Kansas City Royals at Toronto Blue Jays Free MLB Picks & ALCS Odds - 10-19-2015
by Josh Schonwald - 10/18/2015
Monday, October 19, 2015
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Probable Pitchers: Johnny Cueto (5-7) vs. Marcus Stroman (4-0)
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The Toronto Blue Jays welcome the Kansas City Royals to Rogers Centre on Monday in Game 3 of the ALCS. The probable starters are Johnny Cueto for the Royals and Marcus Stroman for the Blue Jays. The opening line for this matchup has Kansas City at +160 and Toronto at -170. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Royals, with a 93-76 run line record, cover the spread 55% of the time. They also have a 77-78 over/under record. The Blue Jays are 93-76 against the run line and have a 82-75 over/under record. They cover the spread 55% of the time.
The Royals show up with a 100-69 record, including 45-38 on the road. Johnny Cueto has a 5-7 record on the season, an earned run average of 4.63 and a 1.36 WHIP. The Royals are 6-9 over his 95.1 innings pitched and he's also given up 110 hits over that time period. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 11-4. The team is averaging 4.9 runs when he starts. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.72 and they have given up 419 base hits on the year. The bullpen has struck out 502 and walked 191 batters this season while opposing teams hit .211 against them. Kansas City has a team average of 8.46 hits allowed per game and are averaging 7.35 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 3.73, they are 9th in the league.
Kansas City is batting .268 as a team, which is good for 2nd in the league and hitting .258 away from home. The Royals hold a .413 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321 which is good for 11th in baseball. With 184 hits, Eric Hosmer leads the team while his team ranks 4th in hits per game with 9.19.
Toronto is 54-30 at home while holding a 96-73 overall record on the season. Marcus Stroman has a record of 4-0 while sporting an earned run average of 2.25 on the year with a 1.00 WHIP. The Blue Jays have a record of 5-1 over the 40 innings he's pitched during which he's given up 31 hits. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 4-2. The team is averaging 7.5 runs when he takes the field. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.50 and they have given up 412 base hits on the year. The Blue Jays bullpen has struck out 459 batters and walked 130 this season while opposing teams have hit .229 against them. Toronto has a team average of 8.41 hits per game and are averaging 6.99 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 3.81, they are 12th in the league.
They are batting .267 as a team, which is good for 4th in the league and hitting .274 at home. The Blue Jays hold a .454 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338 which is good for 1st in baseball. With 190 hits, Josh Donaldson leads the team while his team ranks 7th in hits per game with 9.08.
Kansas City has a team fielding percentage of .985 after having committed 88 errors with 1,611 assists and 4,356 put outs for the season. Over the course of this season, the Blue Jays have accumulated 88 errors while having 1,592 assists and 4,323 put outs leading to a .985 fielding percentage.
Kansas City Royals Betting Trends
The Kansas City Royals are 77-78 against the over/under so far this season
The Kansas City Royals are 93-76 against the run line so far this season
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 82-75 against the over/under so far this season
The Toronto Blue Jays are 93-76 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Kansas City Royals
09/24/15 P Greg Holland Elbow out for season
09/19/15 2B Omar Infante Oblique out indefinitely
07/22/15 P Jason Vargas Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/22); out for season
05/17/15 P Brian Flynn Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/16)
04/06/15 P Tim Collins Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/6)
Toronto Blue Jays
10/09/15 P Brett Cecil Calf out indefinitely
07/29/15 2B Devon Travis Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (7/29)
05/10/15 RF Michael Saunders Knee Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/10)
04/06/15 2B Maicer Izturis Groin Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27)
Josh's Pick: Take the Royals
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