Doc's College Football Insider: Week 7
by Drew Mangione and Jordan Adams - 10/11/2006
Key Games: No. 22 Virginia Tech (-2.5) at Boston College, 7:30 p.m., Thursday
Wake Forest at North Carolina State (-3.5), noon, Saturday
Maryland (-2.5) at Virginia, 3:30 p.m., Saturday
Conference Notes: No. 12 Clemson is the highest-ranked ACC team, but early in the week the Tigers had not sold out their home game against Temple (-44). The Tigers rank No. 4 in the nation in scoring (40.67) and tied a season low output of 27 points last week. The under is 4-0 in the team's last four Thursday games and the number for this game is 52…Boston College junior kicker Ryan Ohliger has been suspended indefinitely after an altercation outside a bar last week. Sophomore kicker Steve Aponavicius, a left-footed walk on, will get his first shot at the kicking duties in a game at any level. Ohliger was 7-of-11 on FGs and has missed 3 PATs...The home team in the last five Maryland vs. Virginia match up is undefeated ATS, all in SU wins.
Key Games: Pittsburgh (-10) at Central Florida, 8 p.m., Friday
Syracuse at No. 5 West Virginia (-25), noon, Saturday
Cincinnati at No. 7 Louisville (-26.5), 3:30 p.m., Saturday
Conference Notes: Louisville quarterback Brian Brohm, who sprained his thumb in the team's win over Miami, could be back this weekend against Cincinnati ahead of schedule. After Sept. 17 surgery, doctors projected him to be out six weeks…West Virginia has won its last four games against Syracuse SU and six straight ATS. Last week's 10 point loss to Pittsburgh snapped both a 3-game SU and a 7-game ATS win streak. Mountaineer sophomore wide receiver Jeremy Bruce, who was suspended Oct. 1 for a drunk driving arrest, could play if he completes his disciplinary requirements…Pittsburgh safety Eric Thatcher is out until at least Bowl season after hurting his ankle in practice.
Key Games: Vanderbilt at No. 16 Georgia (-13.5), noon, Saturday
No. 2 Florida at No. 11 Auburn (-1), 7:45 p.m., Saturday
Kentucky at No. 14 Louisiana State (-26), 8 p.m., Saturday
Conference Notes: Auburn red-shirt freshman linebacker Tray Blackmon, a projected starter before the season's start, returns this week to face No. 2 Florida after a 6-game suspension for an off-season arrest. The return of the strong side outside linebacker moves senior Karibi Dede to the middle and sophomore Merrill Johnson to the weak side. It seems center Jason Bosley has earned a second start despite two botched snaps and getting pulled late in his team's 27-10 loss to Arkansas. Bosely replaced starter Joe Cope, who is out another 3-5 weeks with a knee injury…Gators sophomore defensive tackle Javier Estopinan, who started in the team's last two games, is out for the season with a torn ACL. Banged up starters Percy Harvin at wide receiver and DeShawn Wynn at running back are both questionable. Harvin saw limited action last week with a high ankle sprain and Wynn missed the game with an injured knee…The under has come in three straight times when Auburn is a home favorite and Florida is a road underdog…Georgia has won 11 straight (7-4 ATS) over Vandy…Senior cornerback Daniel Francis and freshman wide receiver Brandon LaFell are questionable with a leg and ribs injury respectively.
Key Games: No. 20 Boise State (-26) at New Mexico State, 8 p.m., Sunday
Conference Notes: Boise State has owned New Mexico State, winning all six meetings since 1996 including a 33-32 win in their first meeting and last year's 56-6 annihilation. The Broncos have covered the spread in five of their last six games when favored by more than 10.5. The Aggies have just one ATS win in their last 11 conference games…Fresno State is 1-7 SU and 0-8 ATS since nearly upsetting USC in a 50-42 loss as 23-point underdogs.
