The Advisory Board: Weekly Prescription
by Doc's Advisory Board - 12/18/2007
SEASON'S GREETINGS FROM YOUR FRIENDS AT DOC'S SPORTS!!!
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In the meantime, here's the inside scoop into the betting world from the Advisory Board at Doc's Sports:
The bowl season has finally arrived and will kick-off this Thursday with the all-important Poinsettia Bowl featuring Navy against Utah. This is the first of 32 bowls dotting the holiday season. Doc's will once again be introducing the Magnificent Seven, featuring seven top-rated bowl selections highlighted by our 6-Unit College Bowl Game of the Year. We will release the first group of bowl selections this Thursday along with Sunday NFL selections.
Speaking off the NFL, we finally got back on track this week as we swept the board hitting all three of our Sunday selections. The Lions sure have thrown in the towel since an impressive 6-2 start to the season. I would not hesitate to go against them yet again, as their playoff hopes are gone and they will again be left home come January. This was clearly a case of a team not being able to handle prosperity and they could never recover from a loss to the Cardinals. Matt Millen is still a bad GM and the Lions are still soft. Some things never change.
Our NBA picks service is on fire as we have hit 10 of our last 11 selections heading into Tuesday's slate. A possible Game of the Month could be on the schedule for later in the week.
Here are a couple of games to keep an eye out for this weekend:
Houston at Denver (Thursday, NBA)
The Rockets are embroiled in mediocrity again and are second to last in the Southwest Division. They are, once again, strong on defense but to say their offense has struggled would be an understatement. They are in the bottom half of the league in all major offensive categories including points per game, field goal percentage, three-point percentage and free throw percentage. This lack of offense and inflated lines by the bookies has brought them to a 9-14-1 mark on the season against the spread and they are a dismal 5-9 ATS on the road. They will face a tough test on Thursday against a Nuggets team that averages 106 points per game on the season. They will be well rested for this game having had three nights off and this team seems to get its wins and losses in bunches so this game could be the start of another winning streak with Portland, Sacramento and Milwaukee on deck.
UCLA vs. BYU (Saturday, Las Vegas Bowl)
This is a rare occurrence for a minor bowl game, as these teams have already played once during the regular season. Despite UCLA winning that game, 27-17, they will enter this game as close to a touchdown underdog. Why, you might ask? The Bruins are really in flux right now, without a head coach after firing Karl Dorrell and with a lame duck assistant coach guiding the squad in Sin City. It will be interesting to see if the Bruins play with any emotion and my advice to UCLA would be to hire Mike Leach out of Texas Tech.
Texas at Michigan State (Saturday)
The Longhorns have already notched the most impressive road victory of the season, beating UCLA in Los Angeles, and now have another tough challenge playing Michigan State in their home away from home. Both teams have already played UCLA this season and both should have beaten them, but State collapsed late in the second half. Since then they have won six-straight games including victories against BYU and Bradley. The Horns will enter this game at 10-0 and this is truly one of the early games on the season I cannot wait to see.
Doc's Sports continues to come strong in four sports night in and night out. We are off an to outstanding start in both college and NBA basketball and encourage you to try us out, as we are confident one of our many guaranteed packages will meet your needs. Sign-up now and let the veteran of 36 years Doc work for you.
Man, where do we start? I think most of my clients are starting to understand why college hoops is my clear-cut favorite sport, both as a fan and as a handicapper. We have already surpassed last year's heady seasonal numbers - and we're only one month into the season!
Also, I just wanted take this time to wish all of you a Merry Christmas! I hope everyone has a great weekend and really enjoys time with their family and friends. I know I will be. In the meantime, here are a couple games I'll have my eye on:
Miami, OH at Kansas (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 23)
I love the RedHawks precisely because of how they perform in these types of situations. Miami, OH is 11-4 ATS as an underdog of six or greater over the past three years and are 6-2 ATS overall this season. I think the Jayhawks are going to rout Georgia Tech on Tuesday and then be instilled as a 12-point favorite against Miami here. If so we're going to be going big on one of my favorite teams.
