of them landed by Tuivasa were tallied at distance.
In the last fight for Tallison Teixeira, he squared up with Derrick Lewis and ended up taking the loss by a punch to the head while on the ground in round 1. Lewis connected on 22% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Teixeira ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Teixeira ended up landing 60% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 3 of 5. He landed 3 of 5 significant strikes directed at the head. Lewis ended up connecting on 9 of 17 significant strikes in that battle. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 8 of 16 to the head. Discussing total strikes that he let go in that contest, Lewis was 10 of 21 and Teixeira was 3 of 5 total strikes.
Other bouts to watch
Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Quillan Salkilld takes on Jamie Mullarkey. Salkilld looks to add a win to his career total of 10-1-0. The 26-year-old tips the scales at 155 lbs and measures 6'0". The orthodox fighter stretches 75". Mullarkey stands in at 6'0" and weighs 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his record of 18-8-0. The 31-year-old has a wingspan of 74". Regarding grappling, Quillan Salkilld takes his opponents down 7.77 times per 3 rounds and Jamie Mullarkey takes his opponents to the mat 2.40 times per 3 rounds. When talking about striking, Salkilld lands an average of 5.49 strikes/min and lands 57% of the strikes that he throws. Joining him in the Octagon is Jamie Mullarkey, who is landing 46% of the strikes he has thrown and lands 4.20 per min.
An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Billy Elekana is set to face off with Junior Tafa. Tafa holds a career record of 6-4-0. The 29-year-old weighs in at 205 lbs and stands in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 75". Elekana comes in at 6'3" and is weighing in at 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 9-2-0. The 30-year-old reaches 77". Concerning grappling, Junior Tafa is able to thwart 69% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is taking his opponents to the mat on 15% of his attempts. Elekana is taking his opponents to the mat on 25% of his attempts and is able to thwart 15% of the takedowns his opponents try. Concerning striking, Tafa is taking 2.49 strikes per minute while he deals 3.19 strikes/min. Elekana, moreover, takes 3.28 strikes per min and deals 2.66 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Tallison Teixeira (-350)
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