Key Games: Iowa State at No. 22 Oklahoma (-19.5), 12:30 p.m., Saturday
No. 19 Missouri (-2) at Texas A&M, 3:30 p.m., Saturday
Conference Notes: Both Oklahoma and Iowa State come off double-digit losses and look to get back on track. The Sooners have won the last nine meetings but the Cyclones are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 conference games…Oklahoma State and Kansas play in a game in which the Jayhawks have won four in a row. Both blew fourth quarter leads last week in conference and look to get their fourth win in 2006…Colorado is still in search for its first win under head coach Dan Hawkins and host 4-2 Texas Tech this weekend. The two have split the last four games but Texas Tech is 2-6 ATS in their last eight games…Missouri continues to impress at 6-0 and will face 5-1 Texas A&M this Saturday. Led by quarter back Chase Daniel the Tigers will look to continue their two game winning streak against the Aggies.
Key Games: Minnesota at Wisconsin (-8.5), 12:00 p.m., Saturday
No. 4 Michigan (-6) at Penn State, 8:00 p.m., Saturday
Conference Notes: Purdue visits struggling Northwestern. The Wildcats haven't won a conference game yet this year while the Boilermakers are 0-2 on the road…Indiana is fresh of a steal at Illinois and will look to ride that wave against one loss Iowa. The favorite is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings…Wisconsin is undefeated ATS this year at 4-0-1. The Badgers are 19-7-1 in their 27 home games and have won three of the last four against Minnesota…The Buckeyes look to remain atop the polls but will get everything and more from a Michigan State team in search of a much-needed win. Ohio State has won each of the last four meetings….Without Mario Manningham Michigan will need another big play threat down the field. The favorite is 2-6 ATS in the last eight meetings, remembering that Michigan's last second score in '05 gave Penn State its first loss of the year.
Key Games: Oregon State at Washington (-9.5), 6:30 p.m., Saturday
Arizona State at No. 3 USC (-19), 8:00 p.m., Saturday
Conference Notes: Oregon looks to respond after getting drubbed by Cal in Berkley. UCLA will be without its starting quarterback Ben Olsen for at least a month after tearing his MCL. Both come in at 4-1 and it was the Ducks that had won four in a row in the series before last year's Bruin win…Hapless Stanford continues to look more and more like a D I-AA school. They host Arizona who has yet to win a game away from Tucson. The Wildcats are 1-7 ATS against a team with a losing record…Cal will look to continue its hot play when they visit Washington State. The Golden Bears have won four straight by more than 20 points after getting routed in Tennessee to open the season. However, Wazzou has won four of the last five meetings. The Huskies play at home against the Beavers of Oregon State, looking to atone for their close loss to USC last weekend. Washington is 4-1-1 ATS this year while Oregon State is 1-3…Despite close calls the past two weeks, USC is undefeated and atop the Pac-10. They are 2-3 ATS this year and face Arizona State, a team desperately in need of a victory. USC has won the last six against the Sun Devils.
Key Games: Marshall at Southern Miss (-4), 3:00 p.m., Saturday
Tulsa (-2) at East Carolina, 3:00 p.m., Saturday
Conference Notes: Central Florida hosts a non-conference game when Pittsburgh comes to town on Friday. Needing a win to keep pace with UAB in the East division, UCF will play Pitt for the first time ever…4-1 Tulsa plays East Carolina, a team yet to lose against the number this year at 5-0. The Golden Hurricane are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games and 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games overall…Marshall lost via a last second field goal at home to UCF last Wednesday. They face 3-3 SMU on the road and have yet to cover a spread in '06…Houston comes in fresh off an embarrassing loss to Louisiana-Lafayette at home. Southern Miss hosts the Cougars with the home team being 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings…East division leading UAB faces 1-5 Rice. The Blazers are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 conference games but beat Rice in the two's only meeting in 2005, 45-26.
Key Games: Utah (-4) at Wyoming, 3:00 p.m., Saturday
New Mexico (-3) at UNLV, 10:00 p.m., Saturday
Conference Notes: The conference slate kicks off this Thursday with 4-1 Colorado State at the Air Force Academy. Both are 3-1 ATS this year and the series has gone back and forth over the past decade. The two teams have combined for 50 or more points in four of the last five games…Utah rebounded nicely after a home loss to Boise State by beating TCU last week. At 4-2 they now get 2-4 Wyoming on the road. The Cowboys are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 conference games…New Mexico and UNLV square off in a battle of one-win teams. Both have been a little bit better against the number, while they have hit just one over in their eight games combined.