Sunday, August 14, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Zack Greinke vs. Rick Porcello
The Arizona Diamondbacks visit Fenway Park on Sunday to play the Boston Red Sox. The probable starters are Zack Greinke for the Diamondbacks and Rick Porcello for the Red Sox. The opening line for this matchup has Arizona at +140 and Boston at -150. The over/under was set at 9.5. The Diamondbacks have a 64-47-4 over/under record and a 47-68-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 41% of the time. The Red Sox are 55-59-0 against the run line and have a 57-52-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 48% of the time.
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The Diamondbacks head into this matchup with a 48-67 record, including 29-28 on the road. Starting pitcher Zack Greinke has a 11-3 record with an earned run average of 3.67 and a WHIP of 1.15. He has 97 strikeouts over his 115.1 innings pitched and he has given up 111 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.49. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 5.03 and they have given up 408 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .268 against the bullpen while being struck out 349 times and walking 179 times this season. As a team, Arizona has allowed 9.64 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.11 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.00. The Diamondbacks pitchers have collectively given up 1,109 base hits and 575 earned runs. They have allowed 142 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Arizona as a pitching staff has walked 426 batters and struck out 933. They walk 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.48 and their FIP as a unit is 4.48.
As a team, Arizona is batting .262, good for 10th in the league while putting together a .263 average away from home. The Diamondbacks hold a .432 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .319 which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 5th in baseball with 9.17 hits per game. Jean Segura comes into this game hitting .311 and his on-base percentage is at .358. He has 142 hits this season along with 70 runs scored and 44 runs batted in. He's struck out 74 times and has walked 26 times. Paul Goldschmidt is hitting .299 and he has an on-base percentage of .413. He has totaled 124 hits so far while scoring 68 runs and he's driven in 74. He has walked 79 times and has struck out 104 times. The Diamondbacks have 1,055 hits, including 205 doubles and 132 home runs. They've stolen 85 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 24 times. Arizona has walked 315 times this season and they've struck out 1,024 times as a unit. They've left 798 men on base and have a team OPS of .750. They score 4.46 runs per contest and have scored a total of 513 runs so far this year.
Boston comes into this matchup with a 36-27 home record and a 62-52 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.40, Rick Porcello has a 15-3 record and a 1.08 WHIP. He has 125 strikeouts over the 151 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 137 hits. He has allowed 8.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.68. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.93 and they have given up 303 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .237 against the Red Sox bullpen while being struck out 360 times and walking 135 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.79 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.41 batters per nine. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.29. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 993 base knocks and 484 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 130 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a staff has walked 356 hitters and struck out 950. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.33 while their FIP as a staff is 4.13.
As a team, they are batting .283, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .300 average at home. The Red Sox hold a .465 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .350 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 9.96 hits per contest. Mookie Betts comes into this matchup batting .309 and he has an OBP of .350. He has 149 hits this year along with 87 runs scored and 75 RBI. He's struck out 66 times and has walked on 31 occasions. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .315 and he has an OBP of .371. He has collected 147 hits so far while he's scored 82 runs and drove in 69. He has earned a walk 38 times and has punched out 79 times. The Red Sox as a unit have 1,136 base hits, including 257 doubles and 142 homers. They have 65 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 16 times. Boston as a team has walked 387 times this year and they have struck out 812 times. They've had 829 men left on base and have an OPS of .814. They score 5.42 runs per game and have totaled 618 runs so far this season.
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 64-47-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 47-68-0 against the run line so far this season
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 57-52-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 55-59-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/12/16 C Welington Castillo Personal "?" Saturday vs. Boston Red Sox
08/12/16 LF Yasmany Tomas Neck "?" Saturday vs. Boston Red Sox
08/07/16 RF David Peralta Wrist 15-day DL (8/6), out for season
07/24/16 SS Nick Ahmed Hip 15-day DL (7/23)
07/17/16 C Chris Herrmann Hamstring 15-day DL (7/17)
07/07/16 P Andrew Chafin Shoulder 15-day DL (7/4)
06/24/16 CF Socrates Brito Toe 15-day DL (6/23)
05/27/16 P Rubby De La Rosa Elbow 60-day DL (5/26)
04/02/16 CF A.J. Pollock Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
Boston Red Sox
08/12/16 2B Dustin Pedroia Flu left last game, "?" Saturday vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
08/11/16 P Steven Wright Shoulder "?" for next scheduled start
08/06/16 C Ryan Hanigan Ankle 15-day DL (8/5)
07/20/16 P Koji Uehara Pectoral 15-day DL (7/20)
06/24/16 LF Chris Young Hamstring 15-day DL (6/23)
06/17/16 2B Josh Rutledge Knee 60-day DL (6/15)
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 60-day DL (6/5)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Diamondbacks
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