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NBA 7-Unit Best Bet! 9-4 Run

Pick:	Seattle Mariners -105 RL
Start:	May 12, 2024 @ 8:00 PM
Expert:	Doug Upstone

Analysis:

Free Play – Take #974 Seattle -105 (-1.5 RL) over Oakland (4:10 p.m. ET, Sunday, May 12) Happy Mother’s Day! This AL West series has featured two 8-1 blowouts, one for each team. Alex Wood will take the ball for the A’s and though he pitched better in his last three starts with a 1.72 ERA, on the year his ERA is 5.30 and please note a WHIP of 1.71. Wood is allowing decidedly more than a hit an inning and he’s not close to a 2-1 K/W ratio (32-18). No question, Seattle struggles to score but they are 7-3 this season vs. LH starters and this is one they can hammer. Luis Castillo should be better than 3-5 (3.54 ERA), but the Mariners have only scored 3.4 RPG in his starts. That would seem to make the RL a so-so play, however, road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 like the A’s, after two straight games where they committed no errors, with a bullpen throwing 13+ innings over the last three games, are only 18-99 since 2020 (0-4 this year), and most importantly, losing by 2.8 RPG. (744-632 long-term) 21- 12 move Read More Read Less