Saturday, September 24, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Robbie Ray vs. Wade Miley
The Arizona Diamondbacks visit Oriole Park on Saturday to play the Baltimore Orioles. The probable starters are Robbie Ray for the Diamondbacks and Wade Miley for the Orioles. The opening line for this matchup has Arizona at +111 and Baltimore at -121. The over/under was set at 9.5. The Diamondbacks have a 86-60-6 over/under record and a 61-91-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 40% of the time. The Orioles are 77-76-0 against the run line and have a 65-84-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.
The Diamondbacks head into this matchup with a 64-88 record, including 34-40 on the road. Starting pitcher Robbie Ray has a 8-13 record with an earned run average of 4.66 and a WHIP of 1.43. He has 210 strikeouts over his 166 innings pitched and he has given up 174 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.49. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 5.06 and they have given up 558 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .267 against the bullpen while being struck out 485 times and walking 254 times this season. As a team, Arizona has allowed 9.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.14 batters per nine. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.19. The Diamondbacks pitchers have collectively given up 1,489 base hits and 788 earned runs. They have allowed 192 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Arizona as a pitching staff has walked 575 batters and struck out 1,236. They walk 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.51 and their FIP as a unit is 4.52.
As a team, Arizona is batting .262, good for 7th in the league while putting together a .255 average away from home. The Diamondbacks hold a .434 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322 which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 3rd in baseball with 9.22 hits per game. Jean Segura comes into this game hitting .317 and his on-base percentage is at .365. He has 191 hits this season along with 91 runs scored and 59 runs batted in. He's struck out 95 times and has walked 35 times. Paul Goldschmidt is hitting .298 and he has an on-base percentage of .413. He has totaled 162 hits so far while scoring 100 runs and he's driven in 90. He has walked 106 times and has struck out 141 times. The Diamondbacks have 1,401 hits, including 270 doubles and 178 home runs. They've stolen 124 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 30 times. Arizona has walked 441 times this season and they've struck out 1,338 times as a unit. They've left 1,060 men on base and have a team OPS of .756. They score 4.66 runs per contest and have scored a total of 709 runs so far this year.
Baltimore comes into this matchup with a 47-31 home record and a 82-71 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.65, Wade Miley has a 8-13 record and a 1.45 WHIP. He has 117 strikeouts over the 151.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 171 hits. He has allowed 10.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.71. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.49 and they have given up 481 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the Orioles bullpen while being struck out 475 times and walking 201 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 8.97 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.79 batters per nine. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.35. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,345 base knocks and 652 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 179 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a staff has walked 520 hitters and struck out 1,169. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 4.38.
As a team, they are batting .256, good for 13th in the league while putting together a .260 average at home. The Orioles hold a .445 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .317 which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 15th in baseball with 8.73 hits per contest. Manny Machado comes into this matchup batting .300 and he has an OBP of .350. He has 181 hits this year along with 103 runs scored and 93 RBI. He's struck out 111 times and has walked on 46 occasions. Adam Jones is hitting .273 and he has an OBP of .315. He has collected 158 hits so far while he's scored 84 runs and drove in 82. He has earned a walk 35 times and has punched out 108 times. The Orioles as a unit have 1,335 base hits, including 253 doubles and 239 homers. They have 17 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 11 times. Baltimore as a team has walked 436 times this year and they have struck out 1,243 times. They've had 994 men left on base and have an OPS of .761. They score 4.63 runs per game and have totaled 709 runs so far this season.
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 86-60-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 61-91-0 against the run line so far this season
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 65-84-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 77-76-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/16/16 P Rubby De La Rosa Elbow out for season
09/11/16 CF A.J. Pollock Groin out indefinitely
09/10/16 C Chris Herrmann Hand out indefinitely
08/07/16 RF David Peralta Wrist 60-day DL (8/6), out for season
07/24/16 SS Nick Ahmed Hip 60-day DL (7/23); out for season
09/22/16 P Wade Miley Back probable Saturday vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
09/22/16 P Kevin Gausman Ribs expected to miss start Sunday vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
09/18/16 RF Steve Pearce Elbow 60-day DL (9/18)
09/01/16 RF Joey Rickard Thumb 60-day DL (7/21)
Tony's Pick: Take the Diamondbacks
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