Saturday, May 7, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Shelby Miller vs. Julio Teheran
The Arizona Diamondbacks visit Turner Field on Saturday to play the Atlanta Braves. The probable starters are Shelby Miller for the Diamondbacks and Julio Teheran for the Braves. The opening line for this matchup has Arizona at +115 and Atlanta at -125. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Diamondbacks have a 15-14-1 over/under record and a 12-18-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 40% of the time. The Braves are 12-15-0 against the run line and have a 15-9-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 44% of the time.
The Diamondbacks head into this matchup with a 12-18 record, including 7-6 on the road. Starting pitcher Shelby Miller has a 0-3 record with an earned run average of 8.49 and a WHIP of 1.97. He has 19 strikeouts over his 23.1 innings pitched and he has given up 27 hits so far this season. He has allowed 10.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 7.24. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.18 and they have given up 109 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the bullpen while being struck out 99 times and walking 48 times this season. As a team, Arizona has allowed 9.37 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.57 batters per nine. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 5.00. The Diamondbacks pitchers have collectively given up 287 base hits and 153 earned runs. They have allowed 36 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Arizona as a pitching staff has walked 115 batters and struck out 232. They walk 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.46 and their FIP as a unit is 4.50.
As a team, Arizona is batting .260, good for 9th in the league while putting together a .250 average away from home. The Diamondbacks hold a .444 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320 which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 8th in baseball with 9.13 hits per game. Paul Goldschmidt comes into this game hitting .232 and his on-base percentage is at .408. He has 23 hits this season along with 13 runs scored and 16 runs batted in. He's struck out 31 times and has walked 28 times. Jean Segura is hitting .345 and he has an on-base percentage of .372. He has totaled 40 hits so far while scoring 12 runs and he's driven in 15. He has walked 3 times and has struck out 15 times. The Diamondbacks have 274 hits, including 52 doubles and 40 home runs. They've stolen 18 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 6 times. Arizona has walked 86 times this season and they've struck out 241 times as a unit. They've left 206 men on base and have a team OPS of .764. They score 4.33 runs per contest and have scored a total of 130 runs so far this year.
Atlanta comes into this matchup with a 1-12 home record and a 7-20 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.72, Julio Teheran has a 0-3 record and a 1.18 WHIP. He has 34 strikeouts over the 36.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 31 hits. He has allowed 7.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.07. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.66 and they have given up 89 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .245 against the Braves bullpen while being struck out 96 times and walking 54 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 8.74 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.91 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.84. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 233 base knocks and 129 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 32 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a staff has walked 109 hitters and struck out 211. They give up a walk 4.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.43 while their FIP as a staff is 4.54.
As a team, they are batting .224, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .233 average at home. The Braves hold a .289 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .292 which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 7.52 hits per contest. Nick Markakis comes into this matchup batting .281 and he has an OBP of .391. He has 27 hits this year along with 10 runs scored and 20 RBI. He's struck out 17 times and has walked on 16 occasions. Adonis Garcia is hitting .260 and he has an OBP of .321. He has collected 26 hits so far while he's scored 8 runs and drove in 7. He has earned a walk 7 times and has punched out 23 times. The Braves as a unit have 203 base hits, including 41 doubles and 6 homers. They have 13 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 7 times. Atlanta as a team has walked 80 times this year and they have struck out 229 times. They've had 190 men left on base and have an OPS of .580. They score 3.07 runs per game and have totaled 83 runs so far this season.
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 15-14-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 12-18-0 against the run line so far this season
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 15-9-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 12-15-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
04/04/16 P Josh Collment Shoulder 15-day DL (3/28)
04/02/16 CF A.J. Pollock Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
05/05/16 RF Nick Markakis Personal missed last game, probable Friday vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
04/18/16 3B Gordon Beckham Hamstring 15-day DL (4/17)
04/13/16 2B Hector Olivera Legal problems out indefinitely
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
04/11/16 RF Ender Inciarte Hamstring 15-day DL (4/9)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKiraha Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Manuel Banuelos Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodrigue Elbow out for season
04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Diamondbacks
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