Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays Free MLB Picks & Odds 7-25-2015
by Josh Schonwald - 7/24/2015
Saturday, July 25, 2015
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Probable Pitchers: Miguel Gonz (8-6) vs. Erasmo Ram (8-3)
The Tampa Bay Rays host the Baltimore Orioles at Tropicana Field on Saturday. The Orioles send Miguel Gonzalez to the mound to face Erasmo Ramirez of the Rays. The opening line for this matchup has Baltimore at +109 and Tampa Bay at -119. The over/under was set at 7. The Orioles have a 39-51 over/under record and a 51-44 run line mark, meaning they cover 54% of the time. The Rays are 53-45 against the run line and have a 40-51 over/under record. They cover the spread 54% of the time.
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The Orioles come into this game with a 46-49 record, and they are 17-30 away from home. Miguel Gonzalez has a 8-6 record on the season, an earned run average of 4.21 and a 1.27 WHIP. The Orioles are 10-8 over his 98.1 innings pitched and he's also given up 93 hits over that time period. The Orioles are also 3-14 against the over/under in his starts. The team is averaging 3.3 runs when he starts. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.87 and they have given up 243 base hits on the year. Opposing teams are hitting .224 against the Orioles bullpen while walking 107 times and striking out 291 times. Baltimore is averaging 7.79 strikeouts per game while getting 8.5 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 14th in baseball in team earned run average at 3.80.
Baltimore is batting .255 as a team, which is good for 11th in the league and hitting .242 away from home. The Orioles hold a .422 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309 which is good for 21st in baseball. Manny Machado leads the team in hits with 107 while the team ranks 16th in baseball with 8.51 hits per game.
With a 49-49 overall record, Tampa Bay will come into this game 24-25 at home. Erasmo Ramirez has a record of 8-3 while sporting an earned run average of 3.54 on the year with a 1.10 WHIP. The Rays have a record of 13-9 over the 84 innings he's pitched during which he's given up 66 hits. The Rays are also 2-0 against the over/under in his starts. The team is averaging 4 runs when he takes the field. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.83 and they have given up 292 base hits on the year. Opposing teams are hitting .234 against the Rays bullpen while walking 128 times and striking out 300 times. Tampa Bay is averaging 8.14 strikeouts per game while getting 7.9 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 10th in the league in team earned run average at 3.57.
They are batting .238 as a team, which is good for 27th in the league and hitting .238 at home. The Rays hold a .376 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .303 which is good for 25th in baseball. Logan Forsythe leads the team in hits with 93 while the team ranks 29th in baseball with 7.9 hits a game.
Baltimore has a team fielding percentage of .989 after having committed 39 errors with 877 assists and 2,491 put outs for the season. The Rays have committed 54 errors on the season with 873 assists and 2,631 put outs leading to a team fielding percentage of .985 on the year.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 39-51 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 51-44 against the run line so far this season
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays are 40-51 against the over/under so far this season
The Tampa Bay Rays are 53-45 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/22/15 LF Steve Pearce Oblique Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/19)
05/13/15 P Jason Garcia Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/11)
Tampa Bay Rays
07/12/15 SS Asdrubal Cabrera Hamstring Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/12)
05/10/15 P Drew Smyly Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/6), out for season
05/09/15 P Alex Cobb Forearm Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27), out for season
05/03/15 CF Desmond Jennings Knee Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/26)
04/29/15 P Kirby Yates Pectoral Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/29)
04/18/15 P Jeff Beliveau Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/22), out for season
Josh's Pick: Take the Rays
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