New York Giants at Buffalo Bills (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 23)
The Bills have been a fantastic home dog over the past three years but they are yet to defeat a team with a winning record this season. I also think they have to be primed for a let down after their critical loss in Cleveland last week. The Giants are 6-1 straight up and 5-2 against the spread on the road this year and I think they'll be ready to bounce back in a hostile environment.
VEGAS SPORTS INFORMER
My handicapping skills in the NFL last week were as cold as the East Coast weather. But this week we are looking at a possible NFL Game of the Month and don't forget this weekend starts College Bowl Season. I will have a play on all 32 bowl games so don't forget to check my home page for more details on my picks. This coming week for me will be a busy one, as I will be attending multiple games here in Sin City. Wednesday the Arizona Wildcats come to Vegas and play the UNLV Rebels in college hoops. Saturday I will be at the Las Vegas Bowl watching the coach-less UCLA Bruins against the BYU Cougars. And Sunday I will be at the Orleans Casino watching the final round of the Las Vegas Classic in college basketball. I live a tough life here in Sin City…
We are finally on a small hot streak in college basketball as Saturday and Sunday we go 5-1 +10 Units. This week in college and NBA we are looking at some HUGE games and hoping to put some extra cash in all of my customers wallets.
Here are three games that I have my eye on this week:
Pittsburgh at St. Louis (Thursday 12/20) NFL
Week 16 is huge for the Pittsburgh Steelers because not only did they lose to Jacksonville last week but also Cleveland won and they are now tied in the AFC North. Granted, Pittsburgh holds the tiebreaker but if the Steelers can't tackle Steven Jackson of the Rams we could see another Pittsburgh loss. St. Louis is 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games.
UCLA vs. BYU (Saturday 12/22) NCAAF
Las Vegas Bowl: I'm interested to see how the UCLA Bruins play in this game because they will be without a coach. I also give a small edge on the Mountain West teams in this spot because they are familiar with Sam Boyd stadium and BYU should have the edge as the Cougars also travel well to Vegas. BYU should win this game.
LA Lakers at Chicago (Tuesday 12/18) NBA
Big home game for the Chicago Bulls Tuesday night as they host the LA Lakers! Chicago has been playing well as of late winning six out of their last nine games and the Lakers have lost four out of their last six road games. This opening number should be close and if I can get a small number on the Bulls I might bite.
Arizona at UNLV (Wednesday 12/19) NCAAB
This one will be interesting because if UNLV hits the three we could see an upset in the making. Arizona will be a road favorite here, but by how much is the question. UNLV will need to play tough defense and hit the open shot to stay in this game. If not, we could see another second half blow out like we did against Louisville.
It did take us all seven days to secure our fifth straight college basketball winning week to open the season, but what was more frustrating this past week on the collegiate hardwood was the lack of good games. Literally, last week the cupboard was bare with strong matchups, but hopefully the week before Christmas will provide us with holiday cheer and several nail biting top 25 showdowns.
Here are several this week's CBB match-ups we'll be eying:
Duke vs. Pittsburgh
Yes, this is what we're talking about. Both teams are undefeated and both are playing very good basketball right now. Pitt has long been known as a defensive stopper, but this year the Panthers have opened it up on the offensive end with several young players stepping in right away to boost the current No. 9 team in the country. Duke, just the same, can lock you up, but its offense is balanced and can really shoot the ball.
Texas at Michigan State
The Spartans survived several road games at Bradley and in Utah against BYU two weeks ago. Despite being at home for this big game, this Longhorns team presents a match-up just as tough as MSU faced when they fell to UCLA in Kansas City early in the season. State has the bigs, but do its guards have enough to stop D.J. Augustin?
Georgetown at Memphis
Forgot the best game of the week, this one could be the best of the first two months of the season. The Hoyas have a frontcourt edge with Roy Hibbert, Summers and Ewing, Jr. However, no one has the athletic depth at guard and swing men that the Tigers possess. Chris Douglas-Roberts and Derrick Rose are explosive, but just as effective are Willie Kemp and Doneal Mack off the bench with their lethal three-point shooting.