Sunday, July 24, 2016
Great American Ball Park
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Probable Pitchers: Zack Godley vs. Brandon Finnegan
The Arizona Diamondbacks visit Great American Ball Park on Sunday to play the Cincinnati Reds. The probable starters are Zack Godley for the Diamondbacks and Brandon Finnegan for the Reds. The opening line for this matchup has Arizona at +113 and Cincinnati at -123. The over/under was set at 9. The Diamondbacks have a 51-42-3 over/under record and a 41-55-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 43% of the time. The Reds are 47-49-0 against the run line and have a 52-35-9 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.
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The Diamondbacks head into this matchup with a 40-56 record, including 23-21 on the road. Starting pitcher Zack Godley has a 2-1 record with an earned run average of 5.31 and a WHIP of 1.48. He has 17 strikeouts over his 20.1 innings pitched and he has given up 22 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.56. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.57 and they have given up 330 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .262 against the bullpen while being struck out 286 times and walking 146 times this season. As a team, Arizona has allowed 9.48 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.95 batters per nine. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 4.80. The Diamondbacks pitchers have collectively given up 912 base hits and 460 earned runs. They have allowed 114 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Arizona as a pitching staff has walked 351 batters and struck out 765. They walk 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.46 and their FIP as a unit is 4.43.
As a team, Arizona is batting .265, good for 8th in the league while putting together a .266 average away from home. The Diamondbacks hold a .434 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323 which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 5th in baseball with 9.25 hits per game. Jean Segura comes into this game hitting .314 and his on-base percentage is at .359. He has 119 hits this season along with 57 runs scored and 38 runs batted in. He's struck out 59 times and has walked 20 times. Paul Goldschmidt is hitting .292 and he has an on-base percentage of .409. He has totaled 100 hits so far while scoring 56 runs and he's driven in 62. He has walked 66 times and has struck out 91 times. The Diamondbacks have 888 hits, including 167 doubles and 109 home runs. They've stolen 66 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 19 times. Arizona has walked 265 times this season and they've struck out 853 times as a unit. They've left 666 men on base and have a team OPS of .757. They score 4.42 runs per contest and have scored a total of 424 runs so far this year.
Cincinnati comes into this matchup with a 23-27 home record and a 37-59 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.66, Brandon Finnegan has a 5-7 record and a 1.42 WHIP. He has 78 strikeouts over the 106.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 97 hits. He has allowed 8.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.63. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 5.45 and they have given up 353 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .257 against the Reds bullpen while being struck out 308 times and walking 188 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.36 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.4 batters per nine. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.29. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 895 base knocks and 506 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 162 home runs this year and they give up 1.7 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 405 hitters and struck out 708. They give up a walk 4.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.51 while their FIP as a staff is 5.51.
As a team, they are batting .241, good for 26th in the league while putting together a .241 average at home. The Reds hold a .399 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .303 which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 27th in baseball with 8.09 hits per contest. Brandon Phillips comes into this matchup batting .260 and he has an OBP of .299. He has 88 hits this year along with 40 runs scored and 35 RBI. He's struck out 46 times and has walked on 13 occasions. Jay Bruce is hitting .264 and he has an OBP of .318. He has collected 90 hits so far while he's scored 51 runs and drove in 66. He has earned a walk 26 times and has punched out 75 times. The Reds as a unit have 776 base hits, including 159 doubles and 106 homers. They have 75 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 34 times. Cincinnati as a team has walked 262 times this year and they have struck out 798 times. They've had 556 men left on base and have an OPS of .701. They score 4.24 runs per game and have totaled 407 runs so far this season.
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 51-42-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 41-55-0 against the run line so far this season
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 52-35-9 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 47-49-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/17/16 C Chris Herrmann Hamstring 15-day DL (7/17)
07/07/16 P Andrew Chafin Shoulder 15-day DL (7/4)
07/03/16 P Zack Greinke Oblique 15-day DL (6/29)
06/24/16 CF Socrates Brito Toe 15-day DL (6/23)
06/20/16 RF David Peralta Back 15-day DL (6/19)
06/12/16 CF Chris Owings Foot 15-day DL (6/6)
05/27/16 P Rubby De La Rosa Elbow 15-day DL (5/26)
04/02/16 CF A.J. Pollock Elbow 60-day DL (4/2), out for season
06/23/16 P Alfredo Simon Trapezius 15-day DL (6/16)
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/20/16 P Tim Adleman Oblique 15-day DL (5/20)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Diamondbacks
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