Talita Alencar vs Julia Polastri Pick, 04/25/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 116 Odds
Talita Alencar vs Julia Polastri
UFC Vegas 116
Meta APEX in Las Vegas
Saturday, April 25, 2026
Talita Alencar will enter the Octagon against Julia Polastri at UFC Vegas 116 on Saturday, April 25, 2026. The moneyline has Alencar coming in at +205 while Polastri is at -240.
Talita "Problem Child" Alencar will be looking to add a win to her career record of 7-1-1. The 35-year-old weighs 115 lbs and measures 5'1". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 58". Julia "Psycho" Polastri measures in at 5'2" and will fight at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 14-5-0. The 28-year-old reaches 64". With respect to significant strikes, Talita Alencar is landing 2.91 per minute while Julia Polastri lands 6.40 significant strikes per min. Alencar lands 37% of the significant strikes she attempts while Polastri is connecting on 54%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "Problem Child" allows 3.36 significant strikes per minute and "Psycho" allows 5.40. Alencar also prevents 55% of the significant strikes her opponents throw her way and Polastri is able to deflect 57% of the strikes thrown her way.
| UFC Vegas 116 | Talita Alencar | Julia Polastri |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +205 | -240 |
| Record | 7-1-1 | 14-5-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 14:55 | 13:40 |
| Height | 5'1" | 5'2" |
| Weight | 115 lbs | 115 lbs |
| Reach | 58" | 64" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 2.91 | 6.40 |
| Striking Accuracy | 37% | 54% |
In the category of takedowns, Talita Alencar is the better wrestler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 3.02 times per 15 min. Alencar is getting her opponent to the mat on 26% of her tries and stopping 66% of all takedowns attempted by her opposition. Polastri is taking her opponents to the canvas on 80% of the takedowns she tries and is stuffing 60% of all takedowns attempted on her. When it comes to going for the submission, Alencar is the more experienced submission fighter by trying 0.6 subs per 3 rds while Polastri goes for 0.4 subs per 3 rds.
Today’s Featured MMA Best Bet!
You can get this top rated play complimentary when you set up a free $60 account here at Doc’s Sports and use part of it towards his a one day MMA package. Join Now!
|
Get all of our UFC Expert Picks
In her last bout, Talita Alencar squared up with Ariane Carnelossi and wound up getting the win via rear naked choke in round 3. Carnelossi landed 50 of 106 total strikes that she let go in that contest. Alencar finished this fight landing 79 of 122 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Carnelossi landed 25 of 76, giving her a percentage of 32%. She ended up landing 10 of 57 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Alencar ended up landing 60% of her significant strikes by connecting on 60 of 100. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, she connected on 34 of 67 aimed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Carnelossi and 51% of them landed by Alencar were tallied at distance.
In the last bout for Julia Polastri, she faced off with Karolina Kowalkiewicz and took home the victory via a punch to the head in round 3. Kowalkiewicz connected on 98% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance while Polastri connected on 89% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance. Polastri landed 54% of the significant strikes she attempted by landing 137 of 253. She connected on 85 of 193 significant strikes aimed at the head. Kowalkiewicz connected on 72 of 192 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, she ended up connecting on 24 of 121 directed at the head. Relating to total strikes attempted in that fight, Kowalkiewicz was 75 of 196 and Polastri landed 142 of 261 of all the strikes she attempted.
Other fights to watch out for
One more match to look forward to is when Aljamain Sterling takes on Youssef Zalal. Sterling walks into the cage holding a record of 25-5-0. The 36-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and comes in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter reaches 71". Zalal comes in at 5'10" and will fight at 145 lbs. The switch fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 18-5-1. The 29-year-old has a reach of 72". Regarding grappling, Aljamain Sterling takes his opponents to the canvas 2.45 times per 15 min and Youssef Zalal is able to score a takedown 2.17 times per 15 minutes. In terms of striking, Sterling connects on 4.45 strikes per min and lands 52% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other fighter in this bout is Youssef Zalal, who tags his opponent on 50% of the strikes he has tried and is landing 3.03 per minute.
Another must see fight on the night is when Alexander Hernandez is set to encounter Rafa Garcia. Garcia looks to add a victory to his total of 18-4-0. The 31-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and stands 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 70". Hernandez comes in at 5'9" and records a weight of 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 18-8-0. The 33-year-old reaches 72". In the category of takedowns, Rafa Garcia is able to deflect 76% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is finishing his takedown tries on 44% of the times he tries. Hernandez is taking his opponents to the mat on 36% of his attempts and is able to curb 73% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the matter of striking, Garcia takes 4.54 strikes per min and he connects on 4.31 strikes per min. Hernandez, on the contrary, absorbs 4.50 strikes per minute and is dishing out 4.31 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Talita Alencar (+205)
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Get all of Today's Free UFC Picks
Get all of Today's Expert UFC Picks
Most Recent UFC Picks
- Davey Grant vs Adrian Luna Martinetti Pick, 04/25/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 116 Odds
- Norma Dumont vs Joselyne Edwards Pick, 04/25/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 116 Odds
- Mayra Bueno Silva vs Michelle Montague Pick, 04/25/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 116 Odds
- Rodolfo Vieira vs Eric McConico Pick, 04/25/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 116 Odds
- Max Griffin vs Victor Valenzuela Pick, 04/25/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 116 Odds
- Aljamain Sterling vs Youssef Zalal Pick, 04/25/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 116 Odds
- Jackson McVey vs Sedriques Dumas Pick, 04/25/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 116 Odds
- Jafel Filho vs Cody Durden Pick, 04/25/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 116 Odds
- Marcus Buchecha vs Ryan Spann Pick, 04/25/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 116 Odds
- Rafa Garcia vs Alexander Hernandez Pick, 04/25/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 116 Odds