St Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs 7/26/2014 Free MLB Picks & Predictions
by Josh Schonwald - 7/25/2014
July 26, 2014, 4:05 PM on FSMW, CSCh
Wrigley Field, Chicago, Illinois
St Louis Cardinals - Miller, S (7-8) vs. Chicago Cubs - Arrieta, J (5-2)
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Saturday afternoon, the St. Louis Cardinals will give the ball to Shelby Miller as they square off against the Chicago Cubs and Jake Arrieta. Miller will make his 20th start and 21st appearance as Arrieta makes his 15th start.
Shelby Miller didn't factor into the decision in his last appearance and that held his record at 7 - 8 with a 4.25 ERA. The last time out was just a 1 inning relief appearance for Miller and he allowed just 2 hits and a walk. But as a starter, the last few outings haven't been that great for Miller. Miller is 1 - 5 in his last 9 starts and hasn't won a game since early June. Last season, Miller was 15 - 9 with a 3.06 ERA in 31 starts.
In 2013, Miller won his only start against the Cubs after pitching 5 innings of shutout ball. The 7 Cubs that have faced Miller before are batting .250 against him with just 4 hits in 16 at-bats.
Jake Arrieta saw his record fall to 5 - 2 with an ERA of 2.12 after taking the loss in his last outing. In the defeat, Arrieta gave up 3 runs on 4 hits in 6.2 innings. He walked 3 and struck out 8. Arrieta had 2 straight no-decisions in his previous 2 starts but he had won 4 in a row from the middle of June until the end of the month. He has already matched his win total from 2013 when he was 5 - 4 with a 4.78 ERA in 14 starts for the Cubs and the Baltimore Orioles.
Last season, Arrieta won his only start against the Cardinals after hurling 7 scoreless innings. In 2 starts, this season, Arrieta has 2 no-decisions.
St Louis Cardinals Betting Trends
St Louis Cardinals are 42-53-6 against the Over/Under
Run Differential for St Louis Cardinals is 0.1
Chicago Cubs Betting Trends
Chicago Cubs are 52-43-5 against the Over/Under
Run differential for Chicago Cubs is -0.5
Injuries to Watch
St Louis Cardinals
07/10/14 C Yadier Molina Thumb 15-day DL (7/9)
07/06/14 P Jaime Garcia Shoulder 60-day DL (6/24), out for season
06/23/14 P Michael Wacha Shoulder 15-day DL (6/21)
05/13/14 P Tyler Lyons Shoulder 15-day DL (5/12)
03/31/14 P James McDonald Shoulder 60-day DL (2/23)
03/28/14 P Kyuji Fujikawa Elbow 60-day DL (3/21)
Josh's Pick: Take St. Louis
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