Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox 7/4/2014 Free MLB Picks & Predictions
by Josh Schonwald - 7/3/2014
"Friday, July 4, 1:35 PM on MAS2, NESN
Fenway Park, Boston, Massachusetts
Baltimore Orioles - Gonzalez, M (4-5) vs. Boston Red Sox - Lester, J (9-7)
For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here
Friday afternoon, the Baltimore Orioles will give the ball to Miguel Gonzalez as they square off against the Boston Red Sox and Jon Lester. Gonzalez makes his 14th start and 15th appearance as Lester makes his 18th start.
Miguel Gonzalez pitched to a no-decision in his last outing and that held his record at 4 - 5 with a 4.56 ERA. In that start, Gonzalez gave up 3 runs and 8 hits in just 4.2 innings of work. He issued 4 walks and struck out 2. Gonzalez has had some good starts and some bad starts this season and it will be tough for him to match his results from last season when he went 11 - 8 with a 3.78 ERA in 28 starts and 2 relief appearances.
In 2013, Gonzalez was 1 - 0 with a 4.05 ERA in a start and a relief appearance against the Red Sox. He has handled the Boston lineup well in the past, holding them to a .220 average with 9 hits, a homer and 8 RBIs in 41 at-bats.
Jon Lester improved his record to 9 - 7 and lowered his ERA to 2.92 after getting the win in his last start. In that outing, Lester threw 8 innings of 1 run, 5 hit ball as he walked 2 and struck out 6. Lester has won 3 of his last 4 starts and he's doing it by keeping the walks and home runs down. If Lester continues to pitch well, he could match his win total from 2013 when he was 15 - 8 with a 3.75 ERA in 33 starts.
Last season, Lester was 1 - 2 with a 4.70 ERA in 4 starts against the Orioles. This season, he opened his year with a loss to Baltimore after allowing 2 runs and 6 hits (including a home run) in 7 innings.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
Baltimore Orioles are 38-43-2 against the Over/Under
Run Differential for Baltimore Orioles is 0.2
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
Boston Red Sox are 31-50-3 against the Over/Under
Run differential for Boston Red Sox is -0.4
Injuries to Watch
06/30/14 3B Manny Machado Suspension suspended 5 games
06/27/14 P Bud Norris Groin 15-day DL (6/22)
06/17/14 C Matt Wieters Elbow 15-day DL (5/11), out for season
06/03/14 P Johan Santana Shoulder 60-day DL (6/2), out for season
04/03/14 P Edgmer Escalo Shoulder 60-day DL (3/30)
03/31/14 LF Francisco Peguero Wrist 15-day DL (3/21)
03/28/14 LF Nolan Reimold Neck 60-day DL (3/26)
Boston Red Sox
06/02/14 1B Mike Carp Foot 15-day DL (6/1)
05/31/14 1B Ryan Lavarnway Wrist 60-day DL (5/30)
05/24/14 RF Shane Victorino Hamstring 15-day DL (5/24)
05/17/14 3B Will Middlebrooks Finger 15-day DL (5/16)
Josh's Pick: Take Boston